JThom Analytics
@JThomAnalytics
https://www.jthomanalytics.com
New feature: What If Calculator. Select winners of future games and see how probabilities change. Example - If Clemson beats Duke today their probability to earn the 1 seed in conference tournament jumps from 4% to 25%. Follow link to make your own selections:…
Minimum of 6 ACC teams to make NCAA tourney - 10 teams still with a chance of an at large bid. Duke positioned for top 2 seed. Follow link for more details and other conferences: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/see…
With KU win over Arizona - Big 12 updates: 1-Houston highest probability to finish first for first time since early in the season 2-Kansas projected to finish in top 4 in conference for first time all season 3-Top 4 (double conf tourney byes) and next 4 (single conf tourney byes)…
5 Big Ten teams have already clinched NCAA Tournament bid. Next closest needs 4 more wins. See more details and other conferences (including 5 other teams who have also clinched). jthomanalytics.com/basketball/seed
Projected 1 seeds separating from field. Higher in chart is better projected TWV (true win value - resume ranking). Teams in 4-6 range very close - end of season critical as they jockey for position. More details here: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/home
Kansas surging. Now have top projected conference finish and NCAA seed of whole season following win @ TT. Avg projected seed of 3.6 and 78% probability to receive top 4 seed. More details and details for other teams: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Congested at top of MWC. 5 teams still have >10% probability to end regular season at least tied for first. More details and other conference data linked: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/win…
New Feature-Enhanced Schedule Comparisons. Question bracketologist logic? Fight with friend on merits of your team vs theirs? Use Schedule Comparison to bring logic to discussion. Shown: 4 teams at 17-4 with very different seed projections (~3/6/9/12). jthomanalytics.com/basketball/com…
Wins to Seed: Michigan. Loss tonight to Nebraska makes path to 1 seed much more difficult. A lot of away games left against good teams and Nebraska becomes solid competitor for 1 seed positioning. More details: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Wins to Seed: Nebraska. If Nebraska beats Michigan today they are a strong 1 seed contender. Most difficult regular season game remaining. Even with loss positioned for top 3 seed. More details: jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Arizona @ BYU Preview - BYU Focus. 3rd most difficult regular season game remaining (after @ Arizona and @ Kansas). Win and positioned to compete for 2 or even 1 seed. Lose and 3/4 seed more likely. This would be best win of season to date. jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Arizona @ BYU Preview - AZ Focus. 3rd most difficult regular season game remaining (after @ Houston and just after @ Kansas). If AZ loses this game & wins all easier games, projected to achieve 1 seed. This would be 2nd best win of year (behind @ UConn) jthomanalytics.com/basketball/tea…
Congrats to Arizona and Nebraska. First two teams to lock an NCAA spot. Next team with opportunity: Michigan (against Nebraska). jthomanalytics.com/basketball/see…
12 teams have >5% chance to earn a 1 seed: 75% of those teams in 2 conferences. Big Ten: 5 Big 12: 4 ACC: 1 Big East: 1 SEC: 1 jthomanalytics.com/basketball/see…
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