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How do dictators maintain power for life? I explain in a new book that they can stay in power by forming "Coalitions of the Weak" composed of tainted or inexperienced officials. Not a loyalty-competence tradeoff but one of institutions vs patrimonialism cambridge.org/core/books/coa…
When the cards are all pretty transparent to both sides, that’s not going to work.
Trump talks tough with China but holds out hope of truce in trade war on.ft.com/3J4s0SB
Seems dprk’s status has risen
【李強赴平壤出席朝鮮勞動黨建黨80週年慶祝活動並對朝鮮進行正式友好訪問】應朝鮮勞動黨中央委員會和朝鮮民主主義人民共和國政府邀請，中共中央政治局常委、國務院總理李強10月9日率中國黨政代表團乘包機抵達平壤順安國際機場，出席朝鮮勞動黨建黨80週年慶祝活動並對朝鮮進行正式友好訪問。
Why the sudden wave of retaliations and escalations from Beijing? The answer lies in the eight editorials published in the People’s Daily over the past few days. Written under the pen name 钟才文, these pieces are widely understood to represent the views of the Office of the
Exactly
Trump's truth asserted that the US controls 2 times as many choke points as does China. I have my doubts -- the choke points that have been identified (jet engines/ parts of the C919) only impact (for now) a small part of the Chinese economy ... 7/
China is winning the trade war. They have strong cards, but the truth is the Trump team inadvertently helped them. Per the @WSJ, the reason China massively escalated in the last 36 hours is because it believes Trump will fold - just as he did on magnets - without reaching for…
Beijing’s latest rare-earth action is part of a pattern of China responding to what it perceives as feeble actions from Washington with disproportionately strong moves. With @AmrithRamkumar wsj.com/world/china/ch… In today’s @WSJ front page 👇
A bad milestone on the brain drain front
I am delighted to share that Nobel laureates Esther Duflo and Abhijit Banerjee will join our Department of Economics @econ_uzh at the University of Zurich on July 1, 2026, as Lemann Foundation Professors of Economics. 🧵 1/7
Might this be a case of both sides overplaying their hands? wsj.com/politics/polic…
Eyeballs will mostly be on China and Russia, but North Korea ties w/ Vietnam are worth watching. This does not fit the Axis of Upheaval narrative, complicates the picture. @KhangXVu is a good follow to keep track:
For folks interested in some speculations about leadership turnover in China, @NeysunM was kind enough to host this conversation @FPRI in Philly m.youtube.com/watch?v=xZ7BTE…
youtube.com
YouTube
How Will Xi Handle the Succession Process?
Thanks was a fun conversation!
Along with our @Zhengfawei80 colleagues, I've enjoyed a fairly constant on and offline conversation with my friend @vshih2 since February 2021, and so it was a delight to continue our chat before a terrific live audience at @FPRI yesterday, video here: youtube.com/watch?v=xZ7BTE…
What a great group! 有希望！ thanks @NeysunM !
Warmly welcome @vshih2 to @PennGlobal today to meet with student fellows of @PennUSChina and share his insights about pursuing China Studies in these dramatic times
What mental health texts are Chinese models trained on?
“An earlier survey of young Chinese people, conducted by Chinese social platform Soul and the Shanghai Mental Health Center, found that nearly half had used an AI chatbot to discuss their mental health.” restofworld.org/2025/young-peo…
Exactly
Bessent: US Treasury wants to support Argentina's strong policies ... The message seems a bit off. Countries with strong policies don't usually need a second bailout in a year. Argentina already blew through $14b from the IMF 1/
The world’s smartest students have been drawn to our universities for decades. No longer as Trump policies are driving them away. - The New York Times nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Wow interesting and both the US and China are abyssal compared to the EU and Japan
China’s energy efficiency has dramatically improved over the years, but it was still 40% less efficient than the US in 2023. Learn more about China’s energy security in our #ChinaPower feature: buff.ly/SjWv3YW
But how many are distillation bots from around the world?
ALTMAN FROM OPENAI ANNOUNCES THAT CHATGPT NOW HAS 800 MILLION USERS EACH WEEK, INDICATING SIGNIFICANT GROWTH
U.S. sanctions make it nearly impossible to pay Iran for its oil. China has figured out how to do it anyway, in an arrangement that has largely been secret./ is this secretive? wsj.com/world/middle-e…
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