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Stocks look like they are breaking down against Gold
Because its a midterm year, the bull market support band for Bitcoin has turned into the "bear market resistance band" until proven otherwise.
In 2019, Bitcoin topped on apathy before QT ended. In 2025, Bitcoin topped on apathy before QT ended. The four year cycle is in tact as Bitcoin historically peaks in Q4 of the post-halving year, but the underlying mechanics of the top differ from 2017/2021.
Bitcoin bear markets usually last 1 year. Potential low in October 2026. Last cycle it took MSTR around 98 weeks to bottom. 98 weeks from MSTR top (November 2024) is also October 2026.
One sign of a cycle being over is when you get to "Extreme Fear" and no bounces occur. I would argue that the signs of the top being in continue to mount.
dog in who?
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The news cycle does not matter. We just like pretending that it does so that we can rationalize certain market movements. The market needs no justification and narratives follow price, price does not follow narrative
Every time I’m like damn but how will it happen? and then like magic a series of events happen and I’m like, yep, that’ll do it 😂😭. Unreal run you’re on, Keep us posted!
Covid crash: $1.2B in liquidations FTX crash: $1.6B in liquidations Today: $19.14B in liquidations
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