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Buy and sell political futures. PSAs: - 95% ≠ Certainty - Forecasts ≠ Future - Turnout = Outcome

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“'[Traders are] incentivized with cold, hard cash to separate the emotion, to make a bet with their head rather than the heart,' said John A. Phillips, the CEO of the betting platform PredictIt. That means, the boosters argue, that they are more accurate than traditional polls…

Political gambling has skyrocketed over the last few years. But how big can it get? Advocates think that one day, political betting could transform — or even replace — political media. politico.com/news/magazine/…



Are we gonna see a 2028 presidential bid from #MTG…? 👀

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mtgreenee's tweet image. My official statement.
mtgreenee's tweet image. My official statement.
mtgreenee's tweet image. My official statement.


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The Supreme Court on Friday evening temporarily allowed Texas to use its newly redrawn congressional voting map for the 2026 midterm elections. nyti.ms/3M0qYYV


For the first time since leaving office, @KamalaHarris hit the campaign trail for another candidate. She made a surprise appearance at an event in Nashville for @aftynfortn, the Democratic candidate for TN-07's special election. Will the former VP's appearance sway things in…

PredictIt's tweet image. For the first time since leaving office, @KamalaHarris hit the campaign trail for another candidate. She made a surprise appearance at an event in Nashville for @aftynfortn, the Democratic candidate for TN-07's special election. Will the former VP's appearance sway things in…

Will @AOC take advantage of @SenSchumer's lack of popularity and challenge him for his seat in 2028, or will she aim for higher office and enter the 2028 presidential election? #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/1tKbY

PredictIt's tweet image. Will @AOC take advantage of @SenSchumer's lack of popularity and challenge him for his seat in 2028, or will she aim for higher office and enter the 2028 presidential election? 
#PredictIt now: shorturl.at/1tKbY

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NYT: Nydia Velázquez, a New York Trailblazer in Congress, to Retire Next Year Ms. Velázquez, 72, a 16-term congresswoman, said it was time for a new generation of Democrats to step forward nytimes.com/2025/11/20/nyr…


Now that @POTUS has signed a bill authorizing the DOJ to release the Epstein files, will he be able to drop the allegation of associating with the convicted sex-offender and regain lost support?  #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/5G0VT

PredictIt's tweet image. Now that @POTUS has signed a bill authorizing the DOJ to release the Epstein files, will he be able to drop the allegation of associating with the convicted sex-offender and regain lost support? 
#PredictIt now: shorturl.at/5G0VT

.@TomSteyer has officially declared his bid for governor of California: shorturl.at/6KHLP #PredictIt

PredictIt's tweet image. .@TomSteyer has officially declared his bid for governor of California: shorturl.at/6KHLP #PredictIt

Breaking News: Tom Steyer, the San Francisco billionaire, announced that he was entering the crowded race to become the next governor of California. nyti.ms/47ONe0r



Hours after a federal court blocked Texas' newly drawn congressional map, Gov. @GregAbbott_TX appealed the decision to the Supreme Court. Will SCOTUS allow the GOP in the Lone Star State to use its new map for next year's election? shorturl.at/S9TYp #PredictIt

PredictIt's tweet image. Hours after a federal court blocked Texas' newly drawn congressional map, Gov. @GregAbbott_TX appealed the decision to the Supreme Court. 

Will SCOTUS allow the GOP in the Lone Star State to use its new map for next year's election? shorturl.at/S9TYp #PredictIt

A case that could decide who gets the midterm boost lands at the Supreme Court’s feet dlvr.it/TPLy31



Democrats in New Jersey are now looking to fill governor-elect @MikieSherrill's seat in the House. With @GovMurphy and Senator @AndyKimNJ endorsing separate candidates, it's bound to be an exciting primary, so #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/XnINb

PredictIt's tweet image. Democrats in New Jersey are now looking to fill governor-elect @MikieSherrill's seat in the House. With @GovMurphy and Senator @AndyKimNJ endorsing separate candidates, it's bound to be an exciting primary, so #PredictIt now: shorturl.at/XnINb

The longest shutdown in US history ended last week after 43 days and no healthcare subsidies for the Democrats. However, the bill passed by Congress and signed by @POTUS only fully funds the government through January, so are we headed for a second shutdown?…

PredictIt's tweet image. The longest shutdown in US history ended last week after 43 days and no healthcare subsidies for the Democrats. However, the bill passed by Congress and signed by @POTUS only fully funds the government through January, so are we headed for a second shutdown?…

Here's a sneak peek from this week's episode where Jacob and Garth discuss @POTUS' Cabinet. Wanna watch the full episode? Check it out here: bit.ly/4491puZ #PredictIt

On this week's episode of PredictIt's Weekly Markets Podcast, Jacob and Garth discuss all things @POTUS - his flip on the Epstein files, the market on the SCOTUS case over his tariffs, and his Cabinet - before heading south and discussing yesterday's election in Chile. Check out…

PredictIt's tweet image. On this week's episode of PredictIt's Weekly Markets Podcast, Jacob and Garth discuss all things @POTUS - his flip on the Epstein files, the market on the SCOTUS case over his tariffs, and his Cabinet - before heading south and discussing yesterday's election in Chile. Check out…


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