Capital Consigliere
@Networthknowing
buy side. long only PM. trader. i tweet about markets.
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The most sober take on SaaS right right now.
Is software truly doomed? My thoughts on the continued software sell off: 1. I don't think anyone knows, truly, what the software landscape will look like in 10 years. There's more uncertainty and risk in this space as a whole. 2. Software stocks were selling for all time high…
Step up function in compute came early this year Last year was reasoning. This is going to gobble compute
Pretty much at the time where $NVDA is a no brainer buy at these levels. Market gets the story wrong on this one like once/twice a year.
Are we hitting $140-150B WFE spending this year? If so $AMAT and $ASML going higher
Been preaching optics for months. $POET $LITE
Mizuho- Our top sectors in 2026E are: 1) AI Accelerators and WFE 2) Optical 3) Memory(DRAM/NAND) In our 2026 Semis and Automotive Technologies Outlook, we see continued upside for the SOX in 2026E at attractive valuations(0.9x PEG vs. SPX/Naz at 1.5x/1.7x), but more modest…
I know its only been a week, but we crushing the bench this year. Port up 11% vs SPX at 1%
When trim $AMAT $ASML? I don't even think numbers have moved up all that much yet...
$ATZ $ATZ.TO does it again. Just so gross. Can't stop this company
Quitting the finance game and starting a daycare center in Minnesota 🚀😩
I knocked it out the park with $ATZ. Such a good story and has legs for the next few years on US expansion. Stock +118% YTD
How I'm positioned for 2026: AI Infrastructure: $NVDA $TSM $ASML $AMAT AI Networking/Optics: $MRVL $POET AI Apps/Services: $GOOGL $AMZN $META US Health Insurance: $HUM $OSCR GLP's: $LLY Other bets: $BN $ATZ.TO $WCN $TTWO
Optical solutions will be the main bottleneck in 2026 likewise to HBM bottleneck this in 2025 $CRDO $POET $MRVL $LITE
$NFLX bought $WBD Sad day for the theatres. I remember seeing Interstellar at the movies for the first time - it was the greatest cinematic experience I've had in my life. As a movie fan, I really hope the studios don't give up on making awesome films made to be seen in theatres.
You will never get rich with diversification
Stanley Druckenmiller, one of the greatest macro investors of all time, arguably the GOAT, saying the quiet part out loud 🧠 Diversification is where conviction goes to die. All eggs in one basket, full accountability, ruthless monitoring. That’s how asymmetry is built.
Starter position in $POET. Asymmetric r/r from here. Scarcity of optical technology is key. Could be whippy but I think supply/demand likely out of balance for a couple years as optics > copper in new DC builds
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