Tal vez te guste
Incredible. After losing Brooks it looks like LIV will respond by adding Benny. Unequivocally a net win for LIV Golf.
Seahawks to win the NFC at 40-1 down to +185 and a ton of prices in between. Seahawks to win the Super Bowl at 33-1 down to 5-1 and a few prices in between. Seahawks in a Calcutta. Ride or dying with Sammy D is as thrilling as it gets. Let the playoffs begin baby
"Arguing with an idiot is like playing chess with a pigeon... he's just gonna sh!t all over the board and strut around like he won no matter the results." - @mr_peanutbettor Presented By: @Kalshi
Fezz you don’t understand tail outcomes as this is brutal “math”. Using his example, 1 person selects CHI. 550 PHI, say 249 select BAL and 200 select KC. Say BAL/KC both have a 80% win probability. ( higher win probability then what they actually were ) When CHI wins, on…
If you assume 1000 people 550 take Philly 0 take chicago Select Chicago. On average over 250 or so will survive. So under WILDLY optimistic assumptions, you basically will "earn" +330 ML on your survivor on average...... Feel free to correct my math, ty.
Results aside, Philly was the worst pick out of the 8 teams on Thanksgiving/Black Friday and imo it wasn’t even close. Anyone with semi decent projections and EV calcs could clearly see this.
It's CRAZY to me all the love everyone is giving those who played Underdogs in Circa Survivor. Bears: aok due to 55% on Philly. The other three: They got there, but no way could you possibly support the choice. Bottom line: The media is SO results driven.
Contest just got real. LAR & JAX for C3.
Time to lock in
My favorite NFL conf future I’ve filled that still has a little wiggle room in market is… Bucs to win the NFC. Fair ~12-1. 1 week until football is back! GL all!
Let the games begin
First 2 rounds are in the books. Who won the first 2 rounds? Rounds 3-16 will happen over the next week. Will post full teams later. GL!
Pulled together some familiar faces on Gambling Twitter to kick off the first Ultimate Sports Fantasy League. Roster spots: 2 NFL 2 NBA 2 MLB 2 NHL 2 CFB 2 CBB 1 GOLF 1 TENNIS 2 FLEX Draft kicks off tomorrow. Time to whoop some ass.
Digging back into the NFL and early signs are I won’t be donating half my bankroll to Browns and Saints futures this season. Feels freeing.
United States Tendencias
- 1. Good Thursday N/A
- 2. Board of Peace N/A
- 3. #MIKIMOTOSGxFreen N/A
- 4. SAROCHA AT MIKIMOTO SG OPENING N/A
- 5. Happy Friday Eve N/A
- 6. Osaka N/A
- 7. Rafael Tudares N/A
- 8. #ThursdayMorning N/A
- 9. Cirstea N/A
- 10. #22Ene N/A
- 11. Cuomo N/A
- 12. #BTS_WORLDTOUR N/A
- 13. Zac Robinson N/A
- 14. Lagos N/A
- 15. #QG542 N/A
- 16. Fredo N/A
- 17. Wawrinka N/A
- 18. Peralta N/A
- 19. Winter Storm Watch N/A
- 20. Hotmail N/A
Tal vez te guste
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