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Alex

@Forud63

Alex reposted

My view has not changed since 2019. In 2019 btc market cap was $100B ($5k btc). This chart said btc mcap would grow to $1T ($50k btc) in 2020-2024 halving period (blue arrow). It did. The same chart shows $10T mcap / $500k btc for 2028 (red arrow). That is still my view.

100trillionUSD's tweet image. My view has not changed since 2019.

In 2019 btc market cap was $100B ($5k btc). This chart said btc mcap would grow to $1T ($50k btc) in 2020-2024 halving period (blue arrow). It did.

The same chart shows $10T mcap / $500k btc for 2028 (red arrow). That is still my view.

Alex reposted

JUST IN: Billionaire Ray Dalio says 1% of his portfolio is in #Bitcoin

BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: Billionaire Ray Dalio says 1% of his portfolio is in #Bitcoin
BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: Billionaire Ray Dalio says 1% of his portfolio is in #Bitcoin

Alex reposted

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said he aims to have committees vote on the crypto market structure bill next month. Bullish 🚀

BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said he aims to have committees vote on the crypto market structure bill next month.

Bullish 🚀
BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: 🇺🇸 Senate Banking Chair Tim Scott said he aims to have committees vote on the crypto market structure bill next month.

Bullish 🚀

Alex reposted

Now that you are all freaking out about some 50 week moving average .. .. this Oct 2019 tweet (when BTC was $8k, and most people were freaking out about miner capitulation after 2020 halving, and I was predicting $55k) feels relevant.

A stock-to-flow 100 asset, being worth less than gold ... is like a planet 100 astro units from the sun, rotating faster around the sun than Pluto

100trillionUSD's tweet image. A stock-to-flow 100 asset, being worth less than gold ... is like a planet 100 astro units from the sun, rotating faster around the sun than Pluto
100trillionUSD's tweet image. A stock-to-flow 100 asset, being worth less than gold ... is like a planet 100 astro units from the sun, rotating faster around the sun than Pluto


Alex reposted

JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan’s FSA plans to classify #Bitcoin and crypto as financial products, lowering the tax on crypto gains from 55% to 20%. Bullish 🚀

BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan’s FSA plans to classify #Bitcoin and crypto as financial products, lowering the tax on crypto gains from 55% to 20%.

Bullish 🚀
BitcoinMagazine's tweet image. JUST IN: 🇯🇵 Japan’s FSA plans to classify #Bitcoin and crypto as financial products, lowering the tax on crypto gains from 55% to 20%.

Bullish 🚀

Alex reposted

Only constant in human action is greed & fear (in the chart: RSI color overlay). IMO greed (red) will return. Scarcity (in the chart: S2F dotted line) is a fundamental driver of value, together with other factors. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold. IMO mcap BTC will be > mcap gold.

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Only constant in human action is greed & fear (in the chart: RSI color overlay). IMO greed (red) will return.

Scarcity (in the chart: S2F dotted line) is a fundamental driver of value, together with other factors. Bitcoin is scarcer than gold. IMO mcap BTC will be > mcap gold.

Alex reposted

Bitcoin 200 week moving average (black line) is diverging from the 200 week geometric mean (grey line) indicating the bull market is building, just like in 2013, 2017 and 2020/2021. My view on current bull market: 👉youtube.com/watch?v=VqNA3V…

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin 200 week moving average (black line) is diverging from the 200 week geometric mean (grey line) indicating the bull market is building, just like in 2013, 2017 and 2020/2021.
My view on current bull market:
👉youtube.com/watch?v=VqNA3V…

Alex reposted

Realized price up 2-year realized price up 5-month realized price up Bitcoin price higher than all realized prices Bull market continues🚀

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Realized price up
2-year realized price up
5-month realized price up
Bitcoin price higher than all realized prices
Bull market continues🚀

Alex reposted

So it begins

100trillionUSD's tweet image. So it begins

Alex reposted

If we see a V-shaped recovery after this dip (next week or so), then that confirms that we are still in a bull market. Bull markets are full of -20% -30% dips, followed by sharp V-shaped recoveries.

