Iván Ramírez de Arellano, The Jomini of the West
@JominiW
Polemologist, writer, and speaker on all things related to human conflict. Discussions on waging peace, surviving war, and the fate of Mankind.
내가 좋아할 만한 콘텐츠
1/ Daily Tactical Update (DTU), Ukrainian TVD Day 1121: March 17-18, 2025, was marked by a significant escalation in ground and air operations across multiple fronts. In the north, Ukrainian forces have largely withdrawn from the Kursk region while simultaneously launching a…
The Ukrainian defense of Siversk has been under significant strain for an extended period, representing an area that is notably underreported relative to its importance.
Over the last few days, the defence of Siversk has completely collapsed. A fortress city that the Russians couldn't reach for nearly 4 years is about to be captured after just a week of fighting. If this isn't a sign of how bad Ukraine's manpower shortages have got, I don't…
Reporting from @AMK_Mapping_ on the situation in Myrnohrad.
The last Ukrainian defences in the besieged city of Myrnohrad are being breached by Russian forces, who have now entered the city centre. The parts of the pocket still under firm Ukrainian control have decreased to around 2.8 km², compared to ~36 km² at the beginning of the…
Headlines from Russia's leading newspapers, provided by @BBCSteveR, reflect optimism among Russian military analysts regarding progress along the contact line. Nevertheless, it is increasingly difficult to overlook the economic repercussions of the war on the everyday lives of…
One Russian paper today: ““We will not agree to a truce because we need the capitulation of Ukraine.” Meanwhile: “Nearly 60% of Russian regions have a hole in their budgets of over 600 billion roubles, almost 11 times more than in 2022.” #ReadingRussia
Excellent experience at the @dupuyinstitute 4th Historical Analysis Annual Conference. Numerous outstanding presentations by leaders and innovators in the fields of Historical Analysis and Operational Research. Many thanks to Chris Lawrence and his team for the opportunity to…
Fresh from their recent field study in Ukraine, @KofmanMichael and @RALee85 share key insights into the current state of the war. Link to the full podcast below.
New Russia Contingency episode with @RALee85. We share insights after a recent field study trip to Ukraine. We cover technology, drones, artillery, manpower, and how the fight is changing. The first of several episodes on this topic. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/therus…
The Moscow Times reports that the Moscow Exchange (MOEX) Index fell 1.8% in just over an hour (equivalent to $1.4 billion in market value) following President Trump's announcement that he would shorten the 50-day deadline for Russia to agree to an immediate ceasefire and peace…
In Russia, the stock market fell Monday after US President Donald Trump said he would shorten the 50-day deadline he previously gave Russia’s Vladimir Putin to end the war in Ukraine to just 10-12 days. themoscowtimes.com/2025/07/28/rus…
Congressional testimony from @MikeStudeman on how the PRC is shaping the Taiwanese security environment, specifically to reduce indications and warning of impending military action. Courtesy of @ianellisjones.
Why is China surrounding Taiwan? New, must watch congressional testimony from @MikeStudeman, former Navy admiral and Director of Intelligence at INDOPACOM "This is a psychological warfare attempt to show that they won't have cavalry coming over the hill, or if it tries, it…
Daily SITREP for July 28, 2025, courtesy of @NOELreports. President Trump states he will reduce his previous 50-day deadline for Russia to enter an immediate ceasefire and peace negotiations to 10-12 days.
SitRep - 28/07/25 - Trump says he plans to shorten the 50-day window he previously gave Putin An overview of the daily events in Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Tomorrow, Trump will announce he will shorten the 50-day window he gave Putin to reach peace. REPOST=appreciated 1/X
Over the next two weeks, I'll present a two-part series on the operational realities of the war in Ukraine and the strategic challenges for the rest of 2025. I look forward to the discussion; see you there!
