SetthCL's profile picture. I specialize in VIX, Retail, Consumer Goods. Hedge fund consultant, chief market strategist Finom Group

Seth Golden

@SetthCL

I specialize in VIX, Retail, Consumer Goods. Hedge fund consultant, chief market strategist Finom Group

Seth Golden reposted

FOMC now projecting a #recession later in 2023 $SPX $SPY #Macro #economy

SethCL's tweet image. FOMC now projecting a #recession later in 2023

$SPX $SPY #Macro #economy

Seth Golden reposted

Notice the date!

SethCL's tweet image. Notice the date!

Seth Golden reposted

I had the pleasure of guest appearing on the @schaeffers podcast. After Q1, how are the New Year's resolutions holding up, what lay ahead for markets, and how to game plan for peaks and valleys in the markets. open.spotify.com/episode/1eqhw3…


Seth Golden reposted

… And another 1... 💯 $VXX short from $42.93 covered $42.45! You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ

SethCL's tweet image. … And another 1... 💯

$VXX short from $42.93 covered $42.45! 

You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com 

$VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ

… And another 1... 💪 $VXX short from $43.95 covered $43.50. You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com $VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ

SethCL's tweet image. … And another 1... 💪

$VXX short from $43.95 covered $43.50. 

You can trade/invest with us at finomgroup.com 

$VIX $UVIX $UVXY $SPY $QQQ


Seth Golden reposted

The worst performing cohort of investors/traders are the CTA, you know, those Futures traders. How much time do you spend fretting over the weekly CoT report? $SPX $SPY $QQQ $ES_F $DIA

SethCL's tweet image. The worst performing cohort of investors/traders are the CTA, you know, those Futures traders. 

How much time do you spend fretting over the weekly CoT report? 

$SPX $SPY $QQQ $ES_F $DIA

Seth Golden reposted

Oh yeah 💯 Another strong #Paypal trade! $PYPL long from $74.88 sold $75.63. You can trade with us at finomgroup.com. $SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN

SethCL's tweet image. Oh yeah 💯

Another strong #Paypal trade!   $PYPL long from $74.88 sold $75.63.

You can trade with us at finomgroup.com.     

$SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN

And another one... Another strong #Paypal trade! $PYPL long from $73.81 sold $74.61. You can trade with us at finomgroup.com. $SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN

SethCL's tweet image. And another one...

Another strong #Paypal trade!    $PYPL long from $73.81 sold $74.61.

You can trade with us at finomgroup.com.     

$SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN
SethCL's tweet image. And another one...

Another strong #Paypal trade!    $PYPL long from $73.81 sold $74.61.

You can trade with us at finomgroup.com.     

$SPY $TQQQ $NDX $AAPL $AMZN


Seth Golden reposted

The lure of outperforming $SPX w/mkt timing often sign of ignorance or a "non-investor" altogether, putting on shows of analyzing mkt conditions, while maintaining a perma-cash pile. Even the best mkt timer has minimally better performance than Buy Any Time/DCA/Bad Timer $SPY

SethCL's tweet image. The lure of outperforming $SPX w/mkt timing often sign of ignorance or a "non-investor" altogether, putting on shows of analyzing mkt conditions, while maintaining a perma-cash pile.

Even the best mkt timer has minimally better performance than Buy Any Time/DCA/Bad Timer $SPY

Seth Golden reposted

Do for the one which you wish you could do for everyone! 🙏


Seth Golden reposted

Larry Williams: "In the midst of the "Up, Up, and Away" cycle, which likely won't subside until 2028 into 2029" (circled) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

SethCL's tweet image. Larry Williams:

"In the midst of the "Up, Up, and Away" cycle, which likely won't subside until 2028 into 2029" (circled)

$SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

Seth Golden reposted

Ohhhhhhhh "recessionistas".... The Unemployment Rate decline reported occurred alongside an INCREASE ⤴️ in Labor Force Participation Rate NOT, typically what you see going into a #recession (blue lines) Despite LEI down 10 consecutive months h/t @nicholastreece #Macro #Jobs

SethCL's tweet image. Ohhhhhhhh "recessionistas"....

