Rob
@RobLorge
Fantasy football is a math equation. Writer for @RotoBaller.
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2025 Fantasy Football Rankings Quarterbacks 1. Josh Allen 2. Lamar Jackson 3. Jalen Hurts 4. Jayden Daniels 5. Joe Burrow 6. Baker Mayfield 7. Patrick Mahomes 8. Jared Goff 10. Bo Nix 11. Kyler Murray 12. Trevor Lawrence 13. Brock Purdy 14. Justin Herbert 15. Caleb Williams
Between AJ Brown and Brandon Aiyuk… one of them will end up in either Washington, Buffalo, or New England. Book it.
I love Josh Allen. He’s an MVP. He’s got the stuff to carry a team to a Super Bowl. I just don’t think he can carry this team. The run defense is atrocious, but worse than that… their pass catchers are horrendous. Bottom-five in the NFL. Just not good enough. Not even close.
Since 2000, 109 WRs were drafted in round 1. 100 played in at least 8 games their rookie season. 36 of those 100 failed to average 35 yards per game during their rookie season. Matthew Golden is currently one of them. Only 6 of those 36 ever went onto have a 1,000 yard season.
Gary has 7.5 sacks through 10 games. He’s currently on pace for 13 sacks, which would be a career high. He currently has 33 pressures. Maxx Crosby has 34. Gary is on pace for 56. This would’ve ranked 19th last year with Nik Bonitto. What’s the problem here exactly?
This has been a really disappointing element of the Parsons acquisition. Gary should be absolutely destroying this season, and he's not.
x.com/roblorge/statu… There’s just no way anyone can think all of this is out of AJB’s control. A few years ago, there isn’t any way a CB of Rock Ya-Sin’s caliber is running with him in man to man coverage with no safety help.
The story in Philly is AJB is struggling cuz the offense isn’t good. What if the offense is struggling cuz AJB isn’t playing well? Hurts’ on pace stats are similar to yrs past. Smitty & Goedert are on pace for career yrs. If it was the offense, shouldn’t they be struggling too?
These per game averages equate to 124 targets, 92 receptions & 1,394 yards. The 49ers are fourth in pass attempts & first in passing yards. Remember Brandon Aiyuk in 2023? That’s Pearsall’s role & the upside he has over the final stretch here. Potential league winner.
Ricky Pearsall has as many 100+ yard games in 4 appearances as Justin Jefferson has in 9 appearances. Dating back to Week 16 of last season, beginning a stretch where he played more than 70% of the snaps, Pearsall has averaged 7.3 targets, 5.4 receptions & 82.0 yards per game.
AJB Brown, 2023-2025 Efficiency Stats YPT: 7.6 (2025) vs 11.1 (2024) vs 9.2 (2023) Yards Per Team Pass Attempt: 1.84 (25) vs 3.49 (24) vs 2.59 (23) YPRR: 1.65 (25) vs 3.16 (24) vs 2.59 (23) 1st Down Per Route Run: 6.5% (25) vs 15% (24) vs 12.5% (23)
Eagles are 12th in points & have the fewest turnovers. *Pace Stats* Hurts: 3,520 yds, 30 TDs & 2 picks Smitty: 91 catches, 1,241 yds & 6 TDs Goedert: 72 catches, 706 yds & 15 TDs Barkley: 1,241 scrimmage yds AJB: 64 catches & 867 yds Where’s the problem?
Matt LaFleur is being forced to deal with the fall out of several Gutey misses. Doubs, Watson, Wicks, Reed & Golden: no consistently good players. Just guys. The return on the OL investments have been bad. Belton, a rookie to be fair, meh. Morgan, bad. Banks, not good.
Since Week 5, which was against the Denver Broncos, Jalen Hurts is: - completing 68.6% of his passes - averaging 250 yards per game - averaging 2.2 TDs per game - averaging 8.9 YPA - 119.7 QB rating Would put him on pace for 4,250 yards & 37 TDs. Not too shabby!
Since Week 9, 2024 - AJ Brown: 121 targets, 77 catches, 1,079 yards & 7 TDs - DeVonta Smith: 117 targets, 91 catches, 1,189 yards & 9 TDs There’s a new No. 1 wide receiver in Philly. Don’t be surprised when AJ Brown is traded this offseason.
Chiefs should’ve traded for Tony Pollard. Packers should’ve traded for David Njoku. Bills should’ve traded Keon Coleman & some picks for DJ Moore. Chargers should’ve traded for Rachaad White (assuming Bucky Irving is healthy).
Can’t get 10 yard carries when all your carries are inside the 5-yard line. It’s not his fault all he does is score tuddies.
In 36 college games, Matthew Golden has just 10 games with 7+ targets. He has zero in 7 NFL games. In those 36 college games, he has 16 (!!!) games with 4 or fewer targets. He has 4/7 NFL games with 4 or less targets. NOT a target earner. Sadly, never has been.
*Weeks 5-8* WR1: 7.7 targets per game, 5.0 receptions per game, 67 yards per game, 11.2 PPG WR2: 8.0 targets per game, 4.0 receptions per game, 70 yards per game, 11.0 PPG Who are they?
While no one claim victory yet (it’s still far too early for that) the analytic nerds have a big, early lead on the film bros when it comes to Matthew Golden’s first seven games. It’s early yet, but the analytic nerds gotta be loving where they sit on this one so far.
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