Manuel
@predictquant
I have a polymarket addiction - Building @thepredictlab
The Only Polymarket Strategy You'll Ever Need is already LIVE on YouTube youtube.com/watch?v=s17ZHx…
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THE ONLY POLYMARKET STRATEGY YOU'LL EVER NEED - 2026 UPDATED (predi...
Here's my current prediction with regards to the US-Israel/Iran conflict: 1) Once the US brings their military equipment to the region, it will engage more openly in negotiation with Iran 2) The US will focus on four demands: no nuclear enrichment, fewer missiles, no support to…
I will make +$100k in profit if the US and Israel do NOT strike Iran this month 5 days ago, I bought "no US strike in January" at 37c. Today it's 80c (+113%) I think fair value is 90c+ The key question to ask: Has something changed that would make them strike NOW vs. not…
If you ever feel stupid in life, just remember there are people that still think trading prediction markets is gambling… My response to those people: Any time money touches uncertainty, it looks like gambling. The same way: - Trading is gambling - Insurance is gambling -…
I will make +$100k in profit if the US and Israel do NOT strike Iran this month 5 days ago, I bought "no US strike in January" at 37c. Today it's 80c (+113%) I think fair value is 90c+ The key question to ask: Has something changed that would make them strike NOW vs. not…
This is why Polymarket isn’t “betting the news”… It’s betting contracts. 99% of traders read the title, get a dopamine opinion, click YES (Then they get nuked because the rules quietly change what counts lol) On Poly: - Headlines don’t matter - What “should” happen doesn’t…
Even top traders can get wrecked on Polymarket by one mistake TJR is a perfect example I found his Polymarket wallet - sitting–$30,000 PnL - $13k still in active positions - only 21 predictions made profile link: polymarket.com/@TJRTrades?via… That’s not bad luck That’s a small…
stocked to partner with Predictlab if you want to level up and professionalize your pm trading, this is for you ↓ PredictLab is a paid group by @iabvek (2.5m pnl) & @MrOziPM (500k pnl starting from 15k). daily pm grinders. inside you get: → live calls 2x/week with real-time…
Decided to partner with Predictlab. Predictlab offers useful information for everyone using prediction markets or wanting to start trading. It has some of the best traders in one server, sharing daily market insights! In Predictlab, we host calls and share opinions about…
the biggest success in my life i’ve seen came from trading prediction markets not gambling on it - trading with proper research to maximize your winning odds i’ve compiled a list of 10 things you need to know before getting started with prediction market trading like, rt and…
Welcome to PredictLab. The first global prediction markets community on Whop. Most traders lose money on Polymarket and Kalshi for the same reason: they react instead of thinking. They chase prices, trade headlines, and confuse movement with truth. Prediction markets reward…
This is going to be a great event @MrOziPM was the one who personally introduced me to prediction markets Looking forward
Today · 3pm EST / 9pm CET @iabvek × @MrOziPM -- LIVE call Venezuela markets debrief + live Q&A from @thepredictlab members We’ll break down: • what actually moved the markets • where markets got mispriced • what are the main learnings • what opportunities still remain This…
Reading comprehension stays king… Here’s another Polymarket market that rewarded the people who actually read rules: “Will SZA release a new song in 2025?” (from the broader Which artists will release a new song before 2026? event) On December 30th, a new track “Girl Get…
A week ago I joined @MrOziPM and @iabvek’s new @thepredictlab community and went through their course on prediction markets. This led to me making the below play in the SZA market from fully understanding my own FV, Polymarket’s rules dispute system, and price entry. Caught…
One of my favorite Polymarket inefficiency plays recently was the market: “Will the Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by Dec 31?” The market resolved using the TCGPlayer average price of a Near Mint Kabuto (A chart that updates daily and is based directly on recorded sales) And…
Kabuto 1st edition NM price has stabilized around $25-26 following the Polymarket madness/manipulation. What will market price be at the end of 2026?
Polymarket doesn’t offer refunds, so there's no crying in the casino But what Polymarket does offer is a ton of money to the people who spend time learning the skill In less than 1.5 year, I've made $400k on Polymarket (Started with $15k) Actually started from $5k because…
Potentially the WORST polymarket trade this month award goes to @tsybka This is a textbook case of how bad incentive design can backfire in prediction markets: The Gävle Goat recently fell over in a storm Instead of treating the market as basically dead, Tsybka decided to…
If I had $5000 sitting around and I wanted to 20x that money within the next 6 months using prediction markets... Here’s what I’d do: 1) Don’t trade your own opinions, trade other peoples mistakes Most of the time you’re not paid for being right. You’re paid when the other…
United States Trendler
- 1. Minneapolis N/A
- 2. Alex Pretti N/A
- 3. Alex Pretti N/A
- 4. Minnesota N/A
- 5. #UFC324 N/A
- 6. Steelers N/A
- 7. Keaton Wagler N/A
- 8. McCarthy N/A
- 9. Tomlin N/A
- 10. Kyle Rittenhouse N/A
- 11. Sixers N/A
- 12. Maxey N/A
- 13. Embiid N/A
- 14. 2nd Amendment N/A
- 15. National Guard N/A
- 16. Insurrection Act N/A
- 17. Purdue N/A
- 18. Ty Miller N/A
- 19. Federal N/A
- 20. Mikal N/A
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