coldcardinal's profile picture. Poli Sci prof and birder/photographer.

Adam Schiffer

@coldcardinal

Poli Sci prof and birder/photographer.

Jim Stimson spends decades refining his measure and Nate just. . .scribbles it.

I'm not sure how well this chart will render on Twitter, but anyway — much more explanation about all of this at the link above.

NateSilver538's tweet image. I'm not sure how well this chart will render on Twitter, but anyway — much more explanation about all of this at the link above.


What?

The West Coast and California in particular have more "freshwater" (ideological/idealistic) politics, while the East Coast is more "saltwater" (pragmatic, constraint-driven) and East Coast politics are quite a bit more robust because politics is a saltwater business.



We always talk about lying w/ statistics - but here’s a stats guy lying w/ words by describing, with present-tense verbs, a dataset that ended in 1969.

According to a recent paper, the vast majority of academics gain their elite status the old-fashioned way, they were born with rich parents.

kareem_carr's tweet image. According to a recent paper, the vast majority of academics gain their elite status the old-fashioned way, they were born with rich parents.


Were it to be a 3-day news story, that would be a massive failure of news judgment. But bias cops gotta bias cop.

So the fact that ABC News and George Stephanopoulos have agreed to pay Donald Trump $15 million for defamation with a false claim of rape is going to be a front-page, lead of the evening news story for the next 3 days, right? Stop laughing.



Adam Schiffer reposted

Retweet for a chance to win one of the last remaining How High Jackets. Winner announced tomorrow at 10am, after which the final 37 jackets go on sale (we ordered extras to cover replacements etc) hikerdelic.com/collections/ja… @Tim_Burgess

hikerdelic's tweet image. Retweet for a chance to win one of the last remaining How High Jackets.

Winner announced tomorrow at 10am, after which the final 37 jackets go on sale (we ordered extras to cover replacements etc)

hikerdelic.com/collections/ja…

@Tim_Burgess

Adam Schiffer reposted
birdmoder's tweet image.

A Dark-eyed Junco wearing a snowflake on his cheek ❄️

JocAPhotography's tweet image. A Dark-eyed Junco wearing a snowflake on his cheek ❄️


Why are otherwise-smart people calling this a “precedent”? Read a history book.

While as a father I certainly understand President @JoeBiden’s natural desire to help his son by pardoning him, I am disappointed that he put his family ahead of the country. This is a bad precedent that could be abused by later Presidents and will sadly tarnish his reputation.…



Thought experiment: “Michelle Obama, President-Elect Harris’s HHS secretary, intends to require Coke to use cane sugar. . .”

While as a father I certainly understand President @JoeBiden’s natural desire to help his son by pardoning him, I am disappointed that he put his family ahead of the country. This is a bad precedent that could be abused by later Presidents and will sadly tarnish his reputation.…



I guess when your full-time job is engagement farming, there isn’t much time left to read poli sci.

A failed president who incited a coup attempt and then was found liable of sexual assault and then was convicted of felonies won the popular vote and electoral college. I still haven’t seen a satisfactory explanation. Probably never will.



The guy in charge of recommending budget cuts. . .making a pedestrian mistake I make fun of in my intro class.

The U.S. government spends 37% more than it makes, with ~$36TN in national debt. Consider the analogy on an individual scale: a family that makes $80k/year while spending $110k, with a $525k mortgage & $35k car loan requiring $30k+/year in interest payments. It’s not sustainable.



Somewhere in NY, Kimba Wood is watching the whole Gaetz spectacle and thinking, "what the fuuuuuuck?"


Could somebody please end the suspense and tell me what the hell a faculty lounge is already?

At a post-election DSCC briefing with winning Dem candidates. Elissa Slotkin: “I personally think that identity politics needs to go the way of the dodo.” Dems should take language “not from the faculty lounge, but the assembly line.”



Gotta make that northern plains roadtrip -- but somehow it never makes the cut 🤷

coldcardinal's tweet image. Gotta make that northern plains roadtrip -- but somehow it never makes the cut 🤷

Staring at the eastern USA

birdmoder's tweet image. Staring at the eastern USA


Well, this turned out to be pretty smart. Also, the Corolla was destroyed last month by an inattentive Mercedes driver, and FYI the car market is still psycho.

Yeah, inflation sucks. Even if it's under control & other indicators are 😍, you can't undo its damage. I feel it viscerally every time I buy food, book travel, or God forbid fantasize about replacing my '09 Corolla. And I'm a pol scholar & Dem. No need to blame "messaging" etc



Gosh, some might even be concerned -- or very concerned!

Safe to say that GOP senators are stunned - not in a good way - on Matt Gaetz for Attorney General



Striking graphic. You can really see the maturation of the Southern Realignment as the 20th Century wrapped up.

Modern presidential elections are marked by striking electoral stability.

thomasjwood's tweet image. Modern presidential elections are marked by striking electoral stability.


The grouping of Lake with the Edmund Fitzgerald appears to be a mere coincidence -- but it's quite funny.

coldcardinal's tweet image. The grouping of Lake with the Edmund Fitzgerald appears to be a mere coincidence -- but it's quite funny.

You can always count on click farmers to revive the tropes I’ve been making fun of in class for 20 years 🙄

Serious question: What do you make of this and why would anyone think that this reflects well on MAGA? Most educated states in America: 1. Massachusetts: 🔵 2. Vermont: 🔵 3. Maryland: 🔵 4. Connecticut:🔵 5. Colorado: 🔵 Least educated states in America: 1. West…



Looks like the masculinomenon might be fizzling out

If you know any men who haven’t voted, get them to the polls.



Adam Schiffer reposted

If you know any men who haven’t voted, get them to the polls.


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