Chris Hine, MSTA, CFTe
@IQ_TechAnalysis
Formerly a Technical Analyst at investment banks, now a full time trader.
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Spotify….For those about to rock we salute you. Spotify has been core bull trend since 2022 and outperformed both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100. Currently consolidating quietly at top end of it base I expect it to continue these trends and break to new all time highs. Below is a…
Can Digital Gold Reclaim Its Topdog Status Over the Yellow Metal? BTC has shown remarkable resilience compared to other risk assets during the recent market correction. However, it has sharply underperformed in comparison to traditional safe-haven assets like Gold. Despite this,…
US 2s10s Bond Curve The US 2s10s Bond Curve continues to steepen after completing a large base in June last year. With a healthy trend in place I would look for further steepening to the Measured pattern target at 77bps.+#treasuries
Gold/Silver ratio Gold’s outperformance of Silver went into hyperdrive in March with the Gold/Silver ratio busting out of a multi-year range. The recent pause looks like a Bull Flag and expect further outperformance by it over Silver still to come. #GOLD
Bitcoin has once again pulled back to its 40-week (200-day) average, reaching a crucial support zone in the $74,000-$76,000 range. This range encapsulates the 2024 highs and forms the neckline of a significant 'inverted Head & Shoulders' pattern. The depth of this correction…
If MSTR pulled in a little off this 383 level would look for an opportunity to add....if just blew through would wait for next pull back. May work but not a name I want to buy stretched from EMAs....want pullback/higher lows to act.
$DRVN shook me out last month but continues to tighten up and still looks like it wants to put in a primary base. I’ll be keenly watching the 33.35/37 pivots for a trigger.
Despite #WTI Crude Oil’s recent rally has come with Large Spec positioning towards the low end of the 2yr range suggesting there is room to run on the upside.
Rotterdam #Coal #API2 moving on to a new monthly high and doing its best impression of a SpaceX launch…Uncle Elon would be proud!
Natural Gas is chasing Coal higher and is moving ever closer to having a look at the 2014 spike high at 6.493.
$LYV been super strong against the weak tape. It smashed up out of its near 8-month range today on pop in volume. Looking for follow through next week.
Mood music for today! A classic and very apt! Guns N' Roses - Patience youtu.be/ErvgV4P6Fzc via @YouTube
Energy (XLE) will have bounces along the way but the trend is pretty clear so outside a trade don’t bother
Within Industrials Transports (IYT) continue to outperform. While clearly stretched I continue to like the sector until we reach the Nov 2018 relative highs
US Industrials (XLI) are putting in a major base vs the S&P 500. I expect this to be confirmed and to see further outperformance to come and continue to like allocating to this sector.
Demographic tailwinds coupled with ultra-low rates reaffirms the massive relative base the US Housing ETF (ITB) has confirmed against the broader market (SPY).
Value players keep looking for a turn in Financials. We’re at 2008 relative levels to S&P but its still too early to rotate in as there is still no confirmed base yet. While the curve has steepened up we need outright rates to make a sustained move higher to get some traction.
US Pharma Sector (IHE) relative to the broader Healthcare Sector (XLV) has put in a major base after holding the 2008 major low, and also vs the S&P 500 (SPY) appears to basing at major multi-year support. I look for further outperformance against both still to come.
Beneath the index level weakness in US markets, driven by tech, an ongoing rotation into cyclicals continues. In-line with that I continue to favor Industrials (XLI) which have confirmed a large relative base vs the S&P 500
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