Pollitik_Lab's profile picture. We report timely, politically relevant research on executive approval.

Pollitik

@Pollitik_Lab

We report timely, politically relevant research on executive approval.

Pollitik reposted

Should be a fun election to follow! Check @Pollitik_Lab’s prediction and subscribe to their free Substack newsletter

📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post! #ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. 📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post! 

#ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile


Pollitik reposted

Fundamentals #forecast for #Chile elections based on 4 decades of elections in Latin America

📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post! #ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. 📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post! 

#ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile


Big thanks to @gelliottmorris for joining us today to deliver our Fall 2025 Trajectory Talk. Follow his work @50plus1news & support his newsletter strengthinnumbers.substack.com

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. Big thanks to @gelliottmorris for joining us today to deliver our Fall 2025 Trajectory Talk. Follow his work @50plus1news & support his newsletter strengthinnumbers.substack.com

While we projected @MikieSherrill to win in #NewJersey, we undershot her vote shares by 6.8 points (the same amount as @50plus1news).

📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅 📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. 📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost.  🙏


How did we do in #Virginia? Well...we missed high on Winsome-Earle's vote share +2.4.

Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! 🔗in comment.

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! 🔗in comment.


📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅 📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. 📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost.  🙏

Pollitik reposted

Great to see @Pollitik_Lab learning from the best in the biz! Thx @gelliottmorris!

We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉 @gelliottmorris @50plus1news

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉
@gelliottmorris @50plus1news


Pollitik reposted

How cool is this?! 😎 Thanks, @gelliottmorris, for taking the time to visit @Pollitik_Lab!

We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉 @gelliottmorris @50plus1news

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉
@gelliottmorris @50plus1news


We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉 @gelliottmorris @50plus1news

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. We are excited for an exclusive visit from G. Elliott Morris, of Strength in Numbers & 50 Plus 1! 📈📉
@gelliottmorris @50plus1news

Pollitik reposted

The EAD at work!

Latest #HoneymoonTracker shows mixed fortunes for new(ish) world leaders. @_CStocker holds firm🇦🇹,@Bart_DeWever is up🇧🇪, @prabowo 🇮🇩& @Jaemyung_Lee🇰🇷 lose early shine, @Claudiashein 🇲🇽 & @MarkJCarney 🇨🇦climb, @realDonaldTrump 🇺🇸rises from a low base. Take a look🔗 in comments!

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. Latest #HoneymoonTracker shows mixed fortunes for new(ish) world leaders.
@_CStocker  holds firm🇦🇹,@Bart_DeWever 
is up🇧🇪, @prabowo 🇮🇩& @Jaemyung_Lee🇰🇷 lose early shine, @Claudiashein 🇲🇽 & @MarkJCarney 🇨🇦climb, @realDonaldTrump 🇺🇸rises from a low base. Take a look🔗 in comments!


CRISIS SPOTLIGHT: Macron vs. Hollande - Two Presidents, One Economic Reality France Fixed Jobs - but Broke its Politics open.substack.com/pub/pollitik/p… #Macron #France #ApprovalWatch #Hollande #FrancePolitics

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. CRISIS SPOTLIGHT: Macron vs. Hollande - Two Presidents, One Economic Reality
France Fixed Jobs - but Broke its Politics
open.substack.com/pub/pollitik/p…

#Macron #France #ApprovalWatch #Hollande #FrancePolitics

President Marcos Jr.'s Approval Continues its Decline and Shows the Unpopularity of Establishment Politics. #PhilippinePolitics #Marcos #BBM #PollsPH 🇵🇭📉

Pollitik_Lab's tweet image. President Marcos Jr.'s Approval Continues its Decline and Shows the Unpopularity of Establishment Politics. #PhilippinePolitics #Marcos #BBM #PollsPH 🇵🇭📉

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