Lawson Silverspar
@LSilverspar
Trading for my own account since 96. Scalper. My approach affectionately called Sparrow Trading relies on speed, no greed and fear - no large losses.
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forexlive.com/centralbank/wa… Is it possible that Nick Timiraos has lost his "Fed insider" status?
There's been no shortage of very experienced and successful money managers shining a light on the rare (maybe unprecedented) penny stock styled moves in the bond market. It truly feels like watching a late-stage game of Jenga. How are these blocks still standing?
If you happened to wonder how much would a credit watch downgrade of the USA cost? Well, now you know.
The DEGREE of movement in the U.S. Bond market today...well, it's pretty mind-blowing. These suckers have become unhinged (unanchored), and to think that the BIGGEST and most boring asset in the world is trading like a penny stock...well, that SHOULD be FREAKING terrifying.
Sure, it's more than just SEVEN stocks, but it sure doesn't feel that way....
Yes, there are exceptions, but it sure seems like an awfully large number of stocks are priced as if the Fed Funds rate were back to ZERO %. Does anyone see ZERO in the forecast in the next 24 to 36 months?
Woo-hoo! Prices are coming down from over a year and a half of rising at twice the rate of most people's wages. But OOF, STILL GOING UP at 4.6% or more than most average people's wages go up. Ah, forgettaboutit, let's celebrate 4.6% inflation!!! Buy, buy, buy!
Hmmm. I think somebody might have shared the same information yesterday, but not as concisely. Well done @NorthmanTrader
Riddle me this? What is a bigger ONE HIT WONDER than Los Del RioMacarena [Bayside Boys Mix]? Hint: It's very chatty and Rhymes with COULD!!!
Yes, 4.9% inflation is definitely better than 5%. But prices are still rising at 4.9% on top of the nearly 10% rise last year. If a bank was paying 9.1% interest in year 1 and then 5% in year 2 and said they were not sure about year 3, would you have committed?
Sure seems that bad news is becoming good news. Bad news seems to be reinforcing the belief that the FED will start dropping rates rapidly in 2023.
I had to look up "nigh" to ensure I got the unusual word definition correct. Nigh = almost / a short distance away. What is nigh, if he was 10 yrs early last time???
Neil Howe, perhaps the leading demographer in America (he foretold the GFC a decade before it happened) has a new book coming out July 18th titled “The Fourth Turning Is Here”. I could not agree more with his thesis. The Big Reset is nigh.
There's always a narrative for why this time will be different. Inflation in 2022 was caused by supply disruptions of the pandemic, which have been alleviated. The FED has raised rates at the fastest pace in history, so the effects will be quicker. Maybe it will be different?🤔
The market seems increasingly convinced that inflation, now at 5% headline (down ~45% from the highs in less than a year) will peacefully and steadily return to 2%. What does history indicate about the timeframe to cut inflation ANOTHER 60% to get back to 2%? Spoiler: A long time
Who needs the UFC for the exciting back-and-forth, rock'em sock'em battles - when you can get that same thrill by just watching the battle of the candlesticks each day.
Once upon a time, I regularly shared what I considered the KEY TENETS to successful trading. I am certain those I have mentored have these indelibly etched in their brains. I SALUTE @NOBStrades. I 100% concur with the experience/wisdom he shares. He's right as rain.
United States Trends
- 1. Good Saturday N/A
- 2. Jose Ramirez N/A
- 3. #saturdaymorning N/A
- 4. #Caturday N/A
- 5. Gigi N/A
- 6. Marmoush N/A
- 7. Discombobulator N/A
- 8. #NattyMerch N/A
- 9. #SaturdayVibes N/A
- 10. #วิวาห์ปฐพีตอนที่1 N/A
- 11. Nunes N/A
- 12. WELCOME TO OUR FARM N/A
- 13. Governor Carney N/A
- 14. Jim Jones N/A
- 15. Vicario N/A
- 16. Rod Stewart N/A
- 17. West Ham N/A
- 18. Sunderland N/A
- 19. Travis Perry N/A
- 20. Pharrell N/A
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