Roy An
@HelloitsRoy
AI Engineer | Asset Manager | Mentoring 5 students every month | IG : helloitsroy
قد يعجبك
🇺🇸 Will the US shutdown end before Oct. 15 ? The nation's 2 million active-duty troops are scheduled to get paid on Oct 15. If the shutdown is still going at that point, they will not get paid. (Reuters) It is in the Gov’s best interest to end the shutdown before that point.
🇺🇸 The US Government has shutdown. This is bearish news for the USD. The fact that key data like the NFP on Friday might be delayed pushes investors away as no one would prefer investing in an economy that they can’t receive information about.
⚱️ Gold finally made it above the 4,000$ area as expected before. As soon as it made it above the 4k area, the peace deal for Gaza was signed. VERY INTERESTING SCHEME.
⚱️ Very interesting Gold , investors are reacting to the US gov shutdown news and buying it ; totally ignoring peace talks in Gaza. I believe the 3900-4,000$ area is in sight , we liquidate this psychological level and then start going down. Waiting and observing.
🇳🇿 The NZD , my friends, is dying to the downside ; after their central bank cut interest rates 50bp (exceeding expectations by 25bp).
🇯🇵 The market presents bullish JPY news today. Their household spending just doubled expectations , which could signal more inflation (therefore higher interest rates) , and their trade balance is doing better than expected. Is it time for the JPY to strengthen a bit ?
🇯🇵 learn to read the charts and spot bullsh*t. As I told you. We pushed up and covered that whole bearish range. Easiest 23k of my life.
🛢️ Oil inventories were announced in the US. It is the highest since early July - meaning there’s less oil demand, which is bearish news for oil. If you bought the last OPEC news , you might want to start managing these positions carefully (trailing SL, etc..)
🛢️ Oil will most probably rebound to the upside starting Monday. It sold off last week given expectations that OPEC+ might raise production by 500,000 bpd (see picture below). Today, OPEC+ decided to only raise it by 137,000 bpd. Again, investors oversold it.
🇪🇺 In an unexpected move , France’s PM just resigned ; causing the euro to shift bearish. This makes it even harder for me to sell the USD, as I need a bullish instrument to sell the USD against. Euro was one of the few steady instruments, now even the Euro got f*cked.
🇯🇵 learn to read the charts and spot bullsh*t. As I told you. We pushed up and covered that whole bearish range. Easiest 23k of my life.
🇯🇵 Wtf is up with the JPY ? It’s so overbought. We just had the steepest retail sales numbers since August 2021 ; and investors are buying it ? Media’s claiming that it’s because of “safe haven demands” after the US shutdown ; bullshit. Overbought, I’m looking to sell it.
🛢️ Oil will most probably rebound to the upside starting Monday. It sold off last week given expectations that OPEC+ might raise production by 500,000 bpd (see picture below). Today, OPEC+ decided to only raise it by 137,000 bpd. Again, investors oversold it.
🇯🇵 Sanaei Takaichi set to become Japan’s first female prime minister. Takaichi in the past has largely criticized the BOJ’s raising of interest rates - which could mean the BOJ will refrain from raising rates next. Even more bearish news for the JPY. Told you it’s overbought.
🇯🇵 Japan’s unemployment rate just got announced. Guess what ? The highest unemployment rate since July 2024. Even more bearish news for the JPY.
🇯🇵 Japan delivers.
🇯🇵 Wtf is up with the JPY ? It’s so overbought. We just had the steepest retail sales numbers since August 2021 ; and investors are buying it ? Media’s claiming that it’s because of “safe haven demands” after the US shutdown ; bullshit. Overbought, I’m looking to sell it.
🇯🇵 Japan’s unemployment rate just got announced. Guess what ? The highest unemployment rate since July 2024. Even more bearish news for the JPY.
🇯🇵 Wtf is up with the JPY ? It’s so overbought. We just had the steepest retail sales numbers since August 2021 ; and investors are buying it ? Media’s claiming that it’s because of “safe haven demands” after the US shutdown ; bullshit. Overbought, I’m looking to sell it.
🇯🇵 Wtf is up with the JPY ? It’s so overbought. We just had the steepest retail sales numbers since August 2021 ; and investors are buying it ? Media’s claiming that it’s because of “safe haven demands” after the US shutdown ; bullshit. Overbought, I’m looking to sell it.
⚱️ Very interesting Gold , investors are reacting to the US gov shutdown news and buying it ; totally ignoring peace talks in Gaza. I believe the 3900-4,000$ area is in sight , we liquidate this psychological level and then start going down. Waiting and observing.
⚱️Gold continues to push up after US gov shutdown increases demand for safe havens. However, I find it weird that Gold didn’t react (go down) to the Gaza peace talks news whatsoever ; therefore I won’t be buying Gold. I’m in a waiting stance now.
🇦🇺 My buying cycle for Australia is finally done. Australia’s exports (trade balance) was just announced : the lowest since June 2018. This decreases my confidence in how bullish this instrument is. I’m walking away from it.
🇦🇺 The AUD is my favorite instrument today. Gold just hit 3,800$ per ounce ; this is good for the AUD as they export a lot of gold. Australia’s inflation just hit a new high of 3% , which adds hope that the RBA might raise interest rates ; this is also good for the AUD.
🇺🇸 The gov shutdown is bearish news for the USD. NFP this Friday might be delayed : bearish news. The job decline announced today : bearish news. I tried to sell the USD today ; I lost. I will try again tomorrow if a setup emerges, unless we receive any positive news.
🇺🇸 holy unemployment. Private businesses in the US cut 32K jobs in September 2025. This is the steepest job decline since March 2023 and the first time since 2020 that the private sector has cut jobs for two consecutive months.
🇺🇸 holy unemployment. Private businesses in the US cut 32K jobs in September 2025. This is the steepest job decline since March 2023 and the first time since 2020 that the private sector has cut jobs for two consecutive months.
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