ShortVolatilityDream
@DreamVolatility
Short Volatility Trader. Tennis Player
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An overview of S&P500 bull markets since 1928:
Not a big fan of 2008 comparisons on $SPY, but June-September, particularly last 10 weeks have been almost identical to 08 price action.
Just to be clear. The bull case here is that Ukraine defeats Russia, Putin sighs and turns the gas back on, while the global economy goes gangbusters and inflation magically falls to exactly 2% while the Fed cuts rates?
We had a massively inverted yield curve in 1990, inflation near 7% and SPX fell only 20% and rallied as soon as ISM crossed 50 on way down to 40. In 1982, inflation 15%, massively inverted YC, only 27% correction. It doesn't need to be a 2001 or 2008 redux.
I just subscribed to Fairlead Strategies Idea Generator fairleadstrategies.substack.com/?utm_medium=we… I simply love the way she communicates her Technical thesis in such a clear, concise, non biased manner. Moreover, she has been right at about every level so far during this tricky 2022 Bear Market.
Greg Maddux also threw one of the filthiest Two Seamers of all time in the Eric Gregg game.
The worst bear markets feature rising unemployment, but not all bear markets share this trait. $STUDY
-31% 3339 in Q3 on track.
$SPY where we are vs past bear markers since 1929.
Long and leveraged absolutely balls to the wall. $qqq $snow
Remember this chart the EVERY time you go to press that button to get long this market.
This is the crap that bothers me and forces me to do random work. This guy says average P/E is 10-15
Despite the continuing escalation in the war, the Fed put is back on, however temporary it may prove, and that's gonna start to really resonate with the bear crowd sooner than later. #fintwit. .
My Weekend reading…read every article from fee based asset managers telling me it’s time to buy the dip 🥸😳🤕🥱
A group of chemistry students from Kyiv's top technical university started to mass produce Molotov's cocktails for Territorial Defence Forces of the city. Gotta respect their professionalism.
For those of you waiting for your blow off top what if that little run in bitcoin from 4000-60,000 was your blow off top. Nobody said it has to be Nasdaq again. SPX is first loser with a little move from 2200-4600. Nobody said instant replay of 98-2000. #blowofftop
FB reports today, AMZN tomorrow-breadth although extremely good the last three days, will continue to moderate. We go down hard on Friday. Book it. #Iamstillabull #bullmarkets #stonks
The amount of Vol Crush we're seeing right now is in the 99.2 percentile since the Vix makeover circa 2004.
United States Trends
- 1. Good Monday N/A
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- 9. Fear God N/A
- 10. 960 SAT N/A
- 11. #ราคีTHESTAIN N/A
- 12. #girlrulesseries N/A
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- 16. jaemin N/A
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