The EU-US trade deal benefits the United States but places a burden on the European Union. As @HoansSolo noted in his assessment of the agreement, it reveals more about Europe’s ongoing dependence on the United States as a key security provider than about the EU’s economic…
You can see from the face of highly experienced bureaucrat like Sabine Weyand (Director-General for Trade) how good the EU-US deal really is. By the way, at least 50% of the EU Commission delegation is German. This overrepresentation is staggering given that there are 27 members.
Indian Special Forces are reported to have conducted a night raid targeting three Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT) associated terrorists involved in the Pahalgam attack, allegedly including the mastermind of the attack.
Breaking: Indian forces (multiple element of special forces/commandos) conducted a high-risk night operation in severely restricted mountainous terrain to kill three of the terrorists who conducted the Pahalgam attack to include the mastermind of the carnage.
Courtesy of @Osint613, statement by President Trump on the breakdown of ceasefire negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Hamas. Via Reuters: "Trump on Hamas leaders: 'I think they will be hunted down ... I think they want to die ... It's got the point where you…
Trump: "Hamas didn't really want to make a deal. I think they want to die…" “It got to a point where you are going to have to finish the Job…”
A meeting between Presidents Zelensky and Putin is unlikely to occur anytime soon. Currently, President Putin has no incentive to engage in bilateral talks with President Zelensky, not even with the 50-day deadline imposed by President Trump for potential new sanctions. Nothing…
⚡️Kremlin expresses doubts over Zelensky–Putin meeting in next 30 days. Dmitry Peskov's statement comes as the 50-day deadline approaches for U.S. President Donald Trump to potentially impose sanctions on Moscow if Russia fails to agree to a peace deal. kyivindependent.com/kremlin-expres…
Report courtesy of @ianellisjones on the start of the Russian Pacific Fleet’s exercise “July Storm”.
Russian Pacific Fleet launches exercise "July Storm" • 150 warships + support vessels • 15,000+ troops from all 4 major fleets • 120 aircraft; 10 coastal missile systems • Pacific, Arctic, Baltic, + Caspian regions The series of major naval drills from 23-27 July is aimed…
As fighting escalates between Cambodia and Thailand it is crucial to observe the employment of drones and how they are shaping the fight here to gain a more informed understanding of drone warfare in different types of operational environments. Courtesy of @WarintheFuture and…
We should be watching this closely. Not too many examples of drone use during active military operations out here yet. Insights from drone use here will complement lessons from #Ukraine and the Middle East. 1/2
Fighting between Cambodia and Thailand continues, report courtesy of @sentdefender.
Fighting along the border between Cambodia and Thailand continues into the night, as footage shows what appears to be a RM-70 Multiple-Launch Rocket System (MLRS) with the Royal Cambodian Army firing against targets in Thailand.
The backlash over the passage of Law 12414 continues, with @KyivIndependent reporting that EU officials have privately expressed concerns that the law represents a setback for Ukraine's candidate status for EU membership.
⚡️EU privately warns Ukraine anti-graft agencies law is a setback for membership talks, media reports. The legislation, pushed through by Zelensky's lawmakers on July 22, "crossed red lines" for Brussels, European Pravda reported, citing EU sources. kyivindependent.com/eu-privately-w…
Data and Statistics for 23 July 2025 for the war in Ukraine and Russia.
⚡️ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA — JUL 23, 2025 ■ Engagements near average; casualties & equipment losses below ■ Officer deaths: +18 (all junior) — 5.4 per day since start ■ 🇷🇺 strikes down, 🇺🇦 strikes up — single-digit ratio 📈 See dashboard for full data:…
A timely and sharp assessment by @IAPonomarenko on not only the reaction to today's passing (now signed) law limiting the independence of Ukraine's leading anti-corruption agencies but also the larger internal struggle for Ukrainian civil society against the backdrop of Russia's…
I’ll say it once again — in reality, Ukraine as a state and as a nation is fighting two major wars at the same time. The first is, of course, Russia’s full-scale invasion. The second is the internal war of Ukrainian civil society against the dark side of its own state. Against…
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