Fuzzy Logic
@FuzzyAnalyst
Really, is it that simple?
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Can’t we say, Israel is being too careless with the civilian casualties and Hamas deserves some blame by hiding among (and historically launching rockets from) civilian areas?
"GPT-4 also still lacks knowledge about events “that have occurred after the vast majority of its data cuts off” in September 2021." In what ways can this "old" data still assist in intelligence analysis? theverge.com/2023/3/14/2363…
The trend lines are in Ukraine’s favor. If Ukrainians want to keep fighting, we should keep assisting them. If they lose the will or capacity to keep going, then we push for a deal. I don't think we're near the point of a Russian tactical nuclear response at the moment.
Biggest safety/security updates for the day are: Al-Shabaab threats against Kenya, floods in Sierra Leone, anti-Pride protests in Serbia, renewed fighting in Ethiopia, and flooding in Pakistan.
Over the past two years, homicides and gun assaults trended upward while most property crimes receded. In the first half of 2022, crime patterns partially reversed: in particular, homicides and gun assaults declined while property crimes rose. counciloncj.org/mid-year-2022-…
Sierra Leone: Significant unrest and violence - Precautions are required especially in Freetown. aljazeera.com/news/2022/8/10…
BREAKING #Brazil's most important criminal group, First Command of the Capital (PCC) was planning an attack to free its leaders in jail like #Marcola. campograndenews.com.br/brasil/cidades…
🚨🇸🇦 Just in: Suspicious death of Saudi Ambassador Al-Qahtani during his speech at a conference in the Egyptian capital #Cairo.
More violent political youth clashes in #Greece: “Riot police used tear gas to repel groups of far-right elements who attacked people who had gathered for an antifascist rally in #Thessaloniki on Wednesday evening.” ekathimerini.com/news/1168810/m…
📸 | Kalashnikovs, rocket launchers and... pedalo boats shaped as swans and ducks. ▪️#Taliban fighters patrol the Band-e Amir Lake in #Afghanistan's Bamyan province with pedalo boats shaped as swans and ducks.
#Mexico | The Zetas’ Model of Organized Crime is Leaving Mexico in Ruins bit.ly/3kB6ODI
Travel Risk Rating numbers have been updated. Noteworthy increases in Belarus, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Colombia, Hong Kong, Nicaragua, Nigeria, Peru and Uganda. #traveltips #threatassessment
Latest travel security ratings are updated for 160 countries. Singapore and Finland are currently tied for the safest countries. travelriskrating.com
Updated the travel risk rating for Egypt: 64 (on a 100 scale with 25 being standard security measures and 75 needing special measures.) #securityrisk #travelsafety
New travel risk rating for Equador: 55, on a 0-100 scale. This follows optimism after the election of Guillermo Lasso who plans to immunize nine million people in his first 100 days and deal with an economy that shrunk seven percent in 2020.
Chad: What are the risks after Idriss Déby’s death? crisisgroup.org/africa/central… @CrisisGroup
#Mexico: Travelers should avoid the Mexicali Valley due to the heightened possibility of violence between rival cartel factions. Mexicali Valley is the area east of Highway 5, south of Highway 2D/2, west of Baja California border, and north of La Ventana. ow.ly/ZNAT30rFCmL
#Jerusalem: There has been an increase in protests/violence near the Old City, City Center, and parts of North and East Jerusalem, including vandalism, rock throwing, burning of vehicles, and attacks. Embassy personnel have been advised to avoid the area. ow.ly/3UM050EwmuX
The Department of State's Travel Advisory (TA) system provides safety and security information to U.S. citizens abroad. Health is one of the factors we assess, and we are now linking our health advice more closely with @CDCgov's, particularly when it comes to COVID-19 risk.
Nigeria: Another bus attack kidnapping ‘miracle fishing’ in Oyo State. Reports of 18 kidnapped for ransom off a bus on the Igboora-Eruwa road with a N10 million ransom demand to families for each kidnapped passenger. Such attacks are on the increase.
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