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Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence: A claim C is likely when evidence E exists such that P(E|C) / P(E|¬C) > P(¬C) / P(C) If P(C)≈0 then P(E|¬C)≈0 So evidence of an extraordinary claim has to be very unlikely if the claim is false. Are stories unlikely?
What’s one word you would use to describe Elon Musk? I'll start — Engineer
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