FPLvariance's profile picture. Stats-based FPL. Analytics Elite 64. 22/23 rank: 825. 23/24 rank: 354. Forever in pursuit of positive variance.

Peter

@FPLvariance

Stats-based FPL. Analytics Elite 64. 22/23 rank: 825. 23/24 rank: 354. Forever in pursuit of positive variance.

Pinned

Follow me on the other app for exclusive content like seeing how shit my xG rank is

FPLvariance's tweet image. Follow me on the other app for exclusive content like seeing how shit my xG rank is

DCL 95 mins let’s goooo, rMins EV rank 📈

FPLvariance's tweet image. DCL 95 mins let’s goooo, rMins EV rank 📈

Next week will be a proper test of who the true "free risk" evangelists are

FPLvariance's tweet image. Next week will be a proper test of who the true "free risk" evangelists are
FPLvariance's tweet image. Next week will be a proper test of who the true "free risk" evangelists are

Semenyo haul Andersen haul Salah (c) haul Gyok/Porro/Munoz returns GW rank 4.3M


Profile pic for a reason 🐐

FPLvariance's tweet image. Profile pic for a reason 🐐

GW4 3/3 FTs Romero -> Muñoz Palmer -> Semenyo Thiago -> Gyökeres

FPLvariance's tweet image. GW4
3/3 FTs
Romero -> Muñoz
Palmer -> Semenyo
Thiago -> Gyökeres

6.1m ♻️ 3.8m 3 penalties and 4 DEFCONs for a pretty decent week.

FPLvariance's tweet image. 6.1m ♻️ 3.8m

3 penalties and 4 DEFCONs for a pretty decent week.

Good thing Watkins is “robust”, otherwise he’d just be bad.


Another Wirtz blank and price drop loading

FPLvariance's tweet image. Another Wirtz blank and price drop loading

Nothing brings me more joy than seeing Big Fantasy’s biggest ever pump-and-dump crash and burn.

FPLvariance's tweet image. Nothing brings me more joy than seeing Big Fantasy’s biggest ever pump-and-dump crash and burn.

Turns out that owning pen takers who also get DEFCONs is actually good

FPLvariance's tweet image. Turns out that owning pen takers who also get DEFCONs is actually good

6.1m overall rank Own Palmer and Wirtz Losing team value everywhere Rolling to 3 FTs

FPLvariance's tweet image. 6.1m overall rank
Own Palmer and Wirtz
Losing team value everywhere

Rolling to 3 FTs

First price rise of the season. Team value all the way up to 99.2m now 🤑🤑🤑

Price Changes ⬆️ Pedro Porro (predicted ✅) ⬇️ Saka (not predicted, was at 94% ❌), Martinelli, Bernardo, Robertson, Milambo, Kostoulas, Cairney, Neil, Kalajdzic, Maatsen, Pinnock, Lamptey, Leon. (All the rest were predicted ✅)

LiveFPLnet's tweet image. Price Changes

⬆️ Pedro Porro (predicted ✅)

⬇️ Saka (not predicted, was at 94% ❌), Martinelli, Bernardo, Robertson, Milambo, Kostoulas, Cairney, Neil, Kalajdzic, Maatsen, Pinnock, Lamptey, Leon. (All the rest were predicted ✅)


GREEN ARROW LET'S GOOOOOOO 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥👏👏👏👏👏👏

FPLvariance's tweet image. GREEN ARROW LET'S GOOOOOOO 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥👏👏👏👏👏👏

If you’re ranked 5M or better you suck at FPL


Peter reposted

Yes, it is GW2 provisional (after Saturday)

f_analytic's tweet image. Yes, it is
GW2 provisional (after Saturday)

Is this the worst start of all time for “elite” FPL players?


0.08 xGI and a stinking performance. Almost like 5 seasons of data is more relevant than a single match against Wolves.

If you need reassurance not to panic buy Reijnders just go look at his fbref page. He’s never put up more than 0.22 xg/90 in his career. He’s a good player. He had a great game. At 5.5m he’s solid value. But he’s not going to be racking up attacking returns every week.



GW2 If you had no injuries/suspensions and didn’t roll the transfer then you’re a casual. I’m sorry, I don’t make the rules.

FPLvariance's tweet image. GW2
If you had no injuries/suspensions and didn’t roll the transfer then you’re a casual. I’m sorry, I don’t make the rules.

Peter reposted

Rudolph the red nosed dickhead is going to go on a “model-breaking” 5-week run FPL Twitter will become just endless posts about him. Philosophical threads by wannabe tacticos on how he’s invented a new position, shitposts, EV muncher copium I couldn’t care less and won’t buy


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