Kim
@kimtalkscrypto
Ex banker ✦ I simplify macro analysis so you can trade the crypto markets ✦ learn for free: https://kimtalkscrypto.substack.com/subscribe ✦ @ZCTraders
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Trump just reshaped the world economy. There's a lot of noise. Not a lot of clarity. Here’s a high-signal breakdown of: – What tariffs actually are – Who benefits and who bleeds – How this plays out for crypto and markets Let’s get into it.👇
Mark your calendars: 🇺🇸 Friday 7th November, 8.30am Eastern Time Nonfarm Payrolls Labor market growth expected. If growth is steady or slow, bull case for crypto. As interest rate cuts become more likely. Either way, high volatility is likely.
I hate running. I was never good at it and it’s hard, boring and painful. But I’ve been running for years, including marathons. One reason for this is that running triggers Bilateral Activation. While individual brain regions may have specialized functions (eg language in…
The last FOMC of 2025 will be on 10th December Currently, another rate cut (the bull case) is priced in at 60% likelihood Less likely than a week ago but still more likely than no rate cut... Let's monitor how this changes over the weeks
FOMC Recap: Why It Matters for Crypto The Fed finally cut rates by 25bps, bringing them down to a range of 4%–3.75%. It’s technically bullish for crypto, lower yields usually push capital toward risk assets, but the tone was far from dovish. Powell made it clear that another…
Reminder that we have FOMC today Mark your calendars for volatility around 2pm Eastern Time As a trader, choices are: 1) Trade the session with awareness that FOMC will cause volatility and unpredictable price action, 2) Avoid doing your session around that time, And/or,…
Mark your calendars: 🇺🇸 Wednesday 29th October, 2pm Eastern Time FOMC Meeting Rate cut expected. If the Fed language is dovish too, bull case for crypto. Either way, high volatility is likely.
Crypto markets are optimistic $921 million in weekly global crypto ETP inflows to be exact Why? Because it looks like we are getting a rate cut in 2 days
Mark your calendars: 🇺🇸 Friday 24th October, 8.30am Eastern Time Expecting crypto market volatility at US CPI release This will convey level of inflation and likelihood of rate cuts throughout the rest of the year
FOMC in 9 days Market are predicting a rate cut This is a bullish scenario if the speech and Q&A line up
Cut and reverse trade on $H today The DOM was pretty clear here with a big block of bids offering support but very few asks to create resistance. This led to a vertical move up where I was able to invalidate my short an earn back my PnL + more. Example of the DOM below:
The headline: "Spot bitcoin ETFs shed $1.2 billion in second-largest weekly outflows since debut" What they don't talk about: Rate cut priced in for 9 days time This, is what truly moves markets...
Is bitcoin behaving more like gold or stocks? Considering a detail report and analysis. If you're interested, reply 'gib'.
Bitcoin-Gold correlation at a multi-year high of 0.9 Reinforcing the “digital gold” narrative Bitcoin as a hedge to inflation and geopolitical risk
Keep it simple. - DCA strategy for spot positions. - EV+ consistent strategy for trading on LTFs. Follow the above, and you'll be immune to market noise.
Maybe it was insider job. Maybe it wasn't. We can't change that. All we can do, is focus on building our risk management rules and applying them.
The largest liquidation event in crypto history. In the past 24 hours, 1,618,240 traders were liquidated, with a total liquidation amount of $19.13 billion. The actual total is likely much higher — #Binance only reports one liquidation order per second.…
What in the name of macro just happened to crypto? Let’s unpack this 👇
Well, that didn’t take long to come true…
Reality check: these two economies need each other. Trade wars always sound tough until the domestic pain kicks in. Even Trump’s team knows that. Free trade maximizes welfare. Tariffs? They just create volatility and opportunity.
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