Seth Golden
@SetthCL
I specialize in VIX, Retail, Consumer Goods. Hedge fund consultant, chief market strategist Finom Group
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FOMC now projecting a #recession later in 2023 $SPX $SPY #Macro #economy
I had the pleasure of guest appearing on the @schaeffers podcast. After Q1, how are the New Year's resolutions holding up, what lay ahead for markets, and how to game plan for peaks and valleys in the markets. open.spotify.com/episode/1eqhw3…
… And another 1... 💯 $VXX short from $42.93 covered $42.45! You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ
… And another 1... 💪 $VXX short from $43.95 covered $43.50. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ
The worst performing cohort of investors/traders are the CTA, you know, those Futures traders. How much time do you spend fretting over the weekly CoT report? $SPX $SPY $QQQ $ES_F $DIA
Oh yeah 💯 Another strong #Paypal trade! $PYPL long from $74.88 sold $75.63. You can trade with us at finomgroup.com. $SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN
And another one... Another strong #Paypal trade! $PYPL long from $73.81 sold $74.61. You can trade with us at finomgroup.com. $SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN
The lure of outperforming $SPX w/mkt timing often sign of ignorance or a "non-investor" altogether, putting on shows of analyzing mkt conditions, while maintaining a perma-cash pile. Even the best mkt timer has minimally better performance than Buy Any Time/DCA/Bad Timer $SPY
Do for the one which you wish you could do for everyone! 🙏
Larry Williams: "In the midst of the "Up, Up, and Away" cycle, which likely won't subside until 2028 into 2029" (circled) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA
Ohhhhhhhh "recessionistas".... The Unemployment Rate decline reported occurred alongside an INCREASE ⤴️ in Labor Force Participation Rate NOT, typically what you see going into a #recession (blue lines) Despite LEI down 10 consecutive months h/t @nicholastreece #Macro #Jobs
Since 1932, this is currently where the VAST MAJORITY of market GAINS come from. If you're not in it now, you're total return potential is greatly diminished over an investing lifetime! $SPX $SPY
BofA Merrill Lynch: "...Current levels for equities suggest that risks from a 12-18mnth time frame are balanced... Recessions bring about a decline in risk assets due to the shock and surprise factor, but that condition is MISSING TODAY." $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA #Macro
Historically, whenever Unemployment Rate has crossed above 12-month moving average (3.8%) a #recession has almost always followed shortly thereafter by avg of 3.5 months. Further from 12-month MA Unemployment Rate today than back in Oct. 2022. #Macro #economy #JobsReport
You think Nasdaq 100 fades? $NDX YTD Return = 14.9% through Feb 3rd - Ranks #4 start Since 1987 - Of top 10 YTD starts through 2/3 - Returns on average are strong through end of year - Average: 28% - Median: 24% - 90%+ positivity rate - ht/ @mattcerminaro $QQQ $COMPQ $SPX
What "Nailing It" looks like. Are you listening to Larry? $SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX #FANG
Big Call On FANG from Larry Williams: Get on board boys and girls. Up, up and awayyyyyyy... Fang to go Bang! 🧨🧨 $SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX #FANG
Finom Group's weekend macro-market Research Report has been sent to subscribers ($14.99/month, cancel any time) 1⃣ Quants 2⃣Fundamentals 3⃣Technicals 4⃣Everything an investor needs to make sound trading/investing decisions finomgroup.com/dont-worry-be-…
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Don't Worry, Be Happy... About Pullbacks In Uptrends - Finom Group
Welcome back traders and investors. This past trading week was jam-packed with optimism, but it ended on a sour note with respect to price action. Animal spirits were seemingly trampling the market...
Update: There is actually, only, and most probabilistically an 13% chance of #recession in coming 12-month period. 🤓
Unpopular, but data-supported opinion: There is actually, only, and most probabilistically a 15% chance of recession in the coming 12-month period. "Like" if you disagree 😉 #Macro #recession #GDP #study
The Market Leads: If you didn't fight down, do you think it's wise to fight up? (PMI blue, S&P 500 red) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA
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