Drop Kick Data (AFL)
@DropKickData
AFL Data analysed: Team ratings, match tips, Brownlow predictor and Supercoach forecasts. View all models through Tableau Public link below:
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🚨🆕 on The Shinboner 🚨 How Brisbane flipped the script: The lessons they learned from the Qualifying Final loss, what they changed for the Grand Final, and how they executed it all to win the ultimate prize. ↪️ theshinboner.com/2025/09/29/how…
Grand Final Preview - Brisbane must win the clearance battle between the arcs - Geelong need to neutralise stoppage and limit Brisbane’s uncontested marks - So many critical matchups.. more to come
Biggest differential in votes in individual matches #brownlowmedal #brownlow
🏅Brownlow Medal 2025 Win probability after round 9: 1️⃣ Matt Rowell - 64.0% 2️⃣ Nick Daicos - 45.8% 3️⃣ Jordan Dawson - 0.4% 4️⃣ Bailey Smith - 0.4% Follow live: wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow_l… #brownlowmedal #brownlow
quality video youtube.com/watch?v=C256Z8…
youtube.com
YouTube
A Closer Look at Brownlow Vote Inflation
It's that time of year again - Brownlow Eve. Here are the 2025 consensus predictions round by round! If you have a model / or know one that's missing, comment below (still awaiting a couple incl. last years' winners @greenlitaccount and @SgtButane ). docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
AFL Finals Week 2: Adelaide vs Hawthorn preview Can Hawthorn handball their way through Adelaide’s aerial presence between the arcs? Will Adelaide change lanes in deep transition?
🏅Brownlow Medal 2024 Win probability after round 9: 1️⃣ Patrick Cripps - 96.9% 2️⃣ Nick Daicos - 5.6% 3️⃣ Tom Green - 0.0% 4️⃣ Zak Butters - 0.0% Details: wheeloratings.com/afl_brownlow_l… #Brownlow
🏅Brownlow model time 🏅 Cripps winning most sims (65%) followed by Daicos (30%) Watch for: - Daicos needs to sneak a few early - Cripps might run away with it after the bye if he gets few 3s - Bont needs to be well ahead after rd 17 to stand any chance (+6 votes at least)
2024 consensus model predictions on Brownlow Eve... Still awaiting a couple of submissions (and open to other prior to start of the count tomorrow). Looks to be a two-horse race this year... docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d… @WheeloRatings @greenlitaccount @MatterOfStats @optibrebs
Top 5k captain / VCs as of last night. - another big Ryan game could be the difference maker (non-owners i.e. me - pray) - Gawn the consensus pick. And I think for good reason, not the week to be clever and try something different.
Top 5k #supercoach teams projected to: - average 2351 - good 2458+ - best pushing 2600 Still about a third to captain Daicos
Carnage round 🙈 - Par projected 2124+ - Good 2233+ Based on top 5k (for season) live scores #SuperCoach
Live captain's - if Gawn doesn't get going soon it's looking like a carnage round #supercoach
Tom Green in 85% of the top 5000 teams .... Not catastrophic for owners. Grundy in 28% of teams lower than I would have thought - might be taking the Sweet 74. #SuperCoach
Expected Scores Ladder, Round 7
United States Trends
- 1. Seahawks N/A
- 2. Sam Darnold N/A
- 3. Rams N/A
- 4. Stafford N/A
- 5. Vikings N/A
- 6. Pats N/A
- 7. McVay N/A
- 8. Puka N/A
- 9. #RHOP N/A
- 10. gerard N/A
- 11. Woolen N/A
- 12. #BaddiesUSA N/A
- 13. #AKnightOfTheSevenKingdoms N/A
- 14. Kupp N/A
- 15. #IndustryHBO N/A
- 16. Stacey N/A
- 17. Romeo N/A
- 18. Mike Macdonald N/A
- 19. #mcrperu N/A
- 20. Xavier Smith N/A
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