The Backwards K
@TheBackwardsK
I like baseball player props ⚾️💰— MLB 2023 SEASON: +63.27u (as of 6/23/2023)
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Here’s the full recap of ALL #MLB season #PlayerProps bets I posted over the last 4 weeks — search my page for write ups/reasoning. A total of 25 player props & 5 season stat leaders. This is the final list — get caught looking! 👀⬇️ #GamblingTwitter
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Luis Matos (SF) UNDER 0.5 strikeouts +100 (Fliff) • 7-3 on the mark this year • super low 7.9% K% between the Minors & MLB this year • Batting 8th for home team minimizes AB’s • ARI SP Nelson 6.13 K/9 is well below league average #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Harold Ramirez (TB) OVER 1.5 total bases -105 (Fliff) • 2 for 4 w/2B vs LH Lynch who is definitely not a pitcher to fear • Career .314 AVG vs LHP & .389 this year — one of the best in the league vs LHP #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
#MLB Sunday HR parlay fun 🤷🏽♂️ (0.2 units) • Vlad & OAK SP Medina both w/reverse splits — Vlad HR in L2 • Turner hitting LH well & strong wind blowing out to LF vs CHW SP Banks • Ohtani in Coors vs LH Gomber who has been bombed by LHB this year #GamblingTwitter #PlayerProps
Tanner Banks (CHW) UNDER 3.5 strikeouts -110 (Fliff) • Huge contact pitcher when used as an SP in Minors • 62 pitches last time opening, so 65-75 is prob the max • BOS 5th lowest K% vs LH • Strong winds to LF could mean earlier exit #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Nathan Eovaldi (TEX) UNDER 5.5 strikeouts -120 (Fliff) • Velocity dipped 4 starts in a row w/last start being over 2 MPH below his season avg — claims it was mechanical & fixed but NYY is better than avg in K% vs RH also, so it’s worth a go #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Tyler Glasnow (TB) UNDER 8.5 strikeouts -135 (Fliff) • 4-0 on the mark coming back from injury w/velo ⬇️ & TB seems to be being a bit careful w/his pitch counts • KC has K’d a lot vs RHP but been respectable lately • Umpire suppresses K’s #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) OVER 1.5 total bases +100 (Fliff) • Excellent fastball hitter & CHW RH Lynn throws a combo of 4-seamer, cutter, & sinker 85% of the time • Lynn getting destroyed by LH bats w/.348 AVG allowed this year #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Eddie Rosario (ATL) OVER 1.5 total bases +120 (Fliff) • Has been hot going 14-5 on the mark in L19 • His best hitting in his career has been vs groundball pitching (.305 AVG) like CIN RH Ashcraft is & is in good hitting environment #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Luis Severino (NYY) OVER 5.5 hits allowed +105 (Fliff) • Has gone over in L4 & is just not looking sharp overall • Now gets TEX who has the #1 AVG in the league vs RHP • Umpire is one of the highest AVG boost umpires in the league #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Ezequiel Duran (TEX) OVER 1.5 H+R+RBI +100 (Fliff) • 28-21 (57%) on the mark in starts (& that’s after a slow 4-7 start) • Strong .313 AVG vs RHP & NYY RH Severino is struggling w/RH bats (.294 AVG & .396 wOBA allowed) & not looking sharp #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Tommy Pham (NYM) OVER 1.5 total bases +135 (Fliff) • Hitting well in June w/.305 AVG & 10-5 on the mark • Baseball Savant profile ⬇️ is 🔥 • His best AVG is vs groundball pitchers like PHI LH Sanchez • +135 odds are good to stab at here #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
James Paxton (BOS) OVER 17.5 outs -110 (Fliff) • Cleared the mark in L3 • CHW is mid offense vs LHP & see the 2nd least amount of pitches per PA • CHW w/8 RH in lineup — Paxton w/reverse splits: .228 AVG vs RH vs .280 AVG vs LH in career #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Chase Anderson (COL) OVER 5.5 hits allowed -105 (Fliff) • only 3-4 on the mark this year, but had a regression start last game & should continue to regress • Bottom 18th % in xAVG + LAA offense has been good lately + Coors Field #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
Adam Wainwright (STL) UNDER 16.5 outs -135 (Fliff) • Total for the London game is 13.5/14 — would suggest some poor SP performances in store • Wainwright & diminished velocity w/rested bullpen • CHC offense leads league in pitches per PA #GamblingTwitter #MLB #PlayerProps
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