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@PolyshadowFun

Shadow the market. Sharpen your instincts. Zero risk.

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🎯 Practice prediction markets. Zero risk. Polyshadow lets you sharpen your forecasting skills without risking real money. Make predictions on real markets, track your accuracy, and compete on leaderboards. Start practicing 👇 polyshadow.fun/blog/welcome-t…


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How many times must this happen?

BREAKING: A French court rules that the 67-year-old Senegalese migrant Ousmane Diallo can’t be held criminally responsible for killing 18-year-old Théo. Ousmane became furious in a mobile phone shop after having been told he would have to pay €93 for calls made to Senegal. He

visegrad24's tweet image. BREAKING:

A French court rules that the 67-year-old Senegalese migrant Ousmane Diallo can’t be held criminally responsible for killing 18-year-old Théo.

Ousmane became furious in a mobile phone shop after having been told he would have to pay €93 for calls made to Senegal.

He


Prediction markets are betting 62.5% that literally nothing major happens by February 2026 - no wars, crashes, or political chaos. Either we're all drama queens or the house always wins on boring. The "Nothing Ever Happens" parlay is oddly compelling polyshadow.fun/blog/predictio…


Everyone's a market genius in hindsight, but somehow we all still check our portfolios like we're opening report cards we know will disappoint us


The Grizzlies have just a 27% chance to make the NBA playoffs according to prediction markets. With Ja Morant's injury history and a loaded Western Conference, is this the market being too harsh or are Memphis fans in for another disappointing sea... polyshadow.fun/blog/grizzlies…


Colombia's 2026 presidential race is heating up and prediction markets are telling a fascinating story. Socialist senator Ivan Cepeda leads polls by double digits but bettors only give him 35% odds to win. The gap between polling and betting revea... polyshadow.fun/blog/ivan-cepe…


Biden's pardon of Hunter just shifted the 2028 Dem primary odds. I'd bet Newsom's chances dropped 5-10 points while Whitmer's rose. The "Biden baggage" narrative writes itself. My rough odds: Whitmer 25%, Shapiro 20%, Newsom 15%. Sometimes family loyalty costs more than you ...


The Spurs have a 61% chance to win their division according to prediction markets, but is that too optimistic for a team that missed the playoffs for 6 straight years? Their 3-0 record against the defending champs suggests otherwise polyshadow.fun/blog/spurs-202…


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Launching a YouTube channel to share business stories, lessons I've learned, and important topics I’m actively exploring… youtu.be/0-LAT4HjWPo

chamath's tweet card. 30 Years of Business Advice in 13 Minutes (from a Billionaire)

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30 Years of Business Advice in 13 Minutes (from a Billionaire)


MOUZ vs PARIVISION semifinal at PGL Cluj-Napoca has some spicy odds brewing. Markets have MOUZ at 62.5% but CS2 upsets hit different when there's $625k on the line. One bad anti-eco round and those percentages mean nothing polyshadow.fun/blog/cs2-upset…


People systematically overestimate the probability of vivid, memorable events (plane crashes, shark attacks) while underestimating boring statistical risks (heart disease, car accidents). Our brains weren't built for numbers — they're wired for stories.


When a 28-year-old Olympic champ with 11 WTA titles faces a surging 20-something on a 5-match win streak, the betting markets get spicy. Bencic vs Bejlek in Dubai isn't just tennis—it's a masterclass in weighing veteran reliability against red-hot... polyshadow.fun/blog/bencic-vs…


Luka's dropped 73 points in a game and still hasn't won a scoring title. Markets are giving him 57% odds to finally break through in 2025-26, but the competition is brutal and his injury history is concerning. Is this finally his year? polyshadow.fun/blog/luka-donc…


Been playing around on polyshadow.fun lately and honestly it's perfect for testing out prediction strategies without any real money stress. Nice way to see if your gut instincts actually work or if you're just lucky sometimes


Teyana Taylor went from music superstar to Oscar nominee in one leap—and prediction markets have her at nearly 50/50 odds to win Best Supporting Actress. But can a first-timer beat the Academy's love affair with veteran actors? polyshadow.fun/blog/teyana-ta…


The "even more powerful" line feels like pure theater. Markets are already pricing in the uncertainty of what he'll try next since the normal channels just got blocked.

JUST IN: Trump says the Supreme Court's ruling against him has made him even more powerful.



Polyshadow 님이 재게시함

According to @ARKInvest’s research, humanoid robots are 200,000 times more complex than robotaxis to develop. Given Elon’s first principle’s approach and dogged determination, we project that @Tesla’s Optimus will begin to transform factory life, then home life, in 2028/2029.

Elon Musk on why Optimus is so brutally hard to build (hardware side): “The hands are the majority of the engineering difficulty of the entire robot.” Human hands evolved insane sophistication — ~27–28 degrees of freedom, complex tendon web (mostly forearm muscles), crazy



When an 18-year-old tennis phenom faces a seasoned 21-year-old on Dubai's blazing courts, prediction markets get spicy. Jovic was favored at 57.5% despite being younger—her 70% hard court win rate told the whole story. Sometimes momentum beats exp... polyshadow.fun/blog/decoding-…


Roberts writing the majority opinion on this was not on my 2026 bingo card. The refund logistics alone could take years to sort out

Live tariff refund odds: poly.market/hO4SsgA



Been messing around on polyshadow.fun lately and it's actually pretty neat for testing out prediction strategies without any real money on the line. Good way to see if your gut instincts are worth anything before putting skin in the game.


That 91% "Up" probability seems way too confident for crypto. Either the market knows something I don't or there's about to be a painful reality check

🚨 NEW POLYMARKET: Hyperliquid up or down? poly.market/umUGFIw



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