PSXJournal's profile picture. Retweeting the sharpest takes on PSX — fundamentals, technicals, and market trends.

PSX Pulse

@PSXJournal

Retweeting the sharpest takes on PSX — fundamentals, technicals, and market trends.

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

It is also mentioned on the back of the PBO that everyone who booked the car would have signed. It’s only a safety clause if the company runs out of a specific color. 😅


Gross EPS inversion flagged in #NPL vs #NCPL report a clear error investors should be aware of.

To @afkhwaja & the @KASBSecurities Research Team: I am publicly flagging a case of gross negligence in your Jan 13th report on #NPL & #NCPL Indisputable fact: Both companies have equal profit share. • NPL: 354M shares • NCPL: 367M shares Basic math: fewer shares = higher EPS

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. To @afkhwaja & the @KASBSecurities Research Team:

I am publicly flagging a case of gross negligence in your Jan 13th report on #NPL & #NCPL

Indisputable fact:
Both companies have equal profit share.
• NPL: 354M shares
• NCPL: 367M shares

Basic math: fewer shares = higher EPS


Tracked it quietly for a month. Numbers don’t lie. Skyrocket incoming 🚀💎

🎣 #NPL #NCPL: The Valuation Disconnect. The market is pricing the Auto Project as a "maybe." The math says it’s a giant. 📊 Revenue (Net): PKR 319.5 Billion 💰EPS Impact: Rs 53.96 (at 20% Margin) 🛡️ Tax: 0% This isn't a speculative play; it's a value arbitrage. 🧵👇

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. 🎣 #NPL #NCPL: The Valuation Disconnect.

The market is pricing the Auto Project as a "maybe." The math says it’s a giant.

📊 Revenue (Net): PKR 319.5 Billion 
💰EPS Impact: Rs 53.96 (at 20% Margin) 
🛡️ Tax: 0% 

This isn't a speculative play; it's a value arbitrage. 🧵👇
_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. 🎣 #NPL #NCPL: The Valuation Disconnect.

The market is pricing the Auto Project as a "maybe." The math says it’s a giant.

📊 Revenue (Net): PKR 319.5 Billion 
💰EPS Impact: Rs 53.96 (at 20% Margin) 
🛡️ Tax: 0% 

This isn't a speculative play; it's a value arbitrage. 🧵👇


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

These same global markets host multiple competitors, yet none have come close to this level of award-sweeping dominance. The distinction is clear. In Pakistan, that global momentum gets a powerful multiplier: Nishat Group 🇵🇰 Global validation + Nishat execution = a new standard

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. These same global markets host multiple competitors, yet none have come close to this level of award-sweeping dominance. The distinction is clear.

In Pakistan, that global momentum gets a powerful multiplier: Nishat Group 🇵🇰

Global validation + Nishat execution = a new standard

From Best Value to Car of the Year 🌍🏆 Dominating the UK, Europe, LATAM, Middle East & Asia. OMODA & JAECOO aren’t entering markets they’re owning them. 2025 is just the beginning. 🚀⚡ #OMODA #jaecoo #AutoAwards2025 #GlobalDomination #NPL #NCPL #NISHAT

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. From Best Value to Car of the Year 🌍🏆
Dominating the UK, Europe, LATAM, Middle East & Asia.
OMODA & JAECOO aren’t entering markets  they’re owning them.
2025 is just the beginning. 🚀⚡

#OMODA #jaecoo #AutoAwards2025 #GlobalDomination 
#NPL #NCPL #NISHAT
_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. From Best Value to Car of the Year 🌍🏆
Dominating the UK, Europe, LATAM, Middle East & Asia.
OMODA & JAECOO aren’t entering markets  they’re owning them.
2025 is just the beginning. 🚀⚡

#OMODA #jaecoo #AutoAwards2025 #GlobalDomination 
#NPL #NCPL #NISHAT


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

🧵Tracking the sentiment on Jaecoo J7 post-Tiggo 8 launch.Honestly? The panic is overstated. I just had a detailed chat with a friend deep in the auto market to verify the ground reality. Here is why the J7 remains the safer,stronger play despite the new competition👇 #NPL #NCPL

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. 🧵Tracking the sentiment on Jaecoo J7 post-Tiggo 8 launch.Honestly? The panic is overstated.

