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Finnish investments thread. Sonera bought a 3G permit from Germany around 2000. Each Finn paid $1000. They didn't use the permit, it was worthless.
🛑 China is preparing for war. First, Xi orders Chinese banks to risk asses and insulate against potential U.S sanctions. Now Xi is directing Chinese nationals overseas to divest of any assets. China has been hoarding grains for over a year…Xi’s 1/5 wsj.com/articles/china…
It's 66 days since the Russian invasion of Ukraine began. Today, a short thread on ‘what if Russia loses?’ It is not a prediction. But, it offers some thoughts, based on my ABC article, about such an outcome. 1/20 abc.net.au/news/2022-05-0…
- Russia planned to easy-take Kyiv within 3 days, following by capitulation of Ukraine; - Russian army units were followed by thousands of riot police; - Russian army purchased 45,000 body bags and brought mobile crematories; - I am sure they planned mass executions for Ukraine.
#WeStandWithUkraine! Signet App encryption tool is now free for all #humanitarian and civil #defense #NGO's in #Ukraine. All individuals, journalists and Ukrainian government organizations are also welcomed to use it for free. 1/X
A quick thread about moral injunctions, imperatives, MiGs, no-fly zones, and the standards for effective judgment. Overall message: Acting on the basis of imperative-driven thinking, especially under time pressure in a crisis, is a common prelude to disaster
Many argue that sanctions are "ineffective". That’s false. They are already highly effective in undermining Russian military efforts and can be made even more efficient. They can guarantee that Russia loses this war if they are goal-oriented and not moral crusade-oriented🧵
Lots of discussions about the threat of nuclear war from the Kremlin and whether Putin is rational. I share my thoughts in this thread. To frame: I do not believe Russia would use nuclear weapons and I believe Putin is a rational actor.
1/ Ukrainian Theater of War, Day 11: It is likely Russian forces will renew offensive operations in the next 24-48 hours with an emphasis on continuing to encircle Kyiv, attacking west of Kharkiv, and capturing Mariupol. #UkraineRussianWar #UkraineUnderAttaсk #Ukrainian
This, out of #Ukraine, is 100% one of the most incredible videos I have ever seen. This Russian POW has the heart of a lion 🦁
These past two years have been the longest decade ever.
Amnesty International’s Crisis Evidence Lab analyzed digital evidence — including photos, videos and satellite imagery of indiscriminate attacks in #Ukraine. They have verified violations of international law which could amount to war crimes.
Good multilayered analysis threadreaderapp.com/thread/1498377…
Getting short on accompliaces. That is the treacherous path of hermit war criminal regime.
Solid analysis threadreaderapp.com/thread/1497993…
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Thread by @kamilkazani on Thread Reader App
@kamilkazani: Why Russia will lose this war? Much of the "realist" discourse is about accepting Putin's victory, cuz it's *guaranteed*. But how do we know it is? I'll argue that analysts 1) overrate...
Ok. Deep breath. I think we may look back on this as the first Great Information War. Except we're already 8 years in. The first Great Information War began in 2014. The invasion of Ukraine is the latest front. And the idea it doesn't already involve us is fiction, a lie. 1/
So indeed, this was meant to toast a Greater Russia outcome that never happened. Here's the plan the author had - and apparently, was seen as endorseable by state media:
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