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ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.

Elephant Capital

@ElephantCapita2

Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.

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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Nov 17

One mega cycle - 22 years and counting - with some junctures in-between, as outlined on the qtly log chart of the #NASDAQ100. One steep rally left imho. Stay tuned for levels. $NDX $NQ $QQQ $SPX $SPY $DAX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. One mega cycle - 22 years and counting - with some junctures in-between, as outlined on the qtly log chart of the #NASDAQ100. One steep rally left imho. Stay tuned for levels. $NDX $NQ $QQQ $SPX $SPY $DAX
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
1 h

$SPX update. Follow through below last week's very bearish close brings into play two main targets, the first being 6000-6010. Other potential targets noted on chart. $SPY $ES #US500

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $SPX update. Follow through below last week's very bearish close brings into play two main targets, the first being 6000-6010. Other potential targets noted on chart. $SPY $ES #US500
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
10 h

$NVDA update. 195.62 tagged - smack bang in the middle of the target zone (194-197), followed by a firm reversal. You're welcome. $NQ $QQQ $NDX $SMH

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $NVDA update. 195.62 tagged - smack bang in the middle of the target zone (194-197), followed by a firm reversal. You're welcome. $NQ $QQQ $NDX $SMH
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$NVDA update. Coming along nicely since the last update - ~$194-197 the next inflection point. $NQ $QQQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $NVDA update. Coming along nicely since the last update - ~$194-197 the next inflection point. $NQ $QQQ $NDX
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
12 h

#Bitcoin update. Cracked a new high, and flushed with no follow through. Ominous. Next major target to the downside is ~99400. $BTCUSD $BTS #BTC #crypto

ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Aug 23

#Bitcoin update. We hit the interim target of 124k and corrected to 111k. The next target is 134-136k. I am expecting a major correction from that zone to at least 88-90k (most bearish case is ~58k), but for now, it's long to that 134-136k zone. $BTCUSD $BTC #BTC #crypto

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. #Bitcoin update. We hit the interim target of 124k and corrected to 111k. The next target is 134-136k. I am expecting a major correction from that zone to at least 88-90k (most bearish case is ~58k), but for now, it's long to that 134-136k zone. $BTCUSD $BTC #BTC #crypto
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 10

#ASX200 update. A harsh reversal at a double top, along with global markets. Risk that we break down, rather than up, out of the ABCDE consolidation. A break below 8720 could very well confirm a major correction is underway. $XJO #ASX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. #ASX200 update. A harsh reversal at a double top, along with global markets. Risk that we break down, rather than up, out of the ABCDE consolidation. A break below 8720 could very well confirm a major correction is underway. $XJO #ASX
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Sep 24

#ASX200 update. No change. Still completing wave 4 (could backtest 8640-8680) before a move towards 9290-9340. That zone is a high confluence area and potential reversal zone. Should the market reverse there, the downside target becomes 7990-8170. $XJO #ASX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. #ASX200 update. No change. Still completing wave 4 (could backtest 8640-8680) before a move towards 9290-9340. That zone is a high confluence area and potential reversal zone. Should the market reverse there, the downside target becomes 7990-8170. $XJO #ASX
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 10

$QQQ update. Corrects exactly where anticipated. Still a short to 580-587. The question when that zone hits, does it find support for a final rally to complete W3, or has W4 commenced? A break below 577 will tell us. #China news will be digested over the weekend. $NDX $NQ $NDQ

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $QQQ update. Corrects exactly where anticipated. Still a short to 580-587. The question when that zone hits, does it find support for a final rally to complete W3, or has W4 commenced? A break below 577 will tell us. #China news will be digested over the weekend. $NDX $NQ $NDQ
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 10

$DAX update. Nailed it. Possibly a bit more downside to 23800s, but as can be seen from prior post and the chart below, the idea has played out perfectly. Interested to see if we get a reversal to the upside soon. Will update accordingly based on the evolving price action.

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $DAX update. Nailed it. Possibly a bit more downside to 23800s, but as can be seen from prior post and the chart below, the idea has played out perfectly. Interested to see if we get a reversal to the upside soon. Will update accordingly based on the evolving price action.
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$DAX update. The bounce was far more like a reversal to the upside - so, I got that wrong. Based on the current structure and price action, I see a move down slightly, before a move higher to 24700s.

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $DAX update. The bounce was far more like a reversal to the upside - so, I got that wrong. Based on the current structure and price action, I see a move down slightly, before a move higher to 24700s.
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 10

$EURUSD daily chart update. Looks like the $DXY is going to rear its head in earnest. Current price 1.157. Targets 1.143, 1.118, 1.106. In my humble opinion, rallies could be opportunities to sell.

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $EURUSD daily chart update. Looks like the $DXY is going to rear its head in earnest. Current price 1.157. Targets 1.143, 1.118, 1.106. In my humble opinion, rallies could be opportunities to sell.
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 10

$GBPUSD - the Sterling in for a pounding (couldn't help myself). Current price 1.329. Downside targets 1.27 and 1.24. Note, the harsh rejection in the area marked the "sell zone" i.e., the mid-point of two important ranges. #GBP $DXY

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $GBPUSD - the Sterling in for a pounding (couldn't help myself). Current price 1.329. Downside targets 1.27 and 1.24. Note, the harsh rejection in the area marked the "sell zone" i.e., the mid-point of two important ranges. #GBP $DXY
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 9

$AUDUSD monthly chart. Key range on the monthly chart is 63-70c. It is holding on and so far the market has stepped in whenever 61-63 has been tested. Any follow through below 0.635 is bad news for the $AUD.

