PredictIt Trader
@PredictitT
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Only analogue I can think of for a debate as terrible as Bloomberg is @GovernorPerry - his odds HALVED during his "oops" debate in Nov 2011. That was after he had already collapsed from frontrunner status due to the similarly poor Sept & Oct debates.
Someone please create the definitive list of all primary and 2020 GE markets that we need for @PredictIt. Maybe the PI crew can take a break from spewing out various polling markets to get some of the bigger picture markets on the board.
Yeah it's early, but I'd love to see @PredictIt throw up important 2020 swing state markets, like what party will win Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan, etc. Would be very interested to see the pricing on these -- I also think fluctuations in D primary will strongly influence price
Are gadolinium-based contrast agents biologically active? Look at the presentations at the 2018 NIH Roadmap, esp. “Association between MRI exposure during pregnancy and childhood outcomes,” nibib.nih.gov/sites/default/… #gadolinium #radiology ☢️ #patientsafety #publichealth
Whatever one might have thought appropriate 2 weeks ago re public suppression of Mueller Report, Barr himself has created a situation where it now must come out in full. He released his weird summary/nonsummary letters&took it upon himself to clear POTUS nyti.ms/2HVp1uD
The national debate on impeachment is not over, but the Republican debate over @realDonaldTrump is. Without overwhelming evidence of collusion, Republican base will not abandon Trump no matter what Congressional investigations find.
I'll have an op-ed up shortly about AG Barr's troubling attempt to resolve the obstruction of justice charges (in 48 hours) when Mueller didn't resolve it (in nearly 2 years). Barr must testify. And the American public must see Mueller's full report.
The Barr Letter says Mueller did not make a determination of whether Trump obstructed justice. It sets out both sides. But Barr concludes— on his determination — that there was no obstruction. How did he do that without trying to interview Trump? Full report now needs to come out
If I were Trump,I wouldnt be celebrating. A report from a team of fed prosecutors there was evidence a sitting President obstructed justice? Is our bar so low that this is what we want from a Pres? The exoneration here is from Barr (Trump's guy), not Mueller. Need to see Report.
Judge Jackson was explicit: She said in open court that the “no collusion” mantra is totally unjustified by her decision sentencing Manafort today. So his lawyers and Trump are LYING when they spin today’s developments as supporting the “no collusion” claims of Trump & Co
100% of US senators and 96% of US representatives have a college degree pewrsr.ch/2SUGsAH
Trump proposes amnesty. We voted for Trump and got Jeb!
Democrats had not won a statewide race in Arizona since 2006. They just won four.
“Doing things..Things are happening".....Trump tells us in response to the devastation in California. Both my father and sister suffered from Alzheimer’s. One of the fist observable traits, using the word "things" when unable to recall common nouns. Just an observation.
Chris Wallace, winning: WALLACE: What are the odds? One in a hundred? What--What? TRUMP: I don’t do odds, I gave very detailed-- WALLACE: You ran a casino sir.
180K Arizonans who voted for Gov. Ducey voted for Kyrsten Sinema. She won independents by 10 and no doubt received quite a few Republican votes. It’s quite obvious why. McSally, who deserves credit for a gracious concession, made a strategic decision to go all in with Trump. 1/
Lots of cash with nothing to do at @PredictIt this morning -- maybe time to put up some markets for the potential Cabinetaggedon that may be coming over the 2 months? Also let's get the First Dem to Announce for 2020 market up and running?
The failure of @PredictIt to invest in a site that can handle election night volume casts doubt on the security of the platform for traders and its value proposition for researchers.
Will @BobMenendezNJ be re-elected to the U.S. #Senate in New Jersey in 2018? Bought yes at 79% on @PredictIt
Will @Oprah run for president in 2020? Bought no at 85% on @PredictIt
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