SubtleInduction's profile picture. Fat tails and frustrating assets.

Into Absurdity

@SubtleInduction

Fat tails and frustrating assets.

$HIMS (but maybe not anymore)

can't stand these mfs

steve2bacon's tweet image. can't stand these mfs


About to add "50-year mortgage" to my list of muted words because I can't believe the retarded takes I'm already seeing. You need to discount, those payments in the out years are worth next to nothing in today's dollars. Illustration:

SubtleInduction's tweet image. About to add "50-year mortgage" to my list of muted words because I can't believe the retarded takes I'm already seeing. You need to discount, those payments in the out years are worth next to nothing in today's dollars. Illustration:

Into Absurdity 已轉發

Hard to make real products, easy to promise everything, IPO or SPAC out scams and get multiples on your investments


I'm short $HIMS. ultra promotional company without any durable advantage and a shady management team, and now the marginal buyer / seller is starting to catch on.

That CEO teaming up with Antonio at the top to gang bang retail was really nasty work... Lock them both up

steve2bacon's tweet image. That CEO teaming up with Antonio at the top to gang bang retail was really nasty work... Lock them both up


got to love the irony of gold bugs and bitcoiners alike who think the government will be their ultimate exit liquidity


... and your bearish or bullish? 😽

Yep thats just less traveling i have to do to get to your kitty



$HIMS I've never seen a company use this type of promotional "almost" and "nearly" terminology in an earnings release. It's an earnings release, just post the actual numbers in the headlines!

SubtleInduction's tweet image. $HIMS I've never seen a company use this type of promotional "almost" and "nearly" terminology in an earnings release. It's an earnings release, just post the actual numbers in the headlines!

My friend said I must be a virgin for thinking 6-8% is a big. To be fair I did say that I didn't want too big, otherwise can be challenging when trying to enter.


big green dildo currently loading?

SubtleInduction's tweet image. big green dildo currently loading?

Started a position in this one today $PLMR would like to add more on a big thick green dildo (but not too big)



I always want to punch people in the face when they call themselves objective and data driven. Like dude, you can't be fucking serious. 99.9% of the time the one saying that don't even understand what's wrong with that statement.


-> call yourself "data driven" -> only focus on the data that supports your bias


Into Absurdity 已轉發

Scottie Pippen is stealing peoples $BTC charts... and you're bearish?

Dude Scottie Pippen just stole my chart… I ain’t even mad Spread the good word 🙌🏀



Into Absurdity 已轉發

Great time to load up on P&C for downside protection $ORI $WRB $FFH.TO are some of my favorites. Worth playing Florida trade for the next few weeks $ACIC $SLDE $UVE $HCI etc…


Everyone and their mom is looking at this fractal.

My analog chart below continues to track perfectly, which puts us somewhere in the spring of 1999. If the 2022 bear market and subsequent soft landing was analogous to 1994 and 1995-1997, then the 2025 phase of the current bull market looks like 1998-1999. A sharp but…

TimmerFidelity's tweet image. My analog chart below continues to track perfectly, which puts us somewhere in the spring of 1999.  If the 2022 bear market and subsequent soft landing was analogous to 1994 and 1995-1997, then the 2025 phase of the current bull  market looks like 1998-1999.  A sharp but…


Up 8% ah on no volume. Maybe tmrw will be the nice thick dildo day?

Started a position in this one today $PLMR would like to add more on a big thick green dildo (but not too big)



Update on this fractal hit the "expected" (not actually expected) high to a "t". I'm suprised tbh because you know these virtually never play out the same. Otoh, perhaps that means the end result will be different 😂

SubtleInduction's tweet image. Update on this fractal hit the "expected" (not actually expected) high to a "t". I'm suprised tbh because you know these virtually never play out the same. Otoh, perhaps that means the end result will be different 😂

Another thing is if you are a fan of fractals you can see the duration and magnitude of this leg up since 2022 have been extremely close to the leg from the GFC low to the 2011 top.

SubtleInduction's tweet image. Another thing is if you are a fan of fractals you can see the duration and magnitude of this leg up since 2022 have been extremely close to the leg from the GFC low to the 2011 top.


United States 趨勢

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