WWU Center for Economic and Business Research
@PugetSoundEF
The Center for Economic and Business Research (CEBR) at Western Washington University. Publishers of the award-winning Puget Sound Economic Forecaster.
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Case-Shiller: National home prices rose 1.3% annually in Sept, down from a 1.5% increase in Aug. (two-month lag in data) That may sound like good news if you’re shopping for a home, but it’s not a great sign for the housing market overall. buff.ly/4MM3NW3
A divided Fed committee, missing data and a whiff of stagflation leave Powell to choose between two paths—cut rates or hold them steady and reassess in January. Each has drawbacks. buff.ly/3ic3m2O
Copper prices have risen 23% this year and supply is expected to be tight over the coming years. With the metal increasingly viewed as critical by governments across the globe, companies are willing to do extraordinary things to get in on the rush.
Boeing is pushing to rebuild its reputation and production rhythm as it battles to fix long-running quality issues in its 737 factory—with early signs of a turnaround emerging from the shop floor. Output of 737s nears 42 jets a month. buff.ly/l24fGko
Mapping out year to come for the US, Goldman Sachs economists anticipate an acceleration in economic growth to 2% to 2.5% as the impact of the July tax-cut legislation is felt, along with reduced drag from tariff hikes and easier financial conditions as the Fed cuts rates.
Almost all Gen Zers plan to shop Black Friday week. While average spending is down, participation in the event is up across generations, an encouraging sign for the blockbuster holiday. buff.ly/3BLr2mG
U.S. retail and food services sales for September 2025 were $733.3 billion, an increase of 0.2 percent (+/-0.4 percent)* from the previous month. September 2025: +0.2* % Change August 2025 (r): +0.6 % Change
U.S. total business end-of-month inventories for August 2025 were $2,663.7 billion, virtually unchanged (+/- 0.1 percent)* from last month. U.S. total business sales were $1,950.9 billion, up 0.2 percent (+/- 0.1 percent) from last month.
Third-Quarter GDP Growth Estimate Decreased. On November 25, the GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth in the third quarter of 2025 is 4.0 percent, down from 4.2 percent on November 21.
The FAA expects this will be the busiest Thanksgiving week in a decade and a half. Adding to the uncertainty is the fact that there's still no timeline to fix the leak shutting down the pipeline that delivers fuel to Sea-Tac Airport. buff.ly/4Wq05T1
Europe and the U.S. reached a broad trade agreement months ago, but they’re still haggling over the details. American officials are visiting Brussels this week and hope to finalize a written deal. buff.ly/KawkJ57
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