VolMachine's profile picture. Leverage is a volatility machine (paraphrasing Pettis). HY/IG/Loans/Distressed.

VolMachine

@VolMachine

Leverage is a volatility machine (paraphrasing Pettis). HY/IG/Loans/Distressed.

Imagine where this kind of language takes us to.

I just met with the President. I am recommending a full travel ban on every damn country that's been flooding our nation with killers, leeches, and entitlement junkies. Our forefathers built this nation on blood, sweat, and the unyielding love of freedom—not for foreign…



Chat is this bearish for AI?

David Sacks really understands AI and cares about the US leading in innovation. I am grateful we have him.



VolMachine reposted

According to a new report from active-duty and retired FBI agents, there was a bit of an issue when Patel arrived at Provo in the aftermath of the Kirk assassination: he would not leave the plane without an FBI raid jacket. They found a female special agents' jacket for him. But…

samstein's tweet image. According to a new report from active-duty and retired FBI agents, there was a bit of an issue when Patel arrived at Provo in the aftermath of the Kirk assassination: he would not leave the plane without an FBI raid jacket. They found a female special agents' jacket for him. But…

This issue will exacerbate in 2026-28 and will lead to increase in leverage across HY/LL space, and sustained liability exercises.

VolMachine's tweet image. This issue will exacerbate in 2026-28 and will lead to increase in leverage across HY/LL space, and sustained liability exercises.

VolMachine reposted

I think more interesting for the private capital space, is not the next "cockroach" in private credit, but a changed backdrop. Since the GFC, these firms have had the tailwind of either low cost of capital or high NGDP. That "either, or" seems like a less clear bet going forward.


VolMachine reposted

Conclusion: The most basic reality on the ground is that the price of peace matters. A deal that rewards aggression wouldn’t be worth the paper it’s written on. America isn’t a neutral arbiter, and we shouldn’t act like one. (4/4)


VolMachine reposted

mike johnson: we are going to make zohran mamdani the face of the democratic party donald trump: and what a beautiful face it is! look at that smile! we love zohran mamdani, don't we folks

“Would you be comfortable living in New York City under a Mamdani administration?” President Trump: “I would, especially after the meeting we had today.”



This remains the base case of mine that this week is the last week of chop and once QT ends, we can run into year end but the length of the run will be short

This is a reasonable setup for some chop for another week or so and then a Santa rally. Though I do think the year-end ramp would be an opportunity to decrease length.

VolMachine's tweet image. This is a reasonable setup for some chop for another week or so and then a Santa rally. Though I do think the year-end ramp would be an opportunity to decrease length.


VolMachine reposted

great Jewish joke

Mamdani will be good or bad for NYC (Jewish voters) Bad 72% Bad 19% Siena #A - RV - 11/11



Imagine tweeting slow demise of one’s superpower with pride.

.@FT: Number of new foreign students in US falls 17%

RapidResponse47's tweet image. .@FT: Number of new foreign students in US falls 17%


VolMachine reposted

Interesting fact There are two presidents in this photo

warrensbuffet2's tweet image. Interesting fact 

There are two presidents in this photo

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