joshrogin's profile picture. Washington Post Intelligence, Author of CHAOS UNDER HEAVEN. General Secretary and President 4 Life @watchtheramen on IG.

Josh Rogin

@joshrogin

Washington Post Intelligence, Author of CHAOS UNDER HEAVEN. General Secretary and President 4 Life @watchtheramen on IG.

Épinglé

“It’s not really about the indictment of Comey itself. It’s about the chilling effect it sends to anyone who might want to speak up against Trump. And that chilling effect is real and it effects a lot of people whose names we will never know.” “There are a lot of countries where…


Josh Rogin a reposté

UPDATE: No retaliation specified in China’s response overnight. Mofcom promises to flexibly implement export controls. Looks like Beijing is trying to de-escalate after realizing it has overreached. But will that be enough? news.cgtn.com/news/2025-10-1…

He Lifeng believed a “freeze” had been agreed upon after Madrid. A headsup on 50% rule was given. But Xi decided to hit back—hit back harder. Now Trump is incensed&the Chinese realize they have overshot. W/⁦@GavinBade⁩ ⁦⁦⁦@schwartzbWSJwsj.com/politics/polic…



Josh Rogin a reposté

Great article in ⁦@FortuneMagazine⁩ on the bias in markets to always see China as having the upper hand in the tariff stand-off with the US. That’s nonsense. China has one growth sector - exports - and that sector is getting hit massively by the US. fortune.com/2025/10/11/tru…


Josh Rogin a reposté

🇨🇳#China’s position on the #TradeWar is consistent: we do not want it, but we are not afraid of it. ⚠️Since the China-#US economic and trade talks in Madrid in September, the U.S., in just 20 days, has introduced a string of new restrictive measures targeting China. It has put…

ChineseEmbinUS's tweet image. 🇨🇳#China’s position on the #TradeWar is consistent: we do not want it, but we are not afraid of it. 

⚠️Since the China-#US economic and trade talks in Madrid in September, the U.S., in just 20 days, has introduced a string of new restrictive measures targeting China. It has put…

Josh Rogin a reposté

MOFCOM Spokesperson’s Remarks on China’s Recent Economic and Trade Policies and Measures Q: On October 9, the Ministry of Commerce and the General Administration of Customs published an announcement on imposing export control measures on related rare earth items. What are…


Josh Rogin a reposté

There's a narrative that China has the upper hand in its confrontation with the US. Nonsense. US tariffs are crushing China's export sector, which must divert goods to all kinds of places, suffering a huge hit to margins in the process. Hence China's hardball on rare earths...

robin_j_brooks's tweet image. There's a narrative that China has the upper hand in its confrontation with the US. Nonsense. US tariffs are crushing China's export sector, which must divert goods to all kinds of places, suffering a huge hit to margins in the process. Hence China's hardball on rare earths...

Josh Rogin a reposté

As far as I can tell here is what happened. [some of conversation I imagined] The US Commerce Dept widened export controls of its technologies to a wider set of Chinese companies (all the subsidiaries of sanctioned Chinese cos with 50%+ interests) and started charging Chinese…


Josh Rogin a reposté

I interviewed George Retes, the US citizen who ICE detained for 3 days - and threw in solitary for 2 - and his story absolutely shook me. It felt more like an episode of homeland than real life. Truly sick treatment by @DHSgov thugs. youtu.be/Fykx6FsuGJ0?si…

Timodc's tweet card. DHS Lied About a Veteran They Wrongfully Arrested (w/ George Retes)

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DHS Lied About a Veteran They Wrongfully Arrested (w/ George Retes)

"They put me on suicide watch and they put me in the cell, I'm naked, in like a hospital dress and just a concrete bed with like a mattress, like a thin mattress and, they leave the light on 24/7, there's a glass door, and officers just always standing, like sitting out there,…



Josh Rogin a reposté

ICE agents just snatched a Journalist & were Speeding away when they hit a woman’s vehicle that was going to work & doing nothing wrong! They almost left the scene after slamming into her,but then snatched her out of her car at gunpoint and took her with them! 🤬


Josh Rogin a reposté

Kushner and Witkoff are doing Middle East diplomacy, and cleaning up: wsj.com/world/middle-e…

michaeldweiss's tweet image. Kushner and Witkoff are doing Middle East diplomacy, and cleaning up: wsj.com/world/middle-e…

Josh Rogin a reposté

Bannon SHREDS CCP Cheerleader Jensen Huang: "Screw You Dude You Should Be In A F*cking Prison"


Josh Rogin a reposté

🚨BREAKING: We now know the contents of the letter Trump is referencing to justify new tariffs on China. It’s not just about trade; it’s a full-blown escalation over rare earths. The letter warns: if your chip, magnet, or AI product contains even 0.1% Chinese rare earths,…

allenanalysis's tweet image. 🚨BREAKING: We now know the contents of the letter Trump is referencing to justify new tariffs on China.

It’s not just about trade; it’s a full-blown escalation over rare earths.

The letter warns: if your chip, magnet, or AI product contains even 0.1% Chinese rare earths,…
allenanalysis's tweet image. 🚨BREAKING: We now know the contents of the letter Trump is referencing to justify new tariffs on China.

It’s not just about trade; it’s a full-blown escalation over rare earths.

The letter warns: if your chip, magnet, or AI product contains even 0.1% Chinese rare earths,…
allenanalysis's tweet image. 🚨BREAKING: We now know the contents of the letter Trump is referencing to justify new tariffs on China.

