Guy that Bets on Stuff
@eddiefreshbets
Professional Sports Bettor. Proven method for success in the long run using projections and basic statistical principles. DM for more info on picks!
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Last 20 days: 7.942 units, 207 bets, 3.8367 Important things to note: Return on Investment is lower, there are more bets, and the units are higher than the previous update. Just like I said, can’t expect to win CRAZY, but almost 8 units over 207 bets is SUSTAINABLE!
DM for more info to get on board and get the full breakdown! #bettingtwitter #gamblingtwitter
Free Plays Today: Ryu under 5.5 Ks -134 on FD is vastly mispriced compared to other books, take advantage. Jordan Lyles is around -140 to -150 on the under 5.5 Ks and it’s just too much recency bias built it not to take it.
Free play: Staying with the A’s here with Manaea under 6.5 Ks -116. This number is 5.5 elsewhere, capitalize on it. Padres tied for 3rd in strikeout rate and just rarely do it EVER.
Cease with the win, Kaprielian got LIT up, stayed in game and hit the over, very annoying, but onto the next!
Free plays of the day: Back to the well with James Kaprielian under 5.5 Ks -110, and Dylan Cease under 6.5 Ks -128. Let’s him them both🙌
Free plays of the day: Marquez over 5.5 Ks -105 and Luis Garcia under 6.5 Ks -105. Let’s get back on track today!
-0.82 units so far on free plays but we persevere and stay disciplined! Free play today: Jake Odorizzi under 5.5 Ks -160 on DK. Odorizzi’s K%, whiff rate, or chase rate don’t exceed the 36th percentile in the league. DM for more info to get the whole card!
Free play for the afternoon: James Kaprielian under 6.5 Ks -160 on FD. Angels struckout 3 times TOTAL yesterday and we’re riding that angle again. Kaprielian’s K% and whiff rate are much better than Irvin’s at 65 and 67th percentiles, but 7 Ks is a high number to meet.
Irvin went 7 shutout innings and STILL had only 3 Ks. Up +0.78 units on free picks. Since after all star break at +0.73 units, with not so great a day yesterday. The regression always happens and can’t expect every single play to hit. Important to stay disciplined.
Up 6.03 units in last 5 days, close to 15% Return on Investment Per Bet. Can’t expect 15% ROI like that to continue but should continue to see the consistent profit. Units will consistently rise, but won’t have large increases. Don’t miss out! DM for more info!
Tally stands at -0.22 units so far after the last two plays. Free play today: Cole Irvin under 4.5 Ks -155 on FD. 11th percentile in K%, Angels have 11th lowest K%. Match made in heaven.
Free play of the day: Joe Musgrove over 5.5 Ks -122 on FanDuel. Musgrove is 79th percentile in K% and 84% in chase rate. Have this number closer to 7 Ks. Nationals hit for contact but have a bottom 10 barrel percentage and I think this can keep Musgrove in game longer.
Right on cue, Kuhl dominated Mets more than expected but STILL went only 5 innings. Not too many swing and misses but generated a lot of soft contact with minimum exit velocity. Back at it again tomorrow with another free play.
Free play for today: Chad Kuhl under 5.5 Ks for today, -174 available on FD, Mets are top 10 in strikeout rate. Kuhl doesn’t even average a strikeout per inning, and has gone 6 innings in only 4/11 starts this year. Have him MUCH closer to 4 Projected Ks
All it takes is one spreadsheet and the knowledge and discipline to make it make money for you. Wins consistently in the long run, don’t expect to win everything everyday all the time! Message me if you’re interested in learning about how we do things!
Yankee fans gearing up for yet another letdown season post all-star break
MLB starts up again tomorrow, don’t be the one who misses out on my picks 🤷♂️ nothing more exciting than betting pitcher strikeout props, come join the fun ⚾️ #bettingpicks #sportspicks #bettingtwitter #gamblingtwitter #notoneofthoseguyswhoclaimstowin80percentofhisbets
Whether you’re looking for some extra cash or just want something to bet on! DM me and I’ll show you my track record for success in my pick logs and explain a little bit of the process in my picks and what to expect if you subscribe! #gamblingtwitter #sportspicks #bettingpicks
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