100trillionUSD's tweet image. If we see a V-shaped recovery after this dip (next week or so), then that confirms that we are still in a bull market. Bull markets are full of -20% -30% dips, followed by sharp V-shaped recoveries.

Alex reposted

Previous bull markets (2013, 2017, 2020/21) had multiple months with RSI 80+ (red dots in chart below). IMO we will see at least 3 red dots (RSI 80+) in this 2025 bull market. Historically monthly return in red dots is 40%+. $100k*1.4^3=~$270k More info: m.youtube.com/watch?v=CJrG1v…

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Previous bull markets (2013, 2017, 2020/21) had multiple months with RSI 80+ (red dots in chart below). IMO we will see at least 3 red dots (RSI 80+) in this 2025 bull market. Historically monthly return in red dots is 40%+. $100k*1.4^3=~$270k
More info: m.youtube.com/watch?v=CJrG1v…

Alex reposted

Bitcoin January closing price: $102,412 .. NEW monthly close ATH and first monthly close above $100k!! planbtc.com

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin January closing price: $102,412 .. NEW monthly close ATH and first monthly close above $100k!!
planbtc.com

Alex reposted

Bitcoin is getting stronger (RSI=76)🚀 99% of traditional finance has absolutely no idea what is happening. We are so early.

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin is getting stronger (RSI=76)🚀
99% of traditional finance has absolutely no idea what is happening. We are so early.

Alex reposted

💥NEW CHART: combining bitcoin price, RSI, 200WMA, Realized price and S2F in one chart. My analysis of this chart here: youtube.com/watch?v=-Dpxkw…

100trillionUSD's tweet image. 💥NEW CHART: combining bitcoin price, RSI, 200WMA, Realized price and S2F in one chart. 
My analysis of this chart here: youtube.com/watch?v=-Dpxkw…

Alex reposted

Bitcoin September close: $63.302 8th month in the 60k-70k trading range ...

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin September close: $63.302
8th month in the 60k-70k trading range ...

Alex reposted

Bitcoin $60k .. up ~4x from the bottom. Just like before the pump in 2017 and 2020/2021🚀

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin $60k .. up ~4x from the bottom.
Just like before the pump in 2017 and 2020/2021🚀

Alex reposted

Up next: 🟡🟠🔴🔴🔴

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Up next: 🟡🟠🔴🔴🔴

Alex reposted

Yes yes, German government is selling 50,000 btc (10,000 already sold), and Mt.Gox is giving 142,000 btc back to investors (some may sell) ... however I see nothing in the data that indicates structural weakness in bitcoin markets. My btc market analysis: m.youtube.com/watch?v=WeU2OQ…

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Yes yes, German government is selling 50,000 btc (10,000 already sold), and Mt.Gox is giving 142,000 btc back to investors (some may sell) ... however I see nothing in the data that indicates structural weakness in bitcoin markets.
My btc market analysis: m.youtube.com/watch?v=WeU2OQ…

Alex reposted

Bitcoin is gaining momentum

100trillionUSD's tweet image. Bitcoin is gaining momentum

Alex reposted

I refitted 2019 S2F model with 5y new data. I also simplified (halving cycle average instead of monthly, no Satoshi coins) to make it easily understandable. Result: almost same parameters (BTC=0.25*BTC^3) and predictions: 2024-2028 ~$500k, 2028-2032 $4m. m.youtube.com/watch?v=67eetL…

100trillionUSD's tweet image. I refitted 2019 S2F model with 5y new data. I also simplified (halving cycle average instead of monthly, no Satoshi coins) to make it easily understandable. Result: almost same parameters (BTC=0.25*BTC^3) and predictions: 2024-2028 ~$500k, 2028-2032 $4m. m.youtube.com/watch?v=67eetL…

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