It’s not just about trade; it’s a full-blown escalation over rare earths.

The letter warns: if your chip, magnet, or AI product contains even 0.1% Chinese rare earths,…
allenanalysis's tweet image. 🚨BREAKING: We now know the contents of the letter Trump is referencing to justify new tariffs on China.

It’s not just about trade; it’s a full-blown escalation over rare earths.

The letter warns: if your chip, magnet, or AI product contains even 0.1% Chinese rare earths,…

Josh Rogin a reposté

The U.S. Senate votes by majority to repeal the Caesar Act. #Syria

abdalhadealani's tweet image. The U.S. Senate votes by majority to
repeal the Caesar Act.

#Syria

Josh Rogin a reposté

A main reason for the foot-dragging over a peaceful settlement between Damascus & the SDF is the notion that the world might suddenly turn on Ahmad Sharaa. This delusional thinking on the SDF’s part undermines Kurdish rights, as I explain in @TIME time.com/7324960/syria-…


Josh Rogin a reposté

China is playing hardball with rare earths not because it has the upper hand in the trade conflict with the US but because it has to. China's exports to the US have been clobbered and are a massive hit to China's export sector. China is in a position of weakness, not strength...

robin_j_brooks's tweet image. China is playing hardball with rare earths not because it has the upper hand in the trade conflict with the US but because it has to. China's exports to the US have been clobbered and are a massive hit to China's export sector. China is in a position of weakness, not strength...

Josh Rogin a reposté

Bottom line: TikTok US is probably worth at least $45 billion. Trump is letting a group of hand-selected insiders acquire those assets for maybe $14 billion. And the favorites may be expected to return the favor by operating TikTok US as a pro-Trump platform.

Trump’s TikTok deal is short on details. “But what has been released should alarm anyone concerned with this administration’s drive to consolidate wealth and media power in the hands of a loyal few,” @davidfrum argues. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…



Josh Rogin a reposté

China’s religious persecution continues with reports of the arrest of the pastor of one of the largest underground churches in China and dozens of church leaders across the country. The Chinese Communist Party must release Pastor Ezra Jin Mingri and other Christian leaders…

Mike_Pence's tweet image. China’s religious persecution continues with reports of the arrest of the pastor of one of the largest underground churches in China and dozens of church leaders across the country. 

The Chinese Communist Party must release Pastor Ezra Jin Mingri and other Christian leaders…

Josh Rogin a reposté

The highest-ranking Christian and Jewish leaders in Syria have issued parallel letters to the U.S. Congress calling for the full repeal of the Caesar Act. These letters represent a powerful unity, reflecting widespread support for reopening Syria’s path toward rebuilding,…

syrianetf's tweet image. The highest-ranking Christian and Jewish leaders in Syria have issued parallel letters to the U.S. Congress calling for the full repeal of the Caesar Act.

These letters represent a powerful unity, reflecting widespread support for reopening Syria’s path toward rebuilding,…
syrianetf's tweet image. The highest-ranking Christian and Jewish leaders in Syria have issued parallel letters to the U.S. Congress calling for the full repeal of the Caesar Act.

These letters represent a powerful unity, reflecting widespread support for reopening Syria’s path toward rebuilding,…
syrianetf's tweet image. The highest-ranking Christian and Jewish leaders in Syria have issued parallel letters to the U.S. Congress calling for the full repeal of the Caesar Act.

These letters represent a powerful unity, reflecting widespread support for reopening Syria’s path toward rebuilding,…

Josh Rogin a reposté

Yup, no mentioning of US tariff retaliation towards China's new REE export controls on China's major news portals. I suspect the US strong reaction caught Beijing by surprise too. They may not want to further escalate, while back channel communications happen over the weekend.

stevehou0's tweet image. Yup, no mentioning of US tariff retaliation towards China's new REE export controls on China's major news portals. I suspect the US strong reaction caught Beijing by surprise too. They may not want to further escalate, while back channel communications happen over the weekend.
stevehou0's tweet image. Yup, no mentioning of US tariff retaliation towards China's new REE export controls on China's major news portals. I suspect the US strong reaction caught Beijing by surprise too. They may not want to further escalate, while back channel communications happen over the weekend.
stevehou0's tweet image. Yup, no mentioning of US tariff retaliation towards China's new REE export controls on China's major news portals. I suspect the US strong reaction caught Beijing by surprise too. They may not want to further escalate, while back channel communications happen over the weekend.
stevehou0's tweet image. Yup, no mentioning of US tariff retaliation towards China's new REE export controls on China's major news portals. I suspect the US strong reaction caught Beijing by surprise too. They may not want to further escalate, while back channel communications happen over the weekend.

Very quiet on Chinese state media. Not only that, Pres. Trump 100% tariff threat was not reported much. Must have guidance on NOT to further add unintended sentiment.



Josh Rogin a reposté

The announcement of the "T-Dome" by #Taiwan President Lai Ching-te on Friday is a "clear signal" to the U.S. and other democratic partners that Taiwan is "determined, ambitious and ready" to enhance its defense capabilities, I told @focustaiwanjapa. focustaiwan.tw/cross-strait/2…


Josh Rogin a reposté

Two charts seem relevant, right now.

RushDoshi's tweet image. Two charts seem relevant, right now.
RushDoshi's tweet image. Two charts seem relevant, right now.

China is winning the trade war. They have strong cards, but the truth is the Trump team inadvertently helped them. Per the @WSJ, the reason China massively escalated in the last 36 hours is because it believes Trump will fold - just as he did on magnets - without reaching for…



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