3rD_EyE
@AlphaAllegro
Quantitative Market Tactician/Options Trader ~ NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE.
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Interesting article from 1929... I found this article from ARS book 1929 interesting - full disclosure, I didn't read his book... But this completely describes what's happened in this market this year... and what ive been talking about for weeks/months. 19-20 year old kids…
SPX MKT FOLLOW UP NOTE... Hmm, something feels broken? Let me be clear- We have NO long side exposure, haven't for weeks... and I have been recommending NO-LIMITED LONG side exposure with HIGH levels of CASH...(NOT currently SHORT in a BIG way either) The good news is we are…
SPX MKT QUICK NOTE= NEUTRAL S/T-( MKT SHOULDHOLD) I know there's some MKT stress coming in from the "shut-down" and the vote on tariffs ext... BUT technically speaking the SPX/QQQ's are coming down right now into some ALGO BUY signals and some structural PRICE support (even…
FXI- CHINA ALGO SELL SIGNALS... I have NO idea what the catalyst would be, but the ALGO flashing BIG SELL signals for FXI-China Would not want to have ANY China stocks on books, and probably a good SHORT... That's it- that's the note. $FXI
MARKET EXPECTATIONS VS. REALITY... As I've talked about over the last few months—and really for years—the SPX, SPY, and QQQ are behemoth indexes that represent the collective wisdom of all market participants around the world and are essentially controlled by the Big 5…
SPX EQUAL WEIGHTED INDEX - LOWER THAN JULY HIGHS... YES, I know if you strip out the weighting in the SPX500 its a "zombie" index... I get it- The point here is that MOST "STOCKS" aside from MAG7 (10)- are not ANY higher than when I first started getting bearish in mid- late…
BTC UPDATE= STAY AWAY... far away - I sent out a report a few weeks back when BTC was 113-15K saying the set up was very BEARISH... TGT= 88K and 75K... maybe ZERO... - js- Here's the WEEKLY chart- $BTC
The START of something OR another BTFD moment? I don't want to regurgitate the same narrative over the last few weeks- (lower LONG side exposure- raise CASH) However- the quantitative technical framework of the MKT is starting to show some "cracks" within the "DAILY" construct…
STATEMENT FATIGUE...? (THE MKT- WHATS HAPPENING UNDER THE HOOD?) What happens when clients at plain vanilla wire house firms get their October- November statements and see that they aren't UP another 10%? (and their actually FLAT or Down) All I'm saying is this Rate of change…
QQQ'S DAILY ALGO UPDATE = ST/T TOP/HIGH 636-37- The QQQ's "DAILY" ALGO updated suggesting the TOP/HIGH in at 636-37 is most likely a S/T- TOP/HIGH at least within the DAILY framework. Traders/PM's are advised to assume the QQQ's UPSIDE is somewhat LIMITED and to SELL/FADE/SHORT…
SPX MKT WEEKLY SCHEMATIC= TECHNICALLY NEUTRAL- TACTICALLY BEARISH- I've mentioned over the last several weeks that the MKT's have experienced a "stealthy" correction as the indexes make incrementally NEW HIGHS, however- MOST stocks have experienced some sort of T-A disruption.…
QUICK NOTE- EPS SHENANIGANS... lol🤡 The amount of EPS shenanigans going on is astounding... its comical really- 🤡 These accounting departments can basically MAKE $ out of thin air... Here are some examples: (obviously I cant go through EVERY EPS report with a fine tooth…
SPX MKT QUICK NOTE/ ALGO UPDATE SUPPORT = 6800 Probably to be expected some post EPS and post Trump-Xi meeting hang over effects has the MKT DOWN today- and the fact that JP didn't commit to an "auto" rate CUT in December! Remember the god ole days with Greenspan when you…
CVNA UPDATE- THE BEGINING OF THE END... Back in mid September I highlighted a SELL/SHORT REPORT on CVNA-@ 380 Since then, KMX has imploded (-22% on their eps report alone), several subprime auto loan companies have gone out of business , first brands collapsed and NOW CVNA…
SPX MKT NEUTRAL S/T- *NVDA NO question what were seeing within the current UPTREND cycle is unprecedented in terms of valuations, sentiment, stretched technical metrics, and consecutive WEEKS/MONTHS on the upside with virtually NO pull backs other than the (2) 1 hit wonders at…
THE PUMP/HYPE CONTINUES... Welp, not much to say here... The SPX-MKT didn't STOP at 6400 (for 1 day) and it didn't STOP at 6800-(for 1 day) 2 SPOTS that I thought would produce at least a S/T correction longer than 1 day... What NOW? Looks like they'll "pump" the SPX to…
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