TheoryTrading's profile picture. Frequent and disappointed attendee of El Farol bar

Theory Trading

@TheoryTrading

Frequent and disappointed attendee of El Farol bar

Pinned

Closing up shop for August. Second best month of the year. I had lower expectations heading into August, but I ended up outperforming my outlier green July despite choppier/trappy conditions. I would attribute that to discretionary cycle adaptions and very few outlier losses,…

TheoryTrading's tweet image. Closing up shop for August. Second best month of the year. I had lower expectations heading into August, but I ended up outperforming my outlier green July despite choppier/trappy conditions. I would attribute that to discretionary cycle adaptions and very few outlier losses,…
TheoryTrading's tweet image. Closing up shop for August. Second best month of the year. I had lower expectations heading into August, but I ended up outperforming my outlier green July despite choppier/trappy conditions. I would attribute that to discretionary cycle adaptions and very few outlier losses,…

Going to do an extended social media detox, perhaps until 2026 to focus and grow in more useful areas - my own trading, health, self-development, and family. Best of luck to all.


It doesn't matter how many smaller shorts have thrown in the towel. The big shorts are controlling this game and are extremely skilled and unlikely to ever stop. Your avg short moving to the long side after this month is a false top signal/cycle shift indicator. El Farol bar is…


Very bad loss on $VSEE. Perfect day to trade from mobile since wifi was down (took extra slippage on the EE candle). Likely will be a red month for me now. The only short seller on Twitter of course.


Remember to just to short high volume and after 8am in pm. You will be safe $VSEE


Great day for pm shorts, but it doesn’t matter because the math isn’t mathing in the long term: +22% +16% +11% +6% -1100% $KITT $GVTA $BYKI $CLIK $CODX


One final post on this in response to the "it was low volume, bro". Look at these moves on liquid pm runners $BTOG and $BON (divide price by 30) from March of this year. So PM is cooked too much risk, RTH gappers don't fade, and RTH paras don't really show up anymore. So low EV…

TheoryTrading's tweet image. One final post on this in response to the "it was low volume, bro". Look at these moves on liquid pm runners $BTOG and $BON (divide price by 30)  from March of this year. So PM is cooked too much risk, RTH gappers don't fade, and RTH paras don't really show up anymore. So low EV…
TheoryTrading's tweet image. One final post on this in response to the "it was low volume, bro". Look at these moves on liquid pm runners $BTOG and $BON (divide price by 30)  from March of this year. So PM is cooked too much risk, RTH gappers don't fade, and RTH paras don't really show up anymore. So low EV…

$GNTA this is all organic buyers in pm. Nothing to do with short crowding and algo stops being targeted. Imagine moving to pm today after RTH gappers have been horrendous and you get slipped for 800%. 12M float, not Chinese. No place is safe now.



The new edge is just to hold through down -1000% for the eventual fade. I’m told many “big traders” do it on these. It’s just a game of chicken and eventually one whale will cover triggering a cover liquidation cascade to push the stock 10k%+ possibly wiping out some brokers.…

Putting together a list of insta 300%+ premarket "skippers" from this year to study. Please comment with any I missed, these are just off the top of my head: $GNTA $DSY $GLEE $BTOG $VAPE $SBET $GRYP $XXII $BON $TNON



$GNTA this is all organic buyers in pm. Nothing to do with short crowding and algo stops being targeted. Imagine moving to pm today after RTH gappers have been horrendous and you get slipped for 800%. 12M float, not Chinese. No place is safe now.


Every variation of OPB crashing through historical drawdown projections and then some $SCNX


Life outside of the spare bedroom and numbers on the screen.


$BYND heavy size MDR short + washout long 3.9-4.6 for my biggest trade of the year. Always great to trade vs true dumb money instead of PvP shorts. Too bad these meme plays/MDRs are so infrequent these days.

TheoryTrading's tweet image. $BYND heavy size MDR short + washout long 3.9-4.6 for my biggest trade of the year. Always great to trade vs true dumb money instead of PvP shorts.  Too bad these meme plays/MDRs are so infrequent these days.

Loading...

Something went wrong.


Something went wrong.