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $AUDUSD monthly chart. Key range on the monthly chart is 63-70c. It is holding on and so far the market has stepped in whenever 61-63 has been tested. Any follow through below 0.635 is bad news for the $AUD.
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Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 9

#SILVER update. Recutting the count and this fits a lot better and aligns with the big picture longer-term view. Interim target mid 52s. Count and measures on the chart. $SILVER $SIL $XAGUSD $XAG

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. #SILVER update. Recutting the count and this fits a lot better and aligns with the big picture longer-term view. Interim target mid 52s. Count and measures on the chart. $SILVER $SIL $XAGUSD $XAG
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 7

#SILVER update. $48s achieved. Minimum correction target 44, wouldn't be surprised to see 41s. Bigger picture view, I have the next upside targets as 52-56 after this correction. $XAGUSD $XAG $SIL

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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 8

$GOLD update. Well and truly in the zone for a correction now. 4006-4015 could be the spot. First downside target is 3750s, and second downside target is ~3670-3690. #GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD $GDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $GOLD update. Well and truly in the zone for a correction now. 4006-4015 could be the spot. First downside target is 3750s, and second downside target is ~3670-3690. #GOLD $XAUUSD $GLD $GDX
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 3

$GOLD update. Watch it closely if we get a move between here (3860) and 3950, it could be the final stretch before an elongated wave 4 into Q1-Q2 of 2026 (~3500s) before the wave 5 leg to ~4200+ #GOLD $XAUUSD $XAU $GLD $GDX

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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 7

#SILVER update. $48s achieved. Minimum correction target 44, wouldn't be surprised to see 41s. Bigger picture view, I have the next upside targets as 52-56 after this correction. $XAGUSD $XAG $SIL

ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Sep 30

#SILVER update. We surged past the 0.618 inflection point, and that means we have the next target coming up at x1 ext of w1-3 (~$48s). That is another area for a correction down to low $40s before an attempt at the 1.618 ext ($52-56) to complete w5. $SILVER $XAGUSD $XAG $SIL

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. #SILVER update. We surged past the 0.618 inflection point, and that means we have the next target coming up at x1 ext of w1-3 (~$48s). That is another area for a correction down to low $40s before an attempt at the 1.618 ext ($52-56) to complete w5. $SILVER $XAGUSD $XAG $SIL
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 6

$GOLD update. Watch it closely between here and wicks up to 4005. We are in the zone. 3500s to 3600s comes after that imo #GOLD $GLD $GDX $XAUUSD

ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 3

$GOLD update. Watch it closely if we get a move between here (3860) and 3950, it could be the final stretch before an elongated wave 4 into Q1-Q2 of 2026 (~3500s) before the wave 5 leg to ~4200+ #GOLD $XAUUSD $XAU $GLD $GDX

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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$DAX update. The bounce was far more like a reversal to the upside - so, I got that wrong. Based on the current structure and price action, I see a move down slightly, before a move higher to 24700s.

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $DAX update. The bounce was far more like a reversal to the upside - so, I got that wrong. Based on the current structure and price action, I see a move down slightly, before a move higher to 24700s.
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Sep 16

$DAX update. We are getting that bounce towards 24k, but imo it will be short lived before it continues its decline to 22500s and possibly 21900s-22000. #GER40 #DE40

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $DAX update. We are getting that bounce towards 24k, but imo it will be short lived before it continues its decline to 22500s and possibly 21900s-22000. #GER40 #DE40
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$NVDA update. Coming along nicely since the last update - ~$194-197 the next inflection point. $NQ $QQQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $NVDA update. Coming along nicely since the last update - ~$194-197 the next inflection point. $NQ $QQQ $NDX
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Sep 10

$NVDA - still no follow through and the count suggesting one more push higher to achieve wave 5 that is 0.618 of W1 (~$194). $NQ $QQQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $NVDA - still no follow through and the count suggesting one more push higher to achieve wave 5 that is 0.618 of W1 (~$194). $NQ $QQQ $NDX
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

The market is bullish - we will get a solid clean out when w5 of W3 prints. That clean out could be as much as ~20% on the $NDX $QQQ $NQ. That will place price at low-mid 500s on $QQQ. We will get a final big rally thereafter to deliver ~50% gains from low-mid 500s (~765-830).

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. The market is bullish - we will get a solid clean out when w5 of W3 prints. That clean out could be as much as ~20% on the $NDX $QQQ $NQ. That will place price at low-mid 500s on $QQQ. We will get a final big rally thereafter to deliver ~50% gains from low-mid 500s (~765-830).
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX
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ElephantCapita2's profile picture.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Oct 5

$QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $QQQ update. Inflection point as price for w5 of W3 extends to the exact height of w1 of W3 ($607). There's still a chance of a run to price extensions as marked on chart, to complete w5 of W3. Note targets at 615-617, 630-635 (high confluence), stretch at 641-654. $NQ $NDX
ElephantCapita2's profile picture. Technical trade setups and occasional macro musings. Posts are my opinion, not financial advice. No telegram.
Elephant Capital
@ElephantCapita2
Sep 29

$NDX update. Food for thought - as previously stated, a move higher still in play (measures marked on chart), but expect some end of month vol. Timing wise, end of October into end of November seems significant (fib time zones marked on chart). $NQ $QQQ #US100 #NASDAQ100

ElephantCapita2's tweet image. $NDX update. Food for thought - as previously stated, a move higher still in play (measures marked on chart), but expect some end of month vol. Timing wise, end of October into end of November seems significant (fib time zones marked on chart). $NQ $QQQ #US100 #NASDAQ100
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