The lottery of Babylon
@PredictBabylon
Trading on @Polymarket and having fun. Sharing my (probably bad) picks. Not financial advise.
Won't make the same mistakes I made on the OpenAI browser this time. Not big positions but this trader just put money on Roger Ver and Zhao 13 days ago and that's it. Roger Ver is trading at around 18c now. Nice 5x?
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Fell into it again, may not seem much but that's ~30% of my portfolio. Aim to keep it until resolution
So tempted to get back on this market and get some No...
An internet sensation, seems highly underpriced to me.
Sold at 16c for ~25% profit. Didn't realize the leaderboard updates very slowly, so much so the last update was on October 8.
May be a bold bet but 87% of chance in a market that closes in ~20 days and with a competitive leaderboard seems mispriced. Not going to hold onto these until the end but I'm betting on a dip at some point.
Market for this is still pretty stale, but the market for domestic highest grossing movie is giving Zootopia 2 as the favourite. Kinda bothered to be keeping it this long.
Again, not hoping to actually cash in at the end. But: 1. Releases at the end of November 2. Thanksgiving weekend as opening, boosting sales 3. Anticipated movie I hope to cash out on +50% if not more
Funny pricing in this market, the cost of October 31 is smaller than October 15
Placed this bet after noticing that a user that previously sniped the Sora app release, heavily invested thousands on this market. Insider?
Put some spare change on this and definitely paid too much for it. Caught some unusual activity of an account buying only 'Yes' stakes in this market for about $10K at crazy prices. What does he know?
Again, not hoping to actually cash in at the end. But: 1. Releases at the end of November 2. Thanksgiving weekend as opening, boosting sales 3. Anticipated movie I hope to cash out on +50% if not more
May be a bold bet but 87% of chance in a market that closes in ~20 days and with a competitive leaderboard seems mispriced. Not going to hold onto these until the end but I'm betting on a dip at some point.
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