
Peter
@FPLvariance
Stats-based FPL. Analytics Elite 64. 22/23 rank: 825. 23/24 rank: 354. Forever in pursuit of positive variance.
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Follow me on the other app for exclusive content like seeing how shit my xG rank is

Next week will be a proper test of who the true "free risk" evangelists are


Semenyo haul Andersen haul Salah (c) haul Gyok/Porro/Munoz returns GW rank 4.3M
GW4 3/3 FTs Romero -> Muñoz Palmer -> Semenyo Thiago -> Gyökeres

6.1m ♻️ 3.8m 3 penalties and 4 DEFCONs for a pretty decent week.

Nothing brings me more joy than seeing Big Fantasy’s biggest ever pump-and-dump crash and burn.

Turns out that owning pen takers who also get DEFCONs is actually good

6.1m overall rank Own Palmer and Wirtz Losing team value everywhere Rolling to 3 FTs

First price rise of the season. Team value all the way up to 99.2m now 🤑🤑🤑
Price Changes ⬆️ Pedro Porro (predicted ✅) ⬇️ Saka (not predicted, was at 94% ❌), Martinelli, Bernardo, Robertson, Milambo, Kostoulas, Cairney, Neil, Kalajdzic, Maatsen, Pinnock, Lamptey, Leon. (All the rest were predicted ✅)

Yes, it is GW2 provisional (after Saturday)

Is this the worst start of all time for “elite” FPL players?
0.08 xGI and a stinking performance. Almost like 5 seasons of data is more relevant than a single match against Wolves.
If you need reassurance not to panic buy Reijnders just go look at his fbref page. He’s never put up more than 0.22 xg/90 in his career. He’s a good player. He had a great game. At 5.5m he’s solid value. But he’s not going to be racking up attacking returns every week.
GW2 If you had no injuries/suspensions and didn’t roll the transfer then you’re a casual. I’m sorry, I don’t make the rules.

Rudolph the red nosed dickhead is going to go on a “model-breaking” 5-week run FPL Twitter will become just endless posts about him. Philosophical threads by wannabe tacticos on how he’s invented a new position, shitposts, EV muncher copium I couldn’t care less and won’t buy
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