the btcð short on hl and the nobel prize market are perfect case studies of insider trading being an inevitable feature of open information economies. two completely different domains(macro, geopolitics) converging under the same principle: when someone holds private…
The insider who opened trades 30 mins before Trumps tarrif announcement closed the trades for $104m+$88m=$192m profits. The @HyperliquidX accounts were opened today.
sam every time he finds a new human data stream worth scraping
JUST IN: "I'm watching this Polymarket ticker go by, and it's so tempting" — Sam Altman
this is why blindly copy-trading “insiders” off volume spikes is dangerous. you’re basically outsourcing edge discovery and praying their signal is real or that they won’t dump on you before flipping sides. imagine if the guy actually has insider info, pumps a random share to…
that’s exactly why prediction markets have so much upside and potential to grow and become one of the biggest narratives and pmf for crypto. - no matter the current state of the market u can profit as long as you have an edge in a niche/domain - they tap into this innate…
crypto needs at least 3 products that can onboard users regardless of market momentum we cant keep relying on price to be the main driver of adoption
pnl swollen like zyzz
bro talks about “no opportunity” in prediction markets like he isn’t sponsored by a pragmatic play wrapper larping as a crypto casino where 80% RTP is considered a win and your balance can vanish mid-spin. what’s the dream there? hit all the gates of olympus bonuses and retire?…
i hate this vc backed boomer brute force con job to take over ct and try to convince everyone prediction markets are somehow crypto they bought every 70iq kol for a mcdonalds wage it's disgusting you aren't farming a token you will never own anything you're just smashing…
"Jeff in particular as he mentioned on CBC earlier is like he's a big believer in tokenization. He's a big believer in all assets are going to be tokenized. It's a superior technology for the exchange of assets and Polymarket is the biggest consumer product that's built on on…
Polymarket CEO @shayne_coplan on the company's deal with @NYSE owner, Intercontinental Exchange: "Jeff Sprecher [CEO of Intercontinental Exchange] is a big believer in tokenization. Polymarket is a major consumer product in this space, with every prediction market…
the landscape is clear - physical and traditional financial assets get tokenized and polymarket serves as the most capital efficient venue for speculating their performance and associated events - opportunity for prediction market events to be offered along traditional financial…
Markets on everything. We’re proud to announce that $ICE, the owner of @NYSE and the largest exchange company in the world, is making a strategic investment of $2 billion into Polymarket, valuing us at $9 billion post-money. Our partnership with ICE marks a major step in…
historic shift in motion a new economic primitive is being born you aren’t bullish enough
We are excited to announce that Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) — the parent company of @NYSE, is making a $2b strategic investment at a $9b post-money valuation. Together, we’re building the next evolution of markets. A special thank you to all those who have supported us…
the progressive tokenization of physical and traditional financial assets will result in the emergence of a wide range of specultion opportunities. people will be able to bet on “will the market cap of the tokenized real estate in NY surpass $10b by the end of 2026?” or “will…
Exploring how prediction accuracy evolves over time through brier score analysis was a fascinating dive. More insights on the inner mechanics and behavioral patterns of prediction markets coming soon.
potentially a catalyst for liquidity and market efficiency. could also cause a gold rush for l2 consumer apps targeted at specific domains/niches (sports, politics, crypto, finance, weather, youtube, etc) btw a polymarket super bowl ad would go crazy
Polymarket US cooking No extra words just something that will flip the whole game We’re close. prediction market supercycle
you mean I can take advantage of a market structure that incentivises individuals to reveal their edge, in order to consolidate vast amounts of knowledge in a single number which represents the probabilistic forecast of the outcome? interesting…
my favourite follows are those of high signal to noise, and @probabilitygod is a special one. his noise is high, but the quality of those tweets are even higher. if u benefit from this 2mins read with even just ONE takeaway, pls help to do yourself a favour (your future self…
On today's episode of The Interview series with Prediction Market traders, our guest is @probabilitygod Keep reading to hear what he has to say! « Make sure to check the thread to continue reading, as this filled with great detail » Hello PG, how are you doing today? I am…
really grateful for everyone that has interacted with me during the past couple of months the growth has been insane however the true exponential growth is imminent for the prediction markets space. supercycle inc, buckle up
Q3 Proof-of-R3ACH. your performance data optimized to share your growth. built by R3ACH. collect your data: proofofr3ach.com
Friday motivation: NM is one of @probabilitygod ’s go-to tools. We’ll keep building and shipping.
On today's episode of The Interview series with Prediction Market traders, our guest is @probabilitygod Keep reading to hear what he has to say! « Make sure to check the thread to continue reading, as this filled with great detail » Hello PG, how are you doing today? I am…
Alpha alert! @Polymarket just dropped a fresh new feature Now any streamer can add a live news ticker right on their stream. Just copy the code, paste it in OBS and you're ready They even broke it down by categories, so everyone can find the news they need: - Breaking News -…
shoutout to my boy @dejixyz and @polyfactual had a great time discussing about the fundamentals of pms, my trading steategy, my outlook towards the future as well as the main factors impeding mainstream adoption
On today's episode of The Interview series with Prediction Market traders, our guest is @probabilitygod Keep reading to hear what he has to say! « Make sure to check the thread to continue reading, as this filled with great detail » Hello PG, how are you doing today? I am…
in hindsight it makes sense that tradfi has already conceded the war and is now trying to co-opt defi primitives into its own product stack. a system with massive entry barriers and fragmented liquidity inevitably breeds predatory middlemen. airport fx booths posting 20% eur/usd…
I was at an airport in Europe recently and spreads on euro / usd were 20% This is the most liquidity forex pair on earth The absolute greed of tradfi is unmatched and defi will replace it
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