The Ghost Designer
@TheGhostDesignr
Product & Design @lightningrodai
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🚨 New preprint from @lightningrodai, in collaboration with @SchoeneggerPhil & @lukebeehewitt 🚨 We trained a compact reasoning model that's state-of-the-art at predicting the future. We massively outperform frontier models at prediction market betting, despite being a fraction…
⚡️@lightningrodai paper just dropped! We're training AI to predict the future. Fascinating read 👇
LLMs can teach themselves to better predict the future - no human examples or curation required. Our new paper from @lightningrodai with @DanTheManDev @SchoeneggerPhil explores if AI can improve its forecasts via self-play and real world outcomes.
Will the opening coin toss in the #SuperBowl be tails? Here's what our AI thinks... open.substack.com/pub/lightningr…
Will the #Gatorade that gets poured on the winning coach after #SuperBowl be purple? Here's what our AI thinks... open.substack.com/pub/lightningr…
If anyone can predict what Kendrick will do, it would have to be AI
Will #KendrickLamar diss #DonaldTrump during the #SuperBowlLIX halftime show performance? Here's what our #AI thinks... open.substack.com/pub/lightningr…
"Our new Deepseek-based AI says "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable" -@DanTheManDev #SuperBowlLIX #AI #Prediction
We fine-tuned an AI to be better at predicting the future and asked it questions about the Super Bowl! Looks like Travis probably isn't going to propose to Taylor Swift after the game. See more here! dannyfranklin.substack.com/p/our-new-deep…
Will the #Eagles do the #TushPush more than 5 times during #SuperBowlLIX ? Here's what our AI thinks... open.substack.com/pub/lightningr…
We fine-tuned an AI to be better at predicting the future and asked it questions about the Super Bowl! Looks like Travis probably isn't going to propose to Taylor Swift after the game. See more here! dannyfranklin.substack.com/p/our-new-deep…
No one can predict the future but at Lightning Rod Labs we're training AI to give it it’s best shot. Join us as we try to answer humanity’s toughest questions 😁
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl? Here's what our AI thinks... open.substack.com/pub/lightningr…
Who will win Super Bowl LIX? Here's what our AI thinks... substack.com/@lightningrodl…
It’s not too late to train your mind to thrive in 2025. You can still get 60% off your first year of Pensive App! Hurry, offer ends Monday Jan 6th. Try it Free 👇
Compelling critique of scaling current LLMs to AGI from @dwarkesh_sp. Do humans learn vastly more per unit of data? Or is real world data significantly more potent than text?
Are we on the verge of an intelligence explosion? Maybe, but scaling alone won't get us there. AGI might be possible by teaching AI everything we know, but ASI requires learning things we 𝗱𝗼𝗻’𝘁 know. Today’s AI are dependent on human data and human feedback.
I used AI to analyze mental health discussions on Reddit - and found a 400% surge in "AI therapy" posts.
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GM! Hope you all have a great start to your week 📈
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