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Centre of strategic analysis

The Diary of an Authoritarian: There is no question that the past few months were filled with extraordinary political drama, followed by unconventional decisions that shocked the global political community. Donald Trump’s arrival at the White House marked the beginning of a new…


The idea that NATO is projecting weakness for not responding aggressively to Russian provocations in its allies' airspace is partially true. However, it’s only the projection and not the reality. The Alliance is simply tricking Russia into thinking it is weak, because that is the…


Based on the fact that the only way to deal with Iran’s nuclear program and its destructive foreign policy through proxies in the region is a regime change- the war in the Middle East will resume within a few months if not weeks. The USA will take the leading role this time.…


Israel. Gaza. Iran- The Paradox : Without a doubt military campaign in Gaza has been highly controversial since its beginning despite the atrocities committed by Hamas on October 7th. There is no justification for war crimes and brutal carpet bombing on the scale that Israel is…


There is no rational reason for Israel to attack Syrian government forces and cause destabilization while every major power except Russia and Iran supports the current administration. The only logical explanation is personal hostility toward Erdogan by Netanyahu.


While there are several reasons why Putin is prolonging the war and avoiding the start of peace negotiations by setting unrealistic requirements the main one is this. He understands that the conflict in Middle East is just a matter of few weeks.

Do not be confused by the initial positive reactions to the discussions between Iranian and US delegations in Oman. There will be no deal, and the strike is imminent.



Do not be confused by the initial positive reactions to the discussions between Iranian and US delegations in Oman. There will be no deal, and the strike is imminent.


Vladimir Putin will try to use the escalation of the conflict between the US and Iran as the attention of the World community switches to gain more territories in Ukraine and finish the job. It will not work out well for him though because Europe will finally show its teeth.


There is quite a piece of irony in the fact that the biggest advocates of so called multi-polar world are the leaders that won’t allow their own citizens to have an actual multi-party government system.


Pezeshkian: Calm before the Storm Many analytics are convinced that changes recently occurred in the Iranian government with the arrival of the new president Pezeshikian who is considered a reformer among the Iranian community are targeted to transform the approach to certain…


Another unexpected centre of the rising geopolitical battle in the South Caucasus: Georgia Why now and has it any connection to strangely growing political repressions in Azerbaijan? Georgia has been successfully balancing their foreign policy since 2012 by cautiously…

United States Strategy in South Caucasus: A hard loss either of reputation or the Region for Putin. The Russian government has been put into a position where ignoring Armenia’s political drift to the West will result in a permanent loss of its “closest Allie” and historically…



Conspiracy theories: transformation from harmless fiction stories to a real political tool. Now, where do they come from and how do you draw a line between an innocent fantasy story and dangerous propaganda that is meant to trigger society for certain actions? Conspiracy…


The answer is No. The Western coalition is not interested in the destruction or separation of Russia’s sovereign territory. Furthermore, while it is hard to believe, they are more concerned about Russia saving its territorial integrity than the Russian government itself. The…

The fall of Russia is imminent if their political direction doesn’t change. There was no doubt about it even before the Ukraine war which is simply speeded up the process.Does West actually want it? That’s a different question. #geopolitics



Azerbaijan as a “lever of pressure” on Armenia: Threat or Bluff There are mildly reasonable concerns about the Russian administration pushing Azerbaijan to be used as a tool of intimidation on Armenia, as the situation escalates, to the point where official Baku starts a…


United States Strategy in South Caucasus: A hard loss either of reputation or the Region for Putin. The Russian government has been put into a position where ignoring Armenia’s political drift to the West will result in a permanent loss of its “closest Allie” and historically…


The key to the Israel-Palestine solution is in Teheran. It doesn’t mean that peace will be restored in Gaza right after the main goal is achieved in Iran but it will significantly reduce the influence of the political branches of Hamas and Islami Jihad whose agenda is based on…


United States 趨勢

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