Household Employment growth turned negative on a y/y basis for the first time since the COVID pandemic shook employment markets #MacroEdge #DrivenbyData
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Strong indicator that we are already in recession.
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Only happened during recessions since 1953? Also in the modern era, it's usually lagged and only gone negative well inside recessionary environments.
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This is the data that the FED is ignoring! This is why we need cuts badly!!! The labor market is in shambles right now.
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What is the source of this number? We didn't get a negative job or unemployment number change.
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