The Unemployment Rate decline reported occurred alongside an INCREASE ⤴️ in Labor Force Participation Rate

NOT, typically what you see going into a #recession (blue lines)

Despite LEI down 10 consecutive months 

h/t @nicholastreece #Macro #Jobs

Seth Golden reposted

Since 1932, this is currently where the VAST MAJORITY of market GAINS come from. If you're not in it now, you're total return potential is greatly diminished over an investing lifetime! $SPX $SPY

SethCL's tweet image. Since 1932, this is currently where the VAST MAJORITY of market GAINS come from. 

If you're not in it now, you're total return potential is greatly diminished over an investing lifetime!

$SPX $SPY

Seth Golden reposted

BofA Merrill Lynch: "...Current levels for equities suggest that risks from a 12-18mnth time frame are balanced... Recessions bring about a decline in risk assets due to the shock and surprise factor, but that condition is MISSING TODAY." $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA #Macro

SethCL's tweet image. BofA Merrill Lynch:

"...Current levels for equities suggest that risks from a 12-18mnth time frame are balanced... Recessions bring about a decline in risk assets due to the shock and surprise factor, but that condition is MISSING TODAY."

$SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA #Macro

Seth Golden reposted

Historically, whenever Unemployment Rate has crossed above 12-month moving average (3.8%) a #recession has almost always followed shortly thereafter by avg of 3.5 months. Further from 12-month MA Unemployment Rate today than back in Oct. 2022. #Macro #economy #JobsReport

SethCL's tweet image. Historically, whenever Unemployment Rate has crossed above 12-month moving average (3.8%) a #recession has almost always followed shortly thereafter by avg of 3.5 months.

Further from 12-month MA Unemployment Rate today than back in Oct. 2022. 

#Macro #economy #JobsReport

Seth Golden reposted

You think Nasdaq 100 fades? $NDX YTD Return = 14.9% through Feb 3rd - Ranks #4 start Since 1987 - Of top 10 YTD starts through 2/3 - Returns on average are strong through end of year - Average: 28% - Median: 24% - 90%+ positivity rate - ht/ @mattcerminaro $QQQ $COMPQ $SPX

SethCL's tweet image. You think Nasdaq 100 fades? 
$NDX YTD Return = 14.9% through Feb 3rd

- Ranks #4 start Since 1987
- Of top 10 YTD starts through 2/3
- Returns on average are strong through end of year
- Average: 28%
- Median: 24%
- 90%+ positivity rate
- ht/ @mattcerminaro 

 $QQQ $COMPQ $SPX

Seth Golden reposted

What "Nailing It" looks like. Are you listening to Larry? $SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX #FANG

Big Call On FANG from Larry Williams: Get on board boys and girls. Up, up and awayyyyyyy... Fang to go Bang! 🧨🧨 $SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX #FANG

SethCL's tweet image. Big Call On FANG from Larry Williams:

Get on board boys and girls. Up, up and awayyyyyyy...

Fang to go Bang! 🧨🧨

$SPX $SPY $QQQ $NDX #FANG


Seth Golden reposted

Finom Group's weekend macro-market Research Report has been sent to subscribers ($14.99/month, cancel any time) 1⃣ Quants 2⃣Fundamentals 3⃣Technicals 4⃣Everything an investor needs to make sound trading/investing decisions finomgroup.com/dont-worry-be-…

finomgroup.com

Don't Worry, Be Happy... About Pullbacks In Uptrends - Finom Group

Welcome back traders and investors. This past trading week was jam-packed with optimism, but it ended on a sour note with respect to price action. Animal spirits were seemingly trampling the market...


Seth Golden reposted

Truth!

SethCL's tweet image. Truth!

Seth Golden reposted

Update: There is actually, only, and most probabilistically an 13% chance of #recession in coming 12-month period. 🤓

Unpopular, but data-supported opinion: There is actually, only, and most probabilistically a 15% chance of recession in the coming 12-month period. "Like" if you disagree 😉 #Macro #recession #GDP #study



Seth Golden reposted

The Market Leads: If you didn't fight down, do you think it's wise to fight up? (PMI blue, S&P 500 red) $SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

SethCL's tweet image. The Market Leads:

If you didn't fight down, do you think it's wise to fight up?

(PMI blue, S&P 500 red)

$SPX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

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