EWohnig's profile picture. Husband/Dad |Exec Dir Minerva Institute For AI |Tech Exec/Board Advisor/CISO/Speaker |Former AF & DoD Info War Officer/Analyst |Current Focus: Natl Sec/AI/Space

Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻

@EWohnig

Husband/Dad |Exec Dir Minerva Institute For AI |Tech Exec/Board Advisor/CISO/Speaker |Former AF & DoD Info War Officer/Analyst |Current Focus: Natl Sec/AI/Space

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Our vacation from history is well and finally over.


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

Latin American countries that have endorsed Xi’s Global Security Initiative may now rightfully wonder about its real purpose and value.


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

BREAKING: The people of Tehran are burning down regime buildings right now. The crowd is MASSIVE.


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

The Iranian regime has oppressed their people since 1979. Prior to that they were a creditor nation with 0 debt. Their economy was growing annually at 10% or more a year. Since 1979 it has grown at less than a percent a year. Hezbollah, hamas, and the houthis, exist only because…

This is Tehran. Let that sink in. You are watching a revolution unfold live while the world’s media stays dead silent. Legacy media has become nothing more than a propaganda machine, because what news could possibly be bigger than this? @FoxNews @CNN



Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

Any cohesion left in the remainder of the Venezuelan government will be spent today tearing itself apart looking for alleged traitors in their midst.

NEW: A CIA insider in the Venezuelan government helped the US in arresting Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro. - CNN



I need to think on this a bit, as I am not sure why, but it amuses and comforts me to think this may turn out to be true.

the future is baby agis scurrying around your filesystem doing light housekeeping while contemplating the divine. little digital monks with access to your clipboard



Even if you think there is a bubble and are betting exclusively on enterprise vs consumer, this seems extremely risk adverse; which carries its own set of downside risks.

Anthropic’s CEO Dario claiming they’ve only requisitioned enough capacity for their 10% probability case

AndrewBenson's tweet image. Anthropic’s CEO Dario claiming they’ve only requisitioned enough capacity for their 10% probability case


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

#Venezuela: @NicolasMaduro's regime faces an existential crisis, but #Russia and #China are sitting it out. “The so-called axis of authoritarianism looks much stronger in peacetime,” I told the @WSJ. “It has proven to be a little hollow in times of need.” wsj.com/world/americas…


A key point to the trade imbalance that few people see and fewer are willing to admit, esp. in Beijing.

13/14 Why is that so hard for that to happen? Because China's global manufacturing competitiveness is predicated on Chinese workers' receiving a 10-15 percentage-point lower share of what they produce than the workers of their trading partners.



Agree with one note - the human task environ is a jagged boundary vs circle as well.

My take on the jagged frontier debate:

tomaspueyo's tweet image. My take on the jagged frontier debate:


Honored to speak as the Exec Dir of @Minerva4ai at the IMF RCDC Summit last week on the emerging geoeconomic order of AI & autonomy. We’re entering an era of re-scaled and re-distributed intelligence; one that will redefine competitiveness, development, and institutional…


Question is will it be there/available when they need it. A lot of competition for compute and new construction concrete only dries so fast.

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An inconvenient truth, in clear contrast to CCP preening that China is the new defender of global free trade. “…China is the deglobalizer in chief (import growth has massively lagged GDP growth)”

The ECB paper also highlights something that is obvious in the data but that neither the IMF nor the WTO has been able to state clearly, namely that China is the deglobalizer in chief (import growth has massively lagged GDP growth) 15/

Brad_Setser's tweet image. The ECB paper also highlights something that is obvious in the data but that neither the IMF nor the WTO has been able to state clearly, namely that China is the deglobalizer in chief (import growth has massively lagged GDP growth)

15/


Andrew’s thread provides a clear articulation of the rot we have allowed in the societal core of the West and the results we are reaping due to allowing that rot to grow. "We’ve played defense for too long-our leaders working to avoid risk, as though we forgot that the West…

🧵My initial impressions from this trip to Europe: The continent is not ready to face up to the new reality of the increasingly fractured regional balance of power. The eastern flank countries understand the existential threat Russia poses to Europe. Other allies don’t. 1/8



Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

The EU doesn’t really have a de-risking policy. What it has is a set of contradictory actions dressed up as strategy. Take electric cars: Brussels imposes tariffs on Chinese EVs for being subsidized - while EU taxpayers are allowed to use subsidies to buy those same cars,…

We don't want to decouple from China, but we do need to de-risk. - Bessent Who got the „de-risking“ idea first? The EU or US? In the case of EU, it‘s rather backfiring right now and the gains from US-China deal seem to be the equalizer for the lack of such from EU-China deal.



Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

The National D-Day Memorial in Bedford, Va., will host its annual Veterans Day observance ceremony on Nov. 11. Admission will be free until noon for the public and all day for veterans. stripes.com/veterans/2025-…


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

Here’s a word of the day conservatives should embrace when it comes to Fuentes and Carlson.


Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

The U.S. is quietly innovating behind the loud theater around China & rare-earths. Instead of using decades of chemistry fine tuned by the Chinese, it’s pioneering membrane tech that could skip 20 years of chemical grind. If it scales, Beijing’s moat disappears overnight.

tanvi_ratna's tweet image. The U.S. is quietly innovating behind the loud theater around China & rare-earths.

Instead of using decades of chemistry fine tuned by the Chinese, it’s pioneering membrane tech that could skip 20 years of chemical grind.

If it scales, Beijing’s moat disappears overnight.

Ernest W. Wohnig III 🌻 reposted

Well over a trillion a year in national security spending but these vulnerabilities just sit unaddressed. Yeah you should be outraged, like watching the train coming at you from a mile away. All the money poured in procurement and R&D but our supply chain is fucked.

China has imposed its most stringent rare earth and magnet export controls yet, increasing leverage ahead of the Trump-Xi summit and heightening risks to U.S. defense and semiconductor supply chains. More from @CSISMinerals expert @GraceBaskaran: csis.org/analysis/china…



WTH!! How was access security and network monitoring capabilities not key requirements?

EWohnig's tweet image. WTH!! How was access security and network monitoring capabilities not key requirements?

Even this may be overly optimistic in terms of pop growth as the remaining median pop. is older over time and thus less capable of lifting birth numbers. Also, 2nd order effects of an older pop. create increasing drag on innovation and society in general. Not good.

Humanity will shrink, far sooner than you think, by @TheEconomist, citing @JesusFerna7026 Demography sneaks up on you economist.com/interactive/br…

rdomenechv's tweet image. Humanity will shrink, far sooner than you think, by @TheEconomist, citing @JesusFerna7026 
Demography sneaks up on you

economist.com/interactive/br…
rdomenechv's tweet image. Humanity will shrink, far sooner than you think, by @TheEconomist, citing @JesusFerna7026 
Demography sneaks up on you

economist.com/interactive/br…


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