YieldKernel's profile picture. News, analysis and research in economics/finance/business.

Economic Highlights

@YieldKernel

News, analysis and research in economics/finance/business.

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"Although applying a lower discount rate in a DCF raises the valuation, it assumes that cash flows are unchanged. Naturally, this is a flawed assumption and explains why there is no strong relationship between interest rates and equity multiples."


#GitLab  (GTLB)  is a frequently mentioned name that could likely run ahead in the #AI software race.

This AI stock has become analysts’ top pick for 2025 trib.al/9iEt9uo



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Tariffs past, present and future. With Doug Irwin on.ft.com/4jm4rC2


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New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP19538 Fiscal Management of Aggregate Demand: The Effectiveness of Labor #Tax Credits Axelle Ferriere @AxelleFerriere @sciencespo @ScPoResearch @CNRS, Gaston Navarro @gmnavarro @federalreserve ow.ly/kkGq50TzQ8e #CEPR_MEF #CEPR_MG #economics

cepr_org's tweet image. New CEPR Discussion Paper - DP19538
Fiscal Management of Aggregate Demand: The Effectiveness of Labor #Tax Credits
Axelle Ferriere @AxelleFerriere @sciencespo @ScPoResearch @CNRS, Gaston Navarro @gmnavarro @federalreserve 
ow.ly/kkGq50TzQ8e
#CEPR_MEF #CEPR_MG #economics

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Silver hits 12-year high, chasing gold's record-breaking rally msn.com/en-us/money/ma…


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In the July issue, "The Evolution of Technological Substitution in Low-Wage Labor Markets" by Daniel Aaronson and Brian J. Phelan zurl.co/6XcZ


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An analysis of 185 C-level job specs showed that a significant percentage are poorly designed. Learn why the poor design of C-suite jobs can block executives from succeeding in their roles: mitsmr.com/3FWAzc9

mitsmr's tweet image. An analysis of 185 C-level job specs showed that a significant percentage are poorly designed.  Learn why the poor design of C-suite jobs can block executives from succeeding in their roles: mitsmr.com/3FWAzc9

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The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for $SPX of 17.6 is below the 5-year average (22.8) and below the 10-year average (20.4). #earnings, #earningsinsight, bit.ly/3se9xqT

FactSet's tweet image. The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for $SPX of 17.6 is below the 5-year average (22.8) and below the 10-year average (20.4). #earnings, #earningsinsight, bit.ly/3se9xqT

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Demand swings keep retailers 'guessing' on inventory buff.ly/3ynDxDq

SupplyChainDive's tweet image. Demand swings keep retailers 'guessing' on inventory buff.ly/3ynDxDq

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Where inflation is and is not...

YahooFinance's tweet image. Where inflation is and is not...

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Quasi-maximum likelihood estimation of break point in high-dimensional factor models ift.tt/VCabZLu #econometrics #timeseries


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Stocks pared their gains and Treasury yields rose after the Fed said it will raise its benchmark interest rate. Here's a look at market reaction, in four charts. on.wsj.com/3MVXjfB


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#SuperBowl is one of the biggest spending and earning events of the year! Here's what that means 👇 trib.al/7HKcbHD


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The U.S. rate of inflation climbed again in January to 7.5% and stayed at a 40-year high, CPI shows. Upward pressure on consumer prices is unlikely to relent soon. Puts more pressure on the Federal Reserve to act. marketwatch.com/story/coming-u…

MKTWeconomics's tweet image. The U.S. rate of inflation climbed again in January to 7.5% and stayed at a 40-year high, CPI shows. Upward pressure on consumer prices is unlikely to relent soon. Puts more pressure on the Federal Reserve to act. marketwatch.com/story/coming-u…

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Experts cannot agree on how to measure #systemic #risk, with researchers having proposed a plethora of #indicators. B Hartwig @ecb, C Meinerding, Y S. Schüler @bundesbank proposes an analytical approach designed to lend structure to this plethora ow.ly/jo2T50HzfzF

voxeu's tweet image. Experts cannot agree on how to measure #systemic #risk, with researchers having proposed a plethora of #indicators. 
B Hartwig @ecb, C Meinerding, Y S. Schüler  @bundesbank proposes an analytical approach designed to lend structure to this plethora
ow.ly/jo2T50HzfzF

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Our Latest World Survey: The global economic recovery looks fragile at the start of 2022. economy.com/business-confi… #omicron #economy #inflation #businessconfidence


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"The top 10 most-popular value ETFs hauled in $11.2 billion in the past three months." @LaraCrigger has the insights for 2022, read more: bit.ly/3rAZNWP


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It’s raining records at Merrill Lynch; earnings show the firm posted new highs last year on numbers ranging from revenue to assets and net new ultra-high-net-worth clients bit.ly/3tPksZT @InvestmentNews @BDNEWSGUY

investmentnews's tweet image. It’s raining records at Merrill Lynch; earnings show the firm posted new highs last year on numbers ranging from revenue to assets and net new ultra-high-net-worth clients bit.ly/3tPksZT @InvestmentNews @BDNEWSGUY

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ECONOMY WATCH: U.S. economy slowed in December from rapid growth. ISM services index falls to 62% from record 69%. Labor & supply shortages still a big headache. Higher prices - inflation - also a problem. Omicron effect limited in December. Expect a bit worse in January ...


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In 2022, consumers will continue to spend on home improvement as they've done since the pandemic began. That will boost retailers Home Depot and Lowe's. on.barrons.com/3sL41xp


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U.S. Credit Outlook: Implications of Higher Interest Rates. economy.com/economicview/a… #interestrates #creditcards #credit #delinquency


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