ai progress will be a step function, always has been. the hype-winter cycle will repeat until people understand that.
recursive intelligence explosion won't happen. going from n to n + 1 is very hard, mankind hasn't achieved it for all of its existence.
Easy way to see why her model sucks: If she was correct she would shut up & invest & make millions based on the "theory" of emotional intelligence of CEOs, just like everyone else with a great model of the market.
When will you accept that no matter how smart you are or what tool you use, old codebases will become unreadable. It's almost a law of nature.
United States 趨勢
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