RoboMacro
@RoboMacro
RoboMacro: AI for Macro Strategy (beta mode). Markets, FX, Rates, Equities, Economics Chris @ http://robomacro.com https://www.youtube.com/@RoboMacroeconomics
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UK Macro Daily, November 21 • UK manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.2, beating consensus of 49.2, while services PMI fell to 50.5 below expected 52, signaling divergent economic momentum. • Retail sales contracted 1.1% month-on-month, far missing forecasts of 0%,…
US Macro Daily, November 21 • UK manufacturing PMI unexpectedly rose to 50.2, beating consensus of 49.2, while services PMI fell to 50.5 below expected 52, signaling divergent economic momentum. • Retail sales contracted 1.1% month-on-month, far missing forecasts of 0%,…
UK Macro Daily, November 20 • UK inflation rates met expectations yesterday, with year-on-year at 3.6% and month-on-month at 0.4%, sustaining disinflation trends. • Today's retail sales data at 7am could reveal consumer spending momentum, potentially influencing Sterling and…
UK Macro Daily, November 19 • UK inflation rates met expectations at 3.6% year-on-year and 0.4% month-on-month, with core at 3.4%, maintaining disinflation momentum. • CBI Industrial Trends Orders survey at 11am could reveal manufacturing sentiment, potentially influencing…
US Macro Daily, November 18 • NY Empire State Manufacturing Index at 18.70 beat consensus of 6, underscoring resilient factory output. • Weekly Jobless Claims rose to 232k, missing estimates of 223k and signaling labor market strain. • Fed speeches reiterated data-dependent…
Will put this into a forthcoming newsletter "Liquidity, Leverage and Repo"
US Macro Daily, November 14 • EIA crude inventories surged 6.4 million barrels, far exceeding consensus and pressuring oil prices downward. • Fed speeches from Daly and Kashkari emphasized data dependence, signaling measured rate cuts despite resilient growth. • US consumer…
US Macro Daily, November 13 • Fed speeches from Barr, Williams, Waller, Bostic, Miran, and Paulson emphasized AI's transformative impact on economies and data-dependent policy, reinforcing caution in rate cuts. • API crude oil inventories drew down 1.3 million barrels, below…
US Macro Daily, November 12, 2025 ADP employment plummeted to -11,250, far below prior levels, signaling labor market strain and potential slowdown. MBA 30-year mortgage rates rose to 6.34%, heightening housing affordability challenges amid economic pressures. Fed speeches from…
US Macro Daily, November 06 • ADP employment surged to 42,000, exceeding expectations and highlighting private sector resilience. • Services PMI climbed to 52.4, surpassing consensus and signaling robust activity. • Fed speeches underscored data dependence, reinforcing a…
US Macro Daily, November 06 • ADP Employment Change jumped to 42,000, surpassing consensus and signaling private sector job growth after recent weakness. • Services PMI rose to 52.4, exceeding expectations and highlighting robust expansion in new business and employment. •…
ECB paper (3139) on fiscal announcements and inflation expectations in the euro area. Also an AI -generated podcast on our website with the original paper. A good paper that examines changes in policy with/without public announcements and compares them. youtu.be/NMdHGotPsYg
youtube.com
YouTube
ECB working Paper 3139: Fiscal Policy & Household Expectations
Earthquakes and Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Spreads Prepared by Rabah Arezki, Patrick A. Imam, Kangni Kpodar, and Dao Le-Van, IMF research paper 2025/218, October 2025 youtu.be/neBVOflGg9s
youtube.com
YouTube
IMF: Earthquakes & Credit Risk
Japan - Private Law Frameworks for Tokenized Assets (By Bank of Japan)> Clearly the BoJ Is looking to the US, Switzerland, Germany, France for Tokenization legal guidance youtu.be/FgaRfQQy_7c
youtube.com
YouTube
Japan - Private Law Frameworks for Tokenized Assets
US Macro Daily October 31 • Fed delivered a 25bps rate cut and will halt balance sheet runoff in December, signaling easing but with hawkish dissent on pace. • US economic data showed Chicago PMI beating expectations at 43.8, hinting at modest manufacturing resilience amid…
US Macro Daily October 30 • Pending home sales fell 0.9% year-over-year, signaling cooling housing demand despite lower mortgage rates. • US-China trade negotiations advanced, boosting equities and reducing tariff concerns. • Fed poised for a 25bp rate cut today, extending…
US Macro Daily October 28 • Manufacturing indices surged, with Dallas Fed improving to -5.0 and Richmond to -4, surpassing expectations and hinting at sector resilience. • S&P/Case-Shiller home prices fell to 1.6% YoY, below 1.9% consensus, signaling housing market cooling. •…
US Macro Daily October 28 • Regional Fed indices showed mixed manufacturing activity, with Dallas improving but Richmond beating expectations. • ADP employment added 14,250 jobs, signaling labor market resilience ahead of broader data. • Bond yields and equities held steady,…
Lower-tier consulting firms seem to be disrupted by ChatGPT
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