Ryan Randone
@RyanRandone
Syracuse/Newhouse '26 - @WAERSports and @Z89Sports Past: @downthedrive, @STSouthland, @FLTeams
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CFP Quarterfinal Predictions: Cotton: Ohio State 23, Miami 14 Orange: Texas Tech 27, Oregon 24 Rose: Indiana 17, Alabama 10 Sugar: Georgia 38, Ole Miss 17 All the top four seeds win. They're in that position for a reason.
It's never paid to be a contrarian with college football playoff picks. I don't see that changing this season.
There's no need for playoff expansion. The reason there are so many "capable" teams is due to how large the conferences are and scheduling differences. Smaller conferences/better scheduling would help this issue. The 2026 nine-game SEC schedule will assist with that.
The Head-to-Head between Miami and Notre Dame should have mattered all along. It took the committee a while, but they finally got it right.
If Notre Dame gets in, it should be on looking better and having a more impressive resume than Alabama. But the Irish shouldn't get in over Miami. That ignores arguably one of the most important criteria the committee considers.
If Alabama gets into the playoff, it should be based on a resume that INCLUDES the loss yesterday. What the committee CAN'T do is ignore the result of that game. If you do that, that's when you devalue the importance of a CCG, not the other way around. Every game counts.
What my guess would be: 1. Indiana 2. Georgia 3. Ohio State 4. Texas Tech 5. Oregon 6. Ole Miss 7. Texas A&M 8. Oklahoma 9. Notre Dame 10. Alabama 11. Tulane 12. JMU I think it would be a cop-out and set a few bad precedents, but it would also be easy for them justify.
To stress it one more time, plenty of teams have moved out of the field due to CCG losses: A. 2015 Iowa (12-0, No. 4) B. 2017 Auburn (10-2, No. 2) C. 2017 Wisconsin (12-0, No. 4) D. Both 2018 and 2019 Georgia (11-1, No. 4) E. 2022 USC (11-1, No. 4) F: 2023 UGA (12-0, No. 1)
As previously stated, teams in the field have moved behind idle teams after a conference championship loss before. Alabama missing the field after a blowout wouldn't be unreasonable at all. My personal ranking after today would be: 9. Miami 10. Notre Dame 11. Alabama (Out)
There is a very similar analog to this situation. In 2017, No. 2 Auburn lost 28-7 to Georgia in an SEC title game rematch. It was Auburn's third loss. They dropped five spots to No. 7. Alabama at 11-1 and idle moved into the field.
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