Applied Learning
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Online games—games of chance, or skill? Discussion paper proposes a novel approach to establish whether outcomes depend for more than 50% on chance, and explains why poker is a game of chance, despite the existence of professional players: buff.ly/3guh7pw HT @andre_spicer
A very emotional day. My father’s medals were found in my childhood home in the cellar. Well I never. Thought they were lost forever. 😍😭 #RAF
They say you never forget your first time. So I was delighted that @Gerald_Ashley chose the #HumanRisk podcast for his podcasting debut & what a debut it was! In a wide-ranging discussion, we talked #Risk, #Uncertainty, #DecisionMaking & more. 🎧👉buff.ly/31qVL8c
“A hallmark of a healthy creative culture is that its people feel free to share ideas, opinions, and criticisms.” - Ed Catmull, Pixar
'too many dominoes and the dominoes are too close together' specialistspeakers.com/?page_id=12588… #risk #fragility
The Myers-Briggs personality test: Originally designed to identify appropriate marriage partners Has no basis in clinical psychology Has no statistical significance to its retest So why do 79% of FTSE 100 companies use it? In Uncharted by Heffernan
#Ethics may not be top of mind in a crisis. Yet right now, we're seeing many firms facing ethical dilemmas. On Mon 6 Apr @ruthsteinholtz & I are hosting a free webinar on managing ethics in a disrupted world. 0900EST/1200BST/1300CET/2100 HKG. Register 👉buff.ly/3bE4bKZ
David Ogilvy’s 1982 advice on how to write Including point 4, that using jargon is the “hallmark of a pretentious ass”
If you want to be noticed, be distinctive; don't cling to category conventions, break them Study from Reed into the isolation effect - 75% of people remembered the letters QXK when next to numbers, only 35% remembered the same letters when they were surrounded by letters
A creative approach to pricing & stockpiling HT @jamessmi
Experiment into the serial-position effect by Murdock: we're more likely to remember the first and the last items in a list Y-axis shows probability of recall, the X-axis the position of the item in the list and the figures (e.g. 40-1) is the number of items on the list
Very cool Optical Illusion.... that took me much longer than I'd like to admit to work out.... But These cubes are NOT SPINNING.... 🤯🤯🤯 (h/t u/Flynja)
Just under two weeks to this - and nearly fully booked. Late Birds are going to have to be quick #risk #marketing #decisions #selling eventbrite.co.uk/e/the-science-…
New study suggests reading classic fiction is best for mental health. 📚🤓
Brilliant diagram from Alchemy by @rorysutherland illustrating why companies don’t get as much creative problem solving from their staff as they hope for
Even more relevant than when I tweeted it sixteen months ago! #coronavirus
“Never ever doubt in magic. The purest honest thoughts come from children, ask any child if they believe in magic and they will tell you the truth.” (Scott Dixon) @MacKingShow: exceptional, masterful, sensational. Wonderful to watch Mac in England at #BMC2020 @Blackpool_Magic
Making Better #Decisions - March 17 - some of our favourite speakers eventbrite.co.uk/e/the-science-… - including the brilliant @rorysutherland specialistspeakers.com/?p=7997 #event #London
Two fables about the paradox of progress In Skin in the game
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