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Convex_Bets

@BetsConvex

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10 days snce all time hi very bull


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correlation between the price move of oil inthe last month and the ppi rep.. its hard to believe that any except chauncey chair would be worryin about inflation with 0il at $56 per barrel p


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1) The market is in deep negative gamma; across all maturities, as well as in 0DTE. 2) Delta decay, i.e. the change in delta as expiration nears, has become a significant factor as short-term options dominate. Currently, in-the-money puts outstanding are large, and thus, with…

fcfinvest's tweet image. 1) The market is in deep negative gamma; across all maturities, as well as in 0DTE. 
2) Delta decay, i.e. the change in delta as expiration nears, has become a significant factor as short-term options dominate. Currently, in-the-money puts outstanding are large, and thus, with…

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and yet the 30 year bond futures move to 1 year high at 118.50


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round # of 6000 appr0aching sp now at 5973. the octet rule in chemistry , the concentration of stops at rounds. what else causer inordinate concentration


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limiot orders tend to be concentrated at round numbers. many componds lose electrons fo reach a stable , nonreactive 8. tests shows that when a stock breaks thru a round number it is bullish


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My deep thoughts and prayers with the victims of Palm Springs bombing.


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Powell Tie Analysis Meeting TIE COLOR .... SPX T+1 Mar 19 2025 Purple Tie -0.22% Jan 29 2025 Purple Tie +0.53% Dec 18 2024 Purple Tie -0.09% Nov 7 2024 Purple Tie +0.38% Sept 18 2024 Purple Tie +1.7% July 31 2024 Purple…


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Despite: -The escalation on the Chinese Tariffs -The higher rates across the board -Business sentiment on lows -Low allocation ... The market is grinding higher. Now of course we could reverse lower, however for now we are climbing the wall of worry. We recovered the entirety…


Convex_Bets reposted

the worst thing about the admins approach to politics, trade, and the economy is failure to take account of the many proverbs along lines of "pride goes before the fall" there hundreds of examples but " i am the best negotiator" is perfect example"


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nice drop in vix of 19 points from 52 to 33. apparently all weak longs were done in.


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Bearish $SPX Refreshed Risk Range in your last Real-Time Alert #PayAttention


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good example of stock market being the key driver. approval rating dropped to 41 % with one 20 day low in stocks after another someone a rare bird among advisers told him to cut the crazy tariff policies.


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now 45 days away form last 20 day high on 2-1 200 5 at 61.6 . 98% chance that next 20 day high will exceed the old level expected duration to next exceedance is 12 days


Convex_Bets reposted

looks like sp and other indexes touched exactoy 20% down from top and after all the margin losses were called in the indexes bounced 6% from bottom. the idea way for the strong to take from the weak as always


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This is Mars! 140 million miles away! NASA


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I remember my 6 gold rackets ( an important tourney in my day where my opponent tried to kill me by hitting at my head just when he was about to lose( which reminder me of the turn around in sp today


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