QuantCompounding
@QuantCompounder
Magic Formula Investor. Happiness equals reality minus expectations. Not financial advice. Check out my #MagicFormula journey! 👇
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I have decided to focus on “big bets” I learnt the hard way that low allocation + high performance = low positive impact Now at 5 holdings, my objective is twofold: high performance and high impact. #capitalallocation
Why we should care about ROIC and Reinvestment Rates Source: @HaydenCapital
Li Lu’s Reflection on reaching Fifty
New letter on my stack on my thoughts about the recent $CROX selloff and why I believe there is potential to deliver outsized returns at current price
Every investor should understand this
I try to not overcomplicate valuation. When I see $CROX trading at a 20% FCF Yield, even if only half of that goes to buybacks the business doesn’t have to grow a lot for a fine outcome.
The Underappreciated Variable in Valuation Valuing businesses on their expected growth rate misses on critical element: the return on capital to achieve growth... Great read from Kennedy Capital
Thoughtful discussion! @steveclapham @tsaicapital open.spotify.com/episode/2ZeBjq…
Crocs is currently trading near its lowest valuation in 10 years. EV/FCF: 7.97 $CROX
Norbert Lou is one of the most selective investors of all time. He just bought 2 new positions for the first time in years. Crocs and Paypal now account for 33% of his portfolio. $CROX $PYPL
$CROX trades at 7.1x EV/EBITDA, well below peers like $DECK at 11.7x and $SKX at 10.9x. Yet, 5Y forward EPS growth is fairly close: 📈 DECK: 4.2% CAGR 📈 CROX: 3.75% CAGR Is $CROX undervalued relative to peers? Thoughts?
$DAC Not too surprising: "when you see actually the stock appreciating really so much, to continue buyback would have shot the price up quite dramatically, which is not really to the interest of long-term shareholders... And that is why we have paused the buyback."
I think $CROX still looks compelling despite being up 10% in the last month Still trades at a 15% FCF yield with a buyback authorisation big enough to retire c.20% of the float. I’m buying more shares.
If you follow @chriswmayer and have 90 minutes to spare check out: youtu.be/4EvUJ4Ha7cM?si…
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#37 - Chris Mayer
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