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Sleeper Picks

@SleeperPiccs

Sharing my NFL takes

Josh Jacobs will finish at minimum RB10, max RB4. Read this article for details. open.substack.com/pub/ntrebb/p/2…

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. Josh Jacobs will finish at minimum RB10, max RB4. Read this article for details. 

open.substack.com/pub/ntrebb/p/2…

Please give my article a read on Substack. I plan on doing free articles like this weekly. ntrebb.substack.com/p/2024-nfl-sto…

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. Please give my article a read on Substack. I plan on doing free articles like this weekly. 

ntrebb.substack.com/p/2024-nfl-sto…

Gabe Davis gets no love in the fantasy community, but I believe a resurgent season is in the makes for him. I’m predicting a solid finish inside the top 36. Gabe Davis fantasy finishes: 2020: WR47 2021: WR49 2022: WR24 2023: WR38 2024: ? ADP: WR60


TE top 6 IN and OUT Favorites to go OUT: Njoku; Hockenson Favorites to jump IN: Andrews; McBride My picks: Andrews ⬆️ Hockenson ⬇️ McBride ⬆️ Njoku⬇️ Pitts⬆️ Engram⬇️

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. TE top 6 IN and OUT 

Favorites to go OUT: 
Njoku; Hockenson

Favorites to jump IN: 
Andrews; McBride

My picks: 
Andrews ⬆️
Hockenson ⬇️
McBride ⬆️
Njoku⬇️
Pitts⬆️
Engram⬇️

WR top 10 shake up! Favorites to fall out: Evans; Nico Favorites to jump up: Jefferson; Chase; Wilson My picks: Wilson⬆️ Moore⬇️ Jefferson⬆️ Deebo⬇️ Smith⬆️ Aiyuk⬇️

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. WR top 10 shake up! 

Favorites to fall out: 
Evans; Nico

Favorites to jump up: 
Jefferson; Chase; Wilson

My picks: 
Wilson⬆️
Moore⬇️
Jefferson⬆️
Deebo⬇️
Smith⬆️
Aiyuk⬇️

Continuing to look at top 10 for fantasy. This time, RB Likely candidates to fall outside top 10 for this year: Mostert; White; Montgomery Upside looks: Cook; Barkley; Bijan; Achane My picks: Barkley⬆️ Mostert⬇️ Bijan⬆️ White⬇️ Walker III ⬆️ Kyren ⬇️ The lions are an enigma

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. Continuing to look at top 10 for fantasy. This time, RB
Likely candidates to fall outside top 10 for this year:
Mostert; White; Montgomery 
Upside looks: 
Cook; Barkley; Bijan; Achane

My picks: 
Barkley⬆️
Mostert⬇️
Bijan⬆️
White⬇️
Walker III ⬆️
Kyren ⬇️

The lions are an enigma

What will shake up in the QB fantasy standings for this year? Baker is the likely candidate to fall out of the top 10. Kyler; Stroud and Richardson are the favorites to break into the top 10. My bet: Kyler IN⬆️ Baker OUT⬇️ Lawrence IN ⬆️ Dak OUT ⬇️ Stroud IN ⬆️ Goff OUT ⬇️

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. What will shake up in the QB fantasy standings for this year? Baker is the likely candidate to fall out of the top 10. Kyler; Stroud and Richardson are the favorites to break into the top 10. 
My bet: 
Kyler IN⬆️
Baker OUT⬇️
Lawrence IN ⬆️
Dak OUT ⬇️
Stroud IN ⬆️
Goff OUT ⬇️

Sell candidate: Wicks He has gotten so much buzz this offseason. I think it’s time to capitalize. The path forward is too dependent on not just Love, but also the performance of 3 other good WRs that are currently ahead in the depth chart. Look to sell high for a 2nd rounder.


Opinions are all over the board when it comes to WRs in Green Bay. When in doubt, take the best athlete in the room: Christian Watson Packers WANT him to step up as the clear WR1 in this offense. He will get the chance and I think the only thing standing in his way is health


Packers just placed AJ Dillon on IR. Josh Jacobs and Emanuel Wilson are the healthy RBs to start the season now. Lafleur likes using a committee, but I have a hard time seeing Jacob’s getting less than 20 touches per game with the backfield nearly to himself to start the season.


Bet on Canales in week 1 vs Saints. Past 2 seasons, he prepped his QB to perform out the gate. 2022 as QB coach for Geno Smith: Upset the Broncos at home 17-16. Geno- 23/28 for 195 & 2TDs 2023 as OC for the Bucs: Upset the Vikings on the road 20-17 Baker- 21/34 for 173 & 2TDs

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. Bet on Canales in week 1 vs Saints. Past 2 seasons, he prepped his QB to perform out the gate.

2022 as QB coach for Geno Smith: Upset the Broncos at home 17-16. 
Geno- 23/28 for 195 & 2TDs 

2023 as OC for the Bucs:
Upset the Vikings on the road 20-17
Baker- 21/34 for 173 & 2TDs

Garrett Wilson will face these corners in 2024. Get your popcorn ready🍿 Chavarius Ward (SF) Pat Surtain (DEN) Devon Witherspoon (SEA) Darius Williams (LAR) L’Jarius Snead (TEN) Jalen Ramsey (MIA) x2 Rasul Douglas (BUF) x2 Christian Gonzalez (NE) x2 Derek Stingley (HOU)

SleeperPiccs's tweet image. Garrett Wilson will face these corners in 2024. Get your popcorn ready🍿

Chavarius Ward (SF) 
Pat Surtain (DEN) 
Devon Witherspoon (SEA) 
Darius Williams (LAR) 
L’Jarius Snead (TEN) 
Jalen Ramsey (MIA) x2 
Rasul Douglas (BUF) x2
Christian Gonzalez (NE) x2
Derek Stingley (HOU)

Dynasty Stash - Jaylen Wright We’ve already seen the value of Miami RBs. They love their speed and a committee approach. There’s room for 2 top 10 backs in this offense. Look for Wright to take the Mostert role and even contribute as a part of a three headed monster in year 1.


Puka’s market in dynasty is teetering on the edge of exploding or imploding. A. He could dominate, again 📈 B. He could be mid 📉 C. Injury 📉📉 With the looming departure of Stafford, Puka has to crush yet again in order to gain value. I’ll root for it. But I won’t bet on it.


Most rookie QBs fail because of the level of expectation and the pressure the media puts on them to meet it. Caleb Williams has had this expectation and media pressure for 2 years now. We’ve seen the man sob on camera ffs, he will be unwavering to resistance from the media.


Drake Maye’s game, will not translate well to NE. He needs a clean pocket to operate and was drafted onto a team with a PFF ranked 28th O-line. Top it off…he faces the Jets; Bills and Dolphins twice each in division. Expect some horrific INTs this year.


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