I just had a detailed chat with a friend deep in the auto market to verify the ground reality. Here is why the J7 remains the safer,stronger play despite the new competition👇
#NPL #NCPL

#NPL x NexGen: The Sleeping Giant Wakes Up 🔋🚗 Nishat Power isn't just a div yield play anymore. With 33% stake in NexGen (Jaecoo/Omoda), the valuation dynamics have shifted. Let's crunch the #PSX numbers 👇

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. #NPL x NexGen: The Sleeping Giant Wakes Up 🔋🚗

Nishat Power isn't just a div yield play anymore. With 33% stake in NexGen (Jaecoo/Omoda), the valuation dynamics have shifted. Let's crunch the #PSX numbers 👇


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Just cross-referenced the CR financing data with booking trends... calling it now: Jaecoo J5 orders are set to DOUBLE. 🚀 MCB just poured gasoline on the fire 🔥. The data is screaming volume growth. Secure the ride before the backlog hits july. ➡️📈 #NPL #NCPL #DYOR #JAECOO

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. Just cross-referenced the CR financing data with booking trends... calling it now: Jaecoo J5 orders are set to DOUBLE. 🚀

MCB just poured gasoline on the fire 🔥.
The data is screaming volume growth. Secure the ride before the backlog hits july. ➡️📈
#NPL #NCPL #DYOR #JAECOO

#NPL x NexGen: The Sleeping Giant Wakes Up 🔋🚗 Nishat Power isn't just a div yield play anymore. With 33% stake in NexGen (Jaecoo/Omoda), the valuation dynamics have shifted. Let's crunch the #PSX numbers 👇

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. #NPL x NexGen: The Sleeping Giant Wakes Up 🔋🚗

Nishat Power isn't just a div yield play anymore. With 33% stake in NexGen (Jaecoo/Omoda), the valuation dynamics have shifted. Let's crunch the #PSX numbers 👇


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Why does #NPL generate higher EPS? It comes down to share count. With 12 Million fewer shares than #NCPL, #NPL is more efficient at turning profit into shareholder value. #NPL holders get a EPS bonus simply because the pie is sliced into fewer pieces. 🍰 #MULTIBAGGER

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. Why does #NPL generate higher EPS? It comes down to share count. With 12 Million fewer shares than #NCPL, #NPL is more efficient at turning profit into shareholder value.

#NPL holders get a EPS bonus simply because the pie is sliced into fewer pieces. 🍰

#MULTIBAGGER

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Cash is King, but Interest Income is the Kingdom. 👑 #NPL generates +Rs 1.99/share just from bank interest (8%). #NCPL generates only +Rs 0.89/share. That is a 120% advantage for #NPL shareholders before the core business even starts. Safe. Liquid. Profitable.🛡️🚀 #MULTIBAGGER

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. Cash is King, but Interest Income is the Kingdom. 👑

#NPL generates +Rs 1.99/share just from bank interest (8%). #NCPL generates only +Rs 0.89/share.

That is a 120% advantage for #NPL shareholders before the core business even starts. Safe. Liquid. Profitable.🛡️🚀
#MULTIBAGGER

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

🚨Deal Confirmed: NPL vs NCPL Impact Analysis Nishat Power (NPL):Investment: Rs 9.41 BillionEPS Boost:+Rs 2.06/share🚀 Nishat Chunian (NCPL):Investment: Rs 4.5 BillionEPS Boost:+Rs 0.95/share NPL gets 2x the benefit while keeping 2x the cash safety. The choice is obvious.📉🚫

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. 🚨Deal Confirmed: NPL vs NCPL Impact Analysis

Nishat Power (NPL):Investment: Rs 9.41 BillionEPS Boost:+Rs 2.06/share🚀

 Nishat Chunian (NCPL):Investment: Rs 4.5 BillionEPS Boost:+Rs 0.95/share

NPL gets 2x the benefit while keeping 2x the cash safety. The choice is obvious.📉🚫

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

#NPL vs #NCPL:The "Post-Deal" Cash Reality Even after buying the Rafhan Maize stake (Rs 9.4B), NPL still holds Rs 25/share in liquid cash. What does this mean? 🟢Possibility of Bumper Dividend: 8.8 Billion cash, a massive payout (Rs 10+) is on the table without borrowing a dime

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. #NPL vs #NCPL:The "Post-Deal" Cash Reality

Even after buying the Rafhan Maize stake (Rs 9.4B), NPL still holds Rs 25/share in liquid cash.

What does this mean?
🟢Possibility of Bumper Dividend: 8.8 Billion cash, a massive payout (Rs 10+) is on the table without borrowing a dime

@grok why NPL why not NCPL??



PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Spot on!💯The Seth never enters a game unless the rules are rigged in his favor. In this case, the rig is the Policy Arbitrage: 1️⃣Zero Tax (SEZ Status) 2️⃣1% Duty Mansha doesn't play for %. He plays for the 2 ka 4, 4 ka 8, 8 ka 16 multiplier. We are just riding the coattails💸#NPL


#NCPL & #NPL will need to be revalued. Let's see how many bookings can J5 manage. ⏳🚀



PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Power ✅ Food ✅ EV Revolution ⚡🚗 🐂 #NPL — Your next multi-bagger! 💎

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. Power ✅ Food ✅ EV Revolution ⚡🚗
🐂 #NPL — Your next multi-bagger! 💎

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

FY26 Sum of Parts 🏆 1️⃣ Core Power: ~4–5 PKR EPS (Bond Proxy) 2️⃣ Rafhan Maize: ~2+ PKR EPS (Defensive Carry) 3️⃣ NexGen Auto: ~30+ PKR EPS (Growth Engine) 🚀 Total FY26 EPS Potential ≈ 40 PKR 💰 Target Cash Dividend: 6–7 PKR (Yield Floor) 📉 Current PE is broken (<2)


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

✅ USD Indexation: Part of CPP linked to USD/PKR → Rupee down 📉 = Invoice up 📈 (Inflation Hedge) ✅ PPA Expiry: June 2035 → ~9.5 years of guaranteed/hybrid cash flows ✅ Strategic Location: Plant in Kasur → Close to urban demand + nearby industrial hubs → Less line-loss .


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

Gone are the days of 100% Take-or-Pay. The New Deal: 🔹35% Guaranteed → Covers fixed costs & baseline profit 🔹65% Variable → Linked to dispatch (Take-and-Pay) The Edge: 🏭 NPL runs on Wartsila 18V46 engines (Ultra-efficient) ⚡ Grid Operator prefers running NPL during demand

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. Gone are the days of 100% Take-or-Pay.
The New Deal:
🔹35% Guaranteed → Covers fixed costs &amp;amp; baseline profit
🔹65% Variable → Linked to dispatch (Take-and-Pay)
The Edge:
🏭 NPL runs on Wartsila 18V46 engines (Ultra-efficient)
⚡ Grid Operator prefers running NPL during demand

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

The "Dead" Business Myth 🧟‍♂️ Retail thinks IPPs are dead. Smart Money knows #NPL has morphed into a High-Yield Bond Proxy. It’s no longer a "Growth" asset. It’s a cash machine with a 9-year expiration date. Let's decode the "Hybrid Take-and-Pay"

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. The &quot;Dead&quot; Business Myth 🧟‍♂️
Retail thinks IPPs are dead. Smart Money knows #NPL has morphed into a High-Yield Bond Proxy.

It’s no longer a &quot;Growth&quot; asset. It’s a cash machine with a 9-year expiration date. Let&apos;s decode the &quot;Hybrid Take-and-Pay&quot;

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

NexGen⚡ • Negative working capital (advances) 💰 • Tax-free SEZ cash 🏭 Management said: “expects dividend FY28”📅 They did NOT say: “restricted until FY28” ❌ 📌First payout likely FY27 (2H 2026)🚀 The market is pricing a delay that doesn’t exist


PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

What Management Modeled (Old): • Plant start: Mar 2026 • FY26: Setup / losses • First profit: FY27 • “Safe” dividend: FY28 What Actually Happened: • Plant start: Nov 2025 • FY26: 3,500+ car sales already booked • First profit: FY26 You can’t keep the old dividend date...

_Iam_Pakistani's tweet image. What Management Modeled (Old):
• Plant start: Mar 2026
• FY26: Setup / losses
• First profit: FY27
• “Safe” dividend: FY28

What Actually Happened:
• Plant start: Nov 2025
• FY26: 3,500+ car sales already booked
• First profit: FY26 
You can’t keep the old dividend date...

PSX Pulse gönderiyi yeniden yayınladı

The Twin Benefits: 1️⃣ SEZ Act: Potential 10-Year Income Tax Holiday (0% Corp Tax). 2️⃣ NEV Policy: 1% Custom Duty on parts (vs 30% standard). The Math:High Margins (Low Duty) + Zero Tax = Pure Cash Flow for Dividends. 💸 #NPL shareholders get the full pie, not the leftovers.


Loading...

Something went wrong.


Something went wrong.