Liam ⚒
@txsmith_
data maxi turned on-chain analyst || bots & cats || narrative hunter & api rug survivor.
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Focus is probably even more important now than taste AI will 10x your productivity but it will simultaneously hit you with weapons-grade nerdsnipes that consume 90% of your time
career decisions are not permanent! the biggest mistake you can make isn't picking the wrong job, it's evaluating jobs in isolation saw @pmarca's career advice & it's so spot on, portfolio careers are the new meta your career is a portfolio of bets where you have to evaluate
A growing number of top AI researchers are homeschooling their children Not out of ideology, but because they believe the current education system will not prepare them for a world shaped by AI and robotics Education must now be designed in reverse: start from the skills the
I meet a lot of very smart AI critics who never seriously try to make AI work for them by spending a couple of hours with a frontier model. People can be (and should be & are) critical after realizing what AI can do, but experience leads to better-informed and sharper critiques.
There have always been casinos in crypto. The first viral application on Bitcoin was Satoshi Dice (2012). The first viral smart contract on Ethereum was King of the Ether Throne (2015), which was basically a hot potato ponzi scheme. Once you have programmable money, the first
Marketing is a creative and adversarial game. Channels get discovered, exploited, and discarded. New products need new distribution. It’s hard to hire rule-breakers, so the best marketers tend to be the founders themselves.
One of my favorite lessons I’ve learnt from working with smart people: Action produces information. If you’re unsure of what to do, just do anything, even if it’s the wrong thing. This will give you information about what you should actually be doing. Sounds simple on the
'Advice for guys in their 20's' - Most dudes nowadays hit rock bottom in one way or another around age 27. This is where you lose touch with all the "automatic" friend groups you had in HS and college (which were easy to form due to proximity - you were around them all day
Men who are more than 30 Give advice to men who are in their 20s The topic can be anything
One of the underappreciated secrets to winning in any new sector is: just stick around. If you just stick around long enough, the losers blow up early. Then the winners retire early. So eventually you win by just doing the work when nobody else can or wants to. When people ask
If you struggle with impulse control, do this 10x a day to make your brain stronger: + notice the impulse to check your phone + deny the request + wait 10 min before opening Start with 10 reps a day and you’ll feel: + heightened will power + stronger self mastery + deeper
When ppl claim this I always wonder how they think it happens, or have unrealistic expectations on how much $1bn actually is. I joined crypto with $200. If I held my initial bitcoin since then and never traded, I would have ~$300k. If, instead, from that moment I sold the top
a lot of people seem to think someone big got wrecked last night but its not the case marketmaker algos have systems to detect black swan events in case of a black swan event they pull all orders, the books become ultra thin and liquidations push the books down to prices we saw
Major cheat code in life: Understanding you can reinvent yourself at any time. New habits, new standards, new friend group, new career, etc. There's no rule that says you have to stay the person you've always been. You're allowed to decide, "I'm done being this version of me."
for anyone building prediction markets and trying to “do it all” or go head-to-head with kalshi / polymarket. that’s great, but it’s just as important to fine-tune who you’re serving. > polymarket → world’s largest prediction market, but users mostly go for politics (just look
Lot of crypto folks asking me "What happened?"... It's probably time to dust off the Taleb book 'Antifragile'. The amount of Open Interest that has been taken off in one day is unreal. 15B -> 6B on hyperliquid alone, the real total number must be insane! People always want a
The @Kalshi ‘Shutdown Curve’ expects this to last between 20 and 25 days. (📈 from WSL PREDICT<GO> on @TheTerminal)
One of the hard things about trying to do meaningfully difficult projects in life is that there are 99 ways in which you can get things wrong but ~1 way in which you can get things right. Iteration is mostly about developing the heuristics required to search for the ~